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Trainer profile

David Peter Nagle

320 runners in the lifetime window · 64 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–320
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=320
47 (15%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=320 · 0.66 incl. margin
−166.00
£1 level stake
n=320 at SP · −51.9%
£445k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 320 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.41 and −114.00 to a £1 stake over 134 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.9%, n=36) and over 6f – 7f (8.5%, n=117). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 72 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2012, £141,775). The stable star of the record: Maarek (GB) — 9 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−1.6
n=72 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −63.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.4
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.4
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.4
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
23.8%
n=21 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +1.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%−2.9
n=134 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −114.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
36.4%+32.0
n=11 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +7.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Wayne Lordan 15.9% vs 4.4% · n=44
Off a 0-7-day break 13.9% vs 4.4% · n=36
Over 6f – 7f 8.5% vs 4.4% · n=117
On Good going 0% vs 4.4% · n=72
With Miss Evanna McCutcheon 0% vs 4.4% · n=45
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.4% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 239 14 5.9% −85.00
Chase 39 0 0% −39.00
Hurdle 25 0 0% −25.00
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 77 6 7.8% +19.00
Good 72 0 0% −72.00
Standard (AW) 68 2 2.9% −57.00
Heavy 50 2 4% −37.75
Good to Firm 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Soft 23 4 17.4% +11.75
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 63 2 3.2% −52.00
Cork 27 1 3.7% +40.00
Curragh 25 4 16% +3.00
Punchestown 22 0 0% −22.00
Tipperary 21 0 0% −21.00
Limerick 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 17 0 0% −17.00
Navan 14 2 14.3% +4.00
Naas 12 2 16.7% −4.75
Killarney 11 0 0% −11.00
Clonmel 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Listowel 9 0 0% −9.00
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 4 36.4% +7.25
Class 2 5 1 20% +8.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 24 6 25% 1.09 +2.50
2nd–3rd fav 21 4 19% 1.54 +6.50
4th–6th fav 49 2 4.1% 0.74 −28.00
7th+ in betting 226 2 0.9% 0.36 −147.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Maarek (GB)then B Lalor 30 9 18 22 Jun 13
Scream (IRE)from S M Duffy 23 1 3 31 Aug 22
Long Strand (IRE)from C F Swan · then B Lalor 13 0 2 25 Apr 13
Elwazeer (USA) 13 2 6 4 Jul 12
Batu (IRE) 12 0 0 23 May 14
Dark Danger (IRE)from J F Grogan 12 0 2 11 Jan 13
Talented Kid (GB)from Mark Johnston 11 1 1 2 Oct 18
Lord Nellerie (FR)from Brendan Powell 11 0 4 3 Feb 13
Kammaan (GB)from Michael Jarvis 11 1 3 11 Oct 10
Bincas Beauty (IRE)from T J O'Mara 9 0 1 13 Dec 09
Yester (IRE)then Adrian Murray 8 0 1 25 Sep 21
Stadius (IRE)from Miss Evanna McCutcheon · then S M Duffy 8 0 1 18 Apr 19
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Wilkinson (3) and Miss Evanna McCutcheon (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for B Lalor (4) and Stuart Williams (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
900103100081006
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMiss Evanna McCutcheon
14% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Miss Evanna McCutcheon 45 0 0% −45.00
Wayne Lordan 44 7 15.9% +58.75
Seamie Heffernan 34 1 2.9% −30.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
14
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£445k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 6 wins
Maarek (GB) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Oct 2012 · Group 2
£141,775
Maarek (GB) — Newbridge 200 Renaissance Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Sep 2012 · Group 3
£37,375
Maarek (GB) — Betfred Mobile Lotto Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Newcastle · Jun 2012 · Group 3
£31,191
Notable horses
Maarek (GB) Elwazeer (USA) Scream (IRE) Talented Kid (GB) Kammaan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pivotal (GB) 26.5% · 9–34
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Vocalised (USA) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,033 runs since 2014 (172 horses).
Oasis Dream (GB) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,026 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Amadeus Wolf (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,589 runs since 2011 (199 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 157.
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,427 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 320 · newest first

The latest 50 of 320 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2009 to 3 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Dec 24 Clonmel Glenmalure Flyer (IRE)J: Niall Moore Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 50/1
19 Nov 24 Limerick Glenmalure Flyer (IRE)J: Niall Moore Limerick Races On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)16f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 22/1
31 Aug 22 Gowran Park Scream (IRE)J: Cian MacRedmond Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 13th 40/1
15 Aug 22 Roscommon Cornish Rock (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Coast To Curragh Cycle Claiming Race10f · Good · 14 ran 13th 150/1
12 Aug 22 Cork Scream (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Follow Us On Social Media Handicap (47-65)7f · Good · 16 ran 9th 33/1
23 Jul 22 Gowran Park Scream (IRE)J: Cian MacRedmond Get Galway Races Ready With tote.ie Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)9.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 11th 20/1
20 Jul 22 Naas Scream (IRE)J: Cian MacRedmond O'neill & Co. Chartered Surveyors & Auctioneers Apprentice Handicap (47-65)8f · Good · 18 ran 9th 40/1
06 Jul 22 Fairyhouse Scream (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Come Racing To Fairyhouse Next Sunday Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Good · 17 ran 17th 66/1
06 Apr 22 Leopardstown Scream (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Handicap (47-65)7f · Good · 15 ran 14th 25/1
14 Oct 21 Curragh Scream (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Taxi4horses.com Handicap (45-65)7f · Yielding · 19 ran 16th 20/1
25 Sep 21 Curragh Scream (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Bord Na Mona Recycling Apprentice Handicap (45-70)8f · Good · 18 ran 12th 22/1
25 Sep 21 Curragh Yester (IRE)J: Jake Coen William Hill Ireland Pick Your Places Handicap7f · Good · 15 ran 8th 28/1
02 Sep 21 Clonmel Yester (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Slievenamon Maiden9.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/6F
19 Aug 21 Killarney Yester (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Bordeaux Racecourse Rated Race8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 12/1
11 Aug 21 Gowran Park Scream (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Holden Plant Rentals Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)9.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 6/1
07 Aug 21 Cork Scream (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Thanks To All The Frontline Workers From Cork Racecourse Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Soft · 18 ran 3rd 6/1
06 Aug 21 Tipperary Yester (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan www.tipperaryraces.ie Maiden7.5f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 5/1
02 Aug 21 Naas Caharclough Caviar (GB)J: Ben Coen Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 14 ran 9th 66/1
26 Jul 21 Galway Yester (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Galwaybayhotel.com & Galmont.com Handicap (50-80)7f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 12/1
24 Jul 21 Gowran Park Scream (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Leighlinbridge Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)9.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Peter Nagle's strike rate?
David Peter Nagle has won 14 of 320 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Peter Nagle do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 63 runners (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is David Peter Nagle's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 320 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).