What is George Baker's strike rate?

George Baker has won 549 of 4,806 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does George Baker do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 66 wins from 366 runners (18%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for George Baker?

Pat Cosgrave, with 930 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 114 (12.3%).

Is George Baker in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is George Baker's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 4,780 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

George Baker

4,806 runners in the lifetime window · 548 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.2% of 205 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

549–4,806

Wins / Runs

11.4%

Strike rate

n=4,806

1,430 (30%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=4,780 · 0.90 incl. margin

−755.10

£1 level stake

n=4,806 at SP · −15.7%

£4.58m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). New recruits from other yards win at 14% first time out (233 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,806 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 33.7% when favourite Pat Cosgrave: 12.3% from 930 New recruits: 13.7% Claiming riders: 12.5% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Yarmouth (22.5%, n=71) and Newmarket (23.7%, n=38) — all clear of the yard's 11.4% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −225.03 to a £1 stake over 320 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Pat Cosgrave rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22%, n=304). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Stewards' Cup at Goodwood (Aug 2024, £128,850). The stable star of the record: Mamillius (GB) — 11 wins from 64 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.5%−0.9

n=928 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −113.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.7%+2.3

n=233 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −79.64

Debutants · first career start

3.8%−7.6

n=320 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −225.03

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%−1.1

n=223 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −48.27

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9%−2.4

n=145 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −18.99

When favourite

33.7%

n=540 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −44.16

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+1.1

n=815 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −160.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2%−9.4

n=100 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −77.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 22% vs 11.4% · n=304

With Richard Hughes 29% vs 11.4% · n=31

With Mr Simon Walker 26.4% vs 11.4% · n=53

At Yarmouth 22.5% vs 11.4% · n=71

At Newmarket 23.7% vs 11.4% · n=38

On last-time-out winners 18.5% vs 11.4% · n=541

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,228 487 11.5% −706.83

Hurdle 420 41 9.8% −53.77

NH Flat 108 16 14.8% +4.50

Chase 50 5 10% +1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,703 221 13% −310.69

Good 1,045 107 10.2% −171.48

Good to Firm 958 104 10.9% −14.74

Soft 454 55 12.1% −75.31

Good to Soft 448 41 9.2% −112.06

Heavy 124 12 9.7% −26.50

Firm 74 9 12.2% −44.32

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 676 72 10.7% −120.33

Lingfield (AW) 444 60 13.5% −85.45

Wolverhampton (AW) 366 66 18% +3.59

Brighton 305 47 15.4% +33.77

Goodwood 280 20 7.1% +0.75

Windsor 270 24 8.9% −96.58

Leicester 159 23 14.5% −28.13

Bath 147 18 12.2% −48.74

Newbury 139 8 5.8% −59.00

Chepstow 127 17 13.4% +32.25

Epsom 126 14 11.1% +4.00

Ascot 123 10 8.1% +63.50

Lingfield 121 14 11.6% −50.07

Southwell (AW) 120 13 10.8% −57.89

Salisbury 111 5 4.5% −75.42

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,591 184 11.6% −290.03

Class 6 1,296 217 16.7% −44.95

Class 4 1,043 94 9% −213.40

Class 3 372 22 5.9% −141.00

Class 2 310 18 5.8% +40.83

Class 1 103 2 1.9% −80.00

Class 7 10 4 40% +8.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 627 198 31.6% 1.07 −58.91

2nd–3rd fav 1,014 170 16.8% 1.01 −112.79

4th–6th fav 1,420 129 9.1% 1.14 −133.60

7th+ in betting 1,745 52 3% 0.92 −449.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,705 186 10.9% −228.25

1m2f – 1m4f 979 124 12.7% −131.17

1m – 1m1f 967 113 11.7% −194.20

1m5f – 2m 475 57 12% −18.36

Under 6f 358 40 11.2% −112.59

2m1f – 2m4f 204 17 8.3% −67.28

2m5f – 3m 97 7 7.2% −26.75

Over 3m 21 5 23.8% +23.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 178 22 12.4% −64.43

2009 359 40 11.1% −140.81

2010 315 44 14% −98.88

2011 325 56 17.2% −8.00

2012 279 36 12.9% −53.31

2013 320 43 13.4% +6.23

2014 365 44 12.1% −2.68

2015 348 32 9.2% −127.45

2016 336 31 9.2% −111.28

2017 209 13 6.2% −122.61

2018 191 11 5.8% +33.70

2019 208 25 12% −28.47

2020 204 30 14.7% +39.83

2021 196 23 11.7% +22.38

2022 217 19 8.8% −91.44

2023 188 21 11.2% −59.31

2024 209 19 9.1% +42.38

2025 186 22 11.8% +17.72

2026 173 18 10.4% −8.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,160 362 11.5% −252.06

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,561 190 12.2% −313.60

11-13 runners 1,546 157 10.2% −238.46

5-7 runners 819 138 16.8% −145.00

14-16 runners 564 45 8% −9.67

17+ runners 246 4 1.6% −16.00

2-4 runners 70 15 21.4% −32.37

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mamillius (GB) 64 11 26 7 Nov 23

George Baker (IRE) 64 6 19 11 Jul 17

Jack's Revenge (IRE) 63 7 24 14 Jan 17

Harry Hurricane (GB) 58 6 22 5 Mar 20

The Lamplighter (FR) 55 5 22 5 May 23

Marsh Benham (IRE)from Charles Hills 53 9 16 30 Oct 26

Aqua Ardens (GER) 51 8 18 17 Mar 17

Humidor (IRE)from Roger Charlton 50 8 15 2 Nov 16

Hieronymus (GB)from Seamus Durack 42 6 16 7 Aug 25

Confrerie (IRE) 42 5 13 3 Aug 22

Belgian Bill (GB) 41 5 16 7 Dec 17

Highway One (USA) 39 3 14 13 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 548 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charles Hills (3) and J W Hills (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Conor Dore (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

15191111111012111591011

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPat Cosgrave

19% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Pat Cosgrave 930 114 12.3% +116.00

Matthew Davies 351 53 15.1% −31.12

Andrew Tinkler 312 34 10.9% −93.35

Trevor Whelan 292 24 8.2% −112.92

Liam Keniry 197 14 7.1% −114.64

Steve Drowne 151 15 9.9% −32.88

Nicola Currie 129 14 10.9% +11.00

Tony Culhane 126 20 15.9% −21.74

Neil Callan 109 13 11.9% −15.80

Fergus Sweeney 68 1 1.5% −58.00

Jim Crowley 65 13 20% +9.11

Charles Bishop 64 6 9.4% −21.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

549

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.58m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 56 wins

Get It (GB) — Coral Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) Goodwood · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£128,850

Belgian Bill (GB) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2013 · Class 2

£93,375

Get It (GB) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Class 2

£90,195

Notable horses

Mamillius (GB) Marsh Benham (IRE) Aqua Ardens (GER) Humidor (IRE) Jack's Revenge (IRE) Sinbad The Sailor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 11.5% · 25–217

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,032 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.8% · 14–179

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,925 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Camacho (GB) 10.8% · 15–139

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 8.3% · 11–133

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,589 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.8% · 11–93

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Dutch Art (GB) 15.2% · 12–79

Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,108 runs since 2011 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,806 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,806 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2008 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Tex (FR)J: Callum Shepherd Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 9/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Marsh Benham (IRE)J: Jack Callan Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 9/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Dark Supremacy (IRE)J: Neil Callan German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div II)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 8/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lilly Lux (FR)J: Callum Shepherd Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 5/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Alcaraz (FR)J: Callum Shepherd All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Thinthread (GB)J: Jack Callan Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Fizzy Bear (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 6/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Power Of Prayer (GER)J: Miss Tess Hoppeler Aja Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 12f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 13/2

26 Oct 26 Leicester Marsh Benham (IRE)J: Sean Levey Hamish's Birthday Countdown Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Bath Sceptic (IRE)J: Olivia Haines Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 4/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Purple Moon (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Perigord Noir (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 4/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Fizzy Bear (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Kitaro Kich (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 6/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Cashinoroyale (FR)J: Jason Watson Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 16/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lilly Lux (FR)J: Callum Shepherd Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 4/1

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Gooloogong (IRE)J: Isobelle Chalmers Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 18f · Good · 29 ran 9th 40/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Longlai (FR)J: Benoit de la Sayette Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 7th 66/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marsh Benham (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 33/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Now Maybe (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 1) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is George Baker's strike rate?: George Baker has won 549 of 4,806 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does George Baker do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 66 wins from 366 runners (18%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for George Baker?: Pat Cosgrave, with 930 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 114 (12.3%).
Is George Baker in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is George Baker's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 4,780 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.