What is Ed Dunlop's strike rate?

Ed Dunlop has won 799 of 7,403 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ed Dunlop do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 99 wins from 732 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ed Dunlop?

Robert Havlin, with 295 runners since 2008 — 4% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (10.2%).

Is Ed Dunlop in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is below the baseline of 10.8% since 2008.

What is Ed Dunlop's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 7,371 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ed Dunlop

7,403 runners in the lifetime window · 910 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.1% of 351 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

799–7,403

Wins / Runs

10.8%

Strike rate

n=7,403

2,225 (30%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=7,371 · 0.80 incl. margin

−2,480.95

£1 level stake

n=7,403 at SP · −33.5%

£11.7m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 390 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 7,403 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Apr Fresh horses: 11% 32.4% when favourite Robert Havlin: 10.2% from 295 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Pontefract (21.5%, n=93), clear of the yard's 10.8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.7% (n=801, Fair A/E 0.54). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 7.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −199.84 to a £1 stake over 382 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (6.3%, 4.5pts below the 10.8% baseline). Robert Havlin rides 4% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.2%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=200). 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Red Mills Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (Sep 2012, £434,500). The stable star of the record: Sterling Knight (GB) — 12 wins from 72 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11%+0.2

n=990 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −383.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.6%−4.2

n=76 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −57.67

Debutants · first career start

2.7%−8.1

n=801 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −557.63

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.3%−3.5

n=382 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −199.84

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.5%+0.7

n=157 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −33.50

When favourite

32.4%

n=777 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −93.01

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.8%−1.0

n=518 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −204.73

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−2.8

n=401 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −159.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 2.7% vs 10.8% · n=801

Off a 0-7-day break 20% vs 10.8% · n=200

At Pontefract 21.5% vs 10.8% · n=93

With Silvestre De Sousa 19.1% vs 10.8% · n=178

With Ryan Moore 18% vs 10.8% · n=267

On last-time-out winners 16.4% vs 10.8% · n=768

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 7,399 798 10.8% −2,479.33

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Chase 1 1 100% +1.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,016 351 11.6% −969.18

Good to Firm 1,489 157 10.5% −510.35

Good 1,407 131 9.3% −585.25

Good to Soft 752 60 8% −336.57

Soft 599 75 12.5% −109.92

Heavy 119 17 14.3% +28.27

Firm 21 8 38.1% +2.05

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 738 72 9.8% −318.89

Wolverhampton (AW) 732 99 13.5% −221.90

Lingfield 627 78 12.4% −224.69

Chelmsford (AW) 515 50 9.7% −92.29

Yarmouth 389 34 8.7% −221.69

Newmarket 352 21 6% −201.60

Newmarket 317 24 7.6% −149.80

Nottingham 271 26 9.6% −96.80

Doncaster 263 27 10.3% −65.57

Windsor 237 17 7.2% −144.87

Newcastle (AW) 233 31 13.3% −84.66

Newbury 212 19 9% −12.00

Leicester 197 25 12.7% +35.43

Ascot 185 14 7.6% −40.75

Goodwood 180 12 6.7% −103.19

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,895 336 11.6% −1,056.19

Class 4 1,670 151 9% −624.36

Class 6 1,330 185 13.9% −312.53

Class 2 597 36 6% −264.92

Class 3 505 58 11.5% −63.86

Class 1 401 32 8% −159.59

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 942 292 31% 1.03 −96.88

2nd–3rd fav 1,894 293 15.5% 0.95 −382.90

4th–6th fav 2,388 166 7% 0.86 −735.17

7th+ in betting 2,179 48 2.2% 0.66 −1,266.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,572 244 9.5% −1,139.19

1m2f – 1m4f 2,122 260 12.3% −493.80

1m – 1m1f 2,054 212 10.3% −673.62

1m5f – 2m 422 48 11.4% −105.88

Under 6f 204 32 15.7% −67.46

2m1f – 2m4f 26 3 11.5% +2.00

2m5f – 3m 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 424 44 10.4% −172.26

2009 413 41 9.9% −115.08

2010 348 40 11.5% −135.18

2011 397 55 13.9% −142.16

2012 306 44 14.4% −59.22

2013 359 45 12.5% −98.85

2014 322 27 8.4% −142.50

2015 356 29 8.1% −176.77

2016 393 51 13% −116.26

2017 481 52 10.8% −218.94

2018 411 30 7.3% −239.97

2019 384 31 8.1% −174.42

2020 273 24 8.8% −71.42

2021 324 29 9% −130.65

2022 515 59 11.5% −142.61

2023 508 71 14% −127.95

2024 512 60 11.7% +62.63

2025 374 37 9.9% −146.86

2026 303 30 9.9% −132.48

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,471 545 12.2% −890.26

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,674 263 9.8% −1,030.86

11-13 runners 2,213 188 8.5% −834.61

5-7 runners 1,436 259 18% −119.93

14-16 runners 695 37 5.3% −386.02

17+ runners 253 12 4.7% −118.25

2-4 runners 132 40 30.3% +8.72

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sterling Knight (GB) 72 12 23 31 Oct 26

Red Verdon (USA) 53 10 20 17 Aug 22

Global Art (GB) 51 4 16 9 Aug 22

Arthur's Realm (IRE)then Gihan Arnolda 48 5 16 8 Oct 25

Lenny's Spirit (FR)then Denis Quinn 47 7 15 22 Oct 24

Amazing Red (IRE) 47 6 9 31 Oct 22

Toro Dorado (GB) 45 6 20 12 Aug 21

Society Lion (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute 42 5 10 25 Jul 25

Roca Magica (GB) 42 5 11 15 Aug 21

Havana Sky (GB) 40 8 14 4 Aug 26

Turner Girl (IRE) 38 3 18 12 Feb 25

Parikarma (IRE)then Gary Moore 38 1 10 24 Jun 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 910 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for David Simcock (2) and Denis Quinn (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 16 6.3% · −4.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.3%

Lifetime base10.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131518121211111189814

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

4% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 295 30 10.2% −71.17

Ryan Moore 267 48 18% −40.36

Paul Hanagan 234 30 12.8% −84.99

Tom McLaughlin 218 17 7.8% −90.97

Jim Crowley 196 21 10.7% −76.19

Silvestre De Sousa 178 34 19.1% +64.18

Richard Hills 167 26 15.6% −31.30

Daniel Muscutt 165 13 7.9% −77.10

Rossa Ryan 165 23 13.9% −26.43

William Buick 145 16 11% −83.16

Graham Lee 137 24 17.5% +0.87

James Doyle 133 14 10.5% −22.94

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

951

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£14.3m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 71 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Snow Fairy (IRE) — Red Mills Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2012 · Group 1

£434,500

Snow Fairy (IRE) — Darley Irish Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) Curragh · Jul 2010 · Group 1

£246,500

Trip To Paris (IRE) — Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Group 1

£229,854

Notable horses

Sterling Knight (GB) Red Verdon (USA) Havana Sky (GB) Lenny's Spirit (FR) Amazing Red (IRE) Toro Dorado (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oasis Dream (GB) 13.7% · 25–182

Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,044 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Camelot (GB) 14% · 24–171

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,730 runs since 2017 (762 horses).

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 10% · 16–160

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,865 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 10.5% · 16–152

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Kodiac (GB) 6.9% · 10–145

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,601 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dutch Art (GB) 8.5% · 12–141

Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,109 runs since 2011 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,550 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,550 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Admiral Leach (IRE)J: Robert Havlin AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 13/2

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Bearish (IRE)J: Jason Hart Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 9/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Chaise Longue (GB)J: Robert Havlin All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 5/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Starmade (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 5/4F

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) That Darn Cantor (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 2/1F

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Scarlett's Spell (IRE)J: David Probert AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 150/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Enamored (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 33/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Cracking Idea (IRE)J: David Probert Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 12/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Sterling Knight (GB)J: David Probert Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 66/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Arundel (IRE)J: David Probert German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 5/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Devil's Brigade (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 15/2

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lord Ragnar (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 3rd 28/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Joseph Banks (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 8/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ardansoft (GB)J: Robert Havlin AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 125/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Golden Caviar (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Serenity Bay (GB)J: Jack Callan Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse - Book Now Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 25/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Piscean Star (GB)J: Robert Havlin All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 25/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) West To Rest (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Kokanee (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 9/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Sierra Sands (IRE)J: Ryan Moore CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ed Dunlop's strike rate?: Ed Dunlop has won 799 of 7,403 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ed Dunlop do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 99 wins from 732 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ed Dunlop?: Robert Havlin, with 295 runners since 2008 — 4% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (10.2%).
Is Ed Dunlop in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is below the baseline of 10.8% since 2008.
What is Ed Dunlop's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 7,371 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.