What is Dai Williams's strike rate?

Dai Williams has won 26 of 657 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dai Williams do best at?

Towcester by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Dai Williams?

Shane Quinlan, with 123 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.9%).

What is Dai Williams's Fair A/E?

0.70, from 650 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Dai Williams

657 runners in the lifetime window · 77 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2022 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

26–657

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=657

94 (14%)

Placed

0.70

Fair A/E

n=650 · 0.60 incl. margin

−285.42

£1 level stake

n=650 at SP · −43.9%

£286k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 657 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Shane Quinlan: 4.9% from 123 New recruits: 4.9% Claiming riders: 4.6%

The read

The record is strongest at Towcester (13.3%, n=30) and Uttoxeter (8.3%, n=48) — all clear of the yard's 4% baseline. It is weakest at Stratford (0% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −140.92 to a £1 stake over 370 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Shane Quinlan rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.9%, A/E 0.82). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (8.8%, n=57). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.4%−0.6

n=87 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −63.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.9%+0.9

n=61 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +7.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.0

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.8%+7.8

n=17 · A/E 4.12 · £1 +34.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.6%−0.4

n=56 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −33.00

When favourite

25%

n=8 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −0.92

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.6%+0.6

n=370 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −140.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.0

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Towcester 13.3% vs 4% · n=30

On Heavy going 8.8% vs 4% · n=57

At Uttoxeter 8.3% vs 4% · n=48

At Stratford 0% vs 4% · n=46

With James Banks 7.6% vs 4% · n=66

At Newton Abbot 0% vs 4% · n=39

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 343 20 5.8% −61.42

Hurdle 239 5 2.1% −162.00

Flat 65 1 1.5% −52.00

NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 303 8 2.6% −180.67

Soft 112 7 6.3% +1.50

Good to Soft 81 3 3.7% −12.00

Good to Firm 72 2 2.8% −56.00

Heavy 57 5 8.8% −18.25

Standard (AW) 28 1 3.6% −16.00

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 50 1 2% −44.00

Uttoxeter 48 4 8.3% +15.00

Stratford 46 0 0% −46.00

Newton Abbot 39 0 0% −39.00

Chepstow 36 0 0% −36.00

Towcester 30 4 13.3% +2.50

Market Rasen 29 3 10.3% +6.50

Fontwell 28 1 3.6% +23.00

Plumpton 28 2 7.1% −7.00

Huntingdon 27 0 0% −27.00

Taunton 22 1 4.5% −17.67

Wolverhampton (AW) 20 1 5% −8.00

Ludlow 20 0 0% −20.00

Hereford 19 3 15.8% +28.50

Southwell 19 1 5.3% +7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 251 12 4.8% −102.75

Class 5 231 8 3.5% −159.67

Class 3 79 4 5.1% +3.00

Class 6 65 2 3.1% −2.00

Class 2 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 10 2 20% 0.76 −2.92

2nd–3rd fav 75 10 13.3% 0.92 −12.00

4th–6th fav 214 6 2.8% 0.41 −106.50

7th+ in betting 351 8 2.3% 0.86 −164.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.3% completed · 582 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 343 71.1% 19 8 70 0 2

Hurdle 239 83.7% 3 3 33 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Irish Thistle (IRE)from H Rogers 39 1 7 31 Mar 19

Bennys Girl (IRE)from Noel Henley 35 4 6 4 Feb 20

Bobonyx (GB)from Andy Turnell 28 0 6 21 Apr 19

Mister Mister (IRE) 25 3 5 30 Sep 20

Babytaggle (IRE)from David Harry Kelly · then Barry Brennan 24 0 2 31 May 21

Lord Ben (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 22 0 5 30 Aug 18

Stolberg (IRE)from A J McNamara 20 1 2 3 Jul 19

Cold Fusion (IRE)from David Flood 19 0 4 3 Dec 19

Rich Nomad (GB)from N E Berry · then Sally Randell 19 0 4 22 Jul 09

Linguine (FR)from Seamus Durack · then Jackie Du Plessis 18 0 4 5 Nov 20

Petit Ecuyer (FR)from Andy Turnell 16 0 3 3 Jul 16

Artic Reason (IRE)from Andy Turnell 16 1 3 4 Oct 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 77 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 50 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andy Turnell (5) and Karen George (4); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Natalie Lloyd-Beavis (3) and Chris Grant (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

646846205035

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderShane Quinlan

19% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 0.82

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Quinlan 123 6 4.9% −57.42

James Banks 66 5 7.6% +8.50

Dave Crosse 60 3 5% −30.00

Miss L Horner 34 2 5.9% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£318k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 6 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bennys Girl (IRE) — Michael Jones Jewellers Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase Towcester · Apr 2018 · Class 4

£8,263

Ballyadeen (IRE) — Garthwest Novices' Limited Handicap Chase Market Rasen · Dec 2015 · Class 3

£7,988

Omega Springs (IRE) — Sentinel stokeontrentlive Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Sep 2018 · Class 4

£7,668

Notable horses

Bennys Girl (IRE) Mister Mister (IRE) West Of The Edge (IRE) Ask The Umpire (IRE) Mount Benger (GB) Ballyadeen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Luso (GB) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).

Phoenix Reach (IRE) 0% · 0–28

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,948 runs since 2010 (140 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 178. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.1% from 257.

September Storm (GER) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,131 runs since 2012 (103 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 148. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.9% from 101.

Brian Boru (GB) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 11% of 4,124 runs since 2009 (285 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,285 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 790 · newest first

The latest 50 of 790 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 18 April 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Apr 22 Fakenham Mighty Altogether (GB)J: William Maggs Queen's Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 5 ran PU 66/1

10 Apr 22 Stratford Mighty Altogether (GB)J: Mr Paddy Barlow Stratford 'Grassroots' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 22.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 50/1

31 May 21 Cartmel Babytaggle (IRE)J: Mr Paddy Barlow Sticky Toffee Pudding Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran F 40/1

28 May 21 Stratford Babytaggle (IRE)J: Mr Paddy Barlow Ppsa Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran PU 100/1

18 May 21 Huntingdon Babytaggle (IRE)J: Mr Paddy Barlow Racing TV Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 125/1

30 Apr 21 Cheltenham Babytaggle (IRE)J: Mr George Chatterton visitcheltenham.com Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran F 200/1

05 Nov 20 Market Rasen Linguine (FR)J: Charlie Price MansionBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 11th 66/1

17 Oct 20 Stratford Linguine (FR)J: Shane Quinlan Retraining Of Racehorses Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 40/1

15 Oct 20 Southwell (AW) Poniel (GB)J: Howard Cheng Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 250/1

13 Oct 20 Leicester Newlands (AUS)J: Josephine Gordon Every Race Live On Racing TV HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 200/1

30 Sep 20 Huntingdon Mister Mister (IRE)J: Harry Bannister MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 80/1

26 Sep 20 Market Rasen Poniel (GB)J: Shane Quinlan Thank You Nunns Mazda & Mitsubishi Grimsby Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 100/1

26 Sep 20 Market Rasen Mister Mister (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Thank You Pipers Crisps Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1

21 Sep 20 Warwick Linguine (FR)J: Shane Quinlan Agetur UK Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 14 ran 10th 100/1

07 Sep 20 Leicester Newlands (AUS)J: Paul Mulrennan Join Racing TV Now HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 150/1

03 Sep 20 Southwell Poniel (GB)J: Sam Coltherd Support The ARC Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 150/1

03 Sep 20 Southwell Linguine (FR)J: Derek Fox Support The ARC Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 80/1

03 Sep 20 Southwell Mister Mister (IRE)J: Page Fuller Kim Bailey Racing Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 18/1

19 Aug 20 Stratford Mister Mister (IRE)J: Page Fuller Sheila Vaughan Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 4 ran PU 33/1

17 Mar 20 Taunton Babytaggle (IRE)J: Page Fuller Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 18f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dai Williams's strike rate?: Dai Williams has won 26 of 657 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dai Williams do best at?: Towcester by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dai Williams?: Shane Quinlan, with 123 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.9%).
What is Dai Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.70, from 650 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.