What is Jim Goldie's strike rate?

Jim Goldie has won 995 of 9,706 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jim Goldie do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 40 wins from 247 runners (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jim Goldie?

Paul Mulrennan, with 1,355 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 223 (16.5%).

Is Jim Goldie in form?

In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 10.3% since 2008.

What is Jim Goldie's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 9,659 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jim Goldie

9,706 runners in the lifetime window · 423 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.4% of 794 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 12 Nov 2026.

Last runner 6 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

995–9,706

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=9,706

2,744 (28%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=9,659 · 0.89 incl. margin

−1,811.76

£1 level stake

n=9,706 at SP · −18.7%

£12.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 510 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 9,706 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 30.3% when favourite Paul Mulrennan: 16.5% from 1,355 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Perth (16.2%, n=247), clear of the yard's 10.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 3.8% (n=184, Fair A/E 1.02). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −502.03 to a £1 stake over 983 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 19 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 10.3pts below the 10.3% baseline). Paul Mulrennan rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.5% vs 10.3%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 4.8% over 498 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King Charles III Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2025, £411,573). The stable star of the record: Sir Chauvelin (GB) — 16 wins from 95 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−5.1

n=983 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −502.03

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−4.0

n=207 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −93.50

Debutants · first career start

3.8%−6.5

n=184 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −97.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.4%−3.9

n=156 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −41.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8%−2.3

n=401 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −154.72

When favourite

30.3%

n=786 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −53.81

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.6%−1.7

n=3,413 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −708.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.5%−2.8

n=146 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −51.99

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Paul Mulrennan 16.5% vs 10.3% · n=1,355

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 10.3% · n=998

Off a break of 180+ days 4.8% vs 10.3% · n=498

With debutants 3.8% vs 10.3% · n=184

At Perth 16.2% vs 10.3% · n=247

With Joe Doyle 3.3% vs 10.3% · n=92

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 8,439 859 10.2% −1,576.20

Hurdle 924 103 11.1% −128.74

Chase 253 26 10.3% −91.82

NH Flat 90 7 7.8% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 3,024 329 10.9% −522.85

Good to Firm 2,007 220 11% −434.03

Good to Soft 1,617 147 9.1% −396.83

Standard (AW) 1,403 150 10.7% −130.30

Soft 1,292 108 8.4% −228.99

Heavy 355 40 11.3% −97.76

Firm 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 2,649 288 10.9% −346.62

Musselburgh 1,714 168 9.8% −421.30

Hamilton 1,183 139 11.7% −234.47

Newcastle (AW) 1,095 121 11.1% −117.97

Doncaster 352 32 9.1% −50.12

York 267 13 4.9% −128.67

Perth 247 40 16.2% +13.84

Carlisle 240 26 10.8% −54.26

Newcastle 233 22 9.4% −44.95

Haydock 206 10 4.9% −105.75

Redcar 202 19 9.4% −11.25

Thirsk 188 21 11.2% −20.80

Wolverhampton (AW) 169 13 7.7% −15.25

Kelso 142 14 9.9% −46.01

Ascot 134 9 6.7% −57.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 2,777 336 12.1% −568.03

Class 5 2,542 255 10% −351.18

Class 4 2,303 239 10.4% −373.20

Class 3 1,001 92 9.2% −234.93

Class 2 904 61 6.7% −206.93

Class 1 163 11 6.7% −68.99

Class 7 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 976 270 27.7% 1.06 −105.74

2nd–3rd fav 2,007 335 16.7% 1.04 −235.85

4th–6th fav 3,119 289 9.3% 1.11 −86.17

7th+ in betting 3,604 101 2.8% 0.77 −1,384.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,867 264 9.2% −479.63

Under 6f 1,634 168 10.3% −453.03

1m5f – 2m 1,600 192 12% −107.57

1m2f – 1m4f 1,411 158 11.2% −141.68

1m – 1m1f 1,396 136 9.7% −367.74

2m1f – 2m4f 488 41 8.4% −186.75

2m5f – 3m 282 35 12.4% −51.86

Over 3m 28 1 3.6% −23.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 506 55 10.9% −53.88

2009 489 47 9.6% −79.50

2010 545 50 9.2% −191.49

2011 540 62 11.5% −95.02

2012 502 36 7.2% −182.05

2013 486 45 9.3% −125.79

2014 552 57 10.3% −68.27

2015 496 43 8.7% −87.12

2016 403 25 6.2% −154.34

2017 411 37 9% −118.91

2018 430 46 10.7% +11.67

2019 477 32 6.7% −232.99

2020 359 31 8.6% −26.07

2021 371 44 11.9% +27.31

2022 555 62 11.2% −178.31

2023 700 79 11.3% −170.52

2024 528 74 14% −77.16

2025 674 100 14.8% −49.89

2026 682 70 10.3% +40.57

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 8,526 904 10.6% −1,601.76

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 3,381 388 11.5% −297.27

11-13 runners 2,709 209 7.7% −832.11

5-7 runners 1,726 251 14.5% −218.47

14-16 runners 1,150 90 7.8% −237.88

17+ runners 625 30 4.8% −257.17

2-4 runners 115 27 23.5% +31.14

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Oriental Lilly (GB) 111 10 26 31 Jul 23

Tommy G (GB) 110 12 36 3 Jun 24

Dhaular Dhar (IRE)from B W Hills 103 8 31 16 Jul 16

Goninodaethat (GB) 102 8 22 11 Oct 18

Jessie Allan (IRE) 101 5 21 25 Oct 22

Grand Diamond (IRE)from Amanda Perrett 99 7 35 20 Jul 15

Sir Chauvelin (GB) 95 16 31 8 Jul 24

Rory (GB) 93 7 30 6 Mar 26

Be Proud (IRE)from R Mike Smith 90 11 30 25 Oct 24

Pammi (GB)from Anthony Carson 89 10 26 17 Aug 24

Star Cracker (IRE)from Michael Dods 89 8 23 5 Mar 21

Rasaman (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 89 8 25 6 Sep 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 423 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 45 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J W Hills (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 19 0% · −10.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

Lifetime base10.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

13121181212111110789

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaul Mulrennan

14% of all rides
16.5% SR · A/E 1.19

RiderRWSR£1

Paul Mulrennan 1,355 223 16.5% −96.50

Graham Lee 626 78 12.5% +9.52

Daniel Tudhope 555 68 12.3% −115.90

Gary Bartley 552 50 9.1% −74.37

Amie Waugh 505 39 7.7% −157.26

Lauren Young 418 49 11.7% −43.08

Phil Dennis 306 25 8.2% −56.77

Fergal Lynch 282 30 10.6% +30.50

Richie McGrath 196 29 14.8% +33.69

Kelly Harrison 148 12 8.1% −67.75

James Sullivan 137 8 5.8% −56.17

Jamie Gormley 132 11 8.3% −62.87

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,099

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£13.0m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 100 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

American Affair (GB) — King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£411,573

American Affair (GB) — King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2026 · Group 2

£170,130

Euchen Glen (GB) — 59th John Smith's Cup Handicap York · Jul 2018 · Class 2

£124,500

Notable horses

Sir Chauvelin (GB) Euchen Glen (GB) Ayr Poet (GB) Dhaular Dhar (IRE) Tommy G (GB) Nicholas T (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Orientor (GB) 10.8% · 114–1,054

Progeny have won 10% of 1,454 runs since 2011 (57 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 12.1% · 33–273

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Poet's Voice (GB) 12.5% · 25–200

Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Lujain (USA) 11% · 20–181

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Authorized (IRE) 16.7% · 29–174

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,041 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Sulamani (IRE) 9.7% · 16–165

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,247 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,827 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,827 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Pal Joey (GB)J: Lauren Young Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 7/2F

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Spun To Gold (USA)J: Lauren Young Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 28/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Kelpie Grey (GB)J: Lauren Young All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 16/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Ana Emaraaty (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Yaaser (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 11/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Thistle Nil (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 28/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Humble Spark (IRE)J: Lauren Young Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Ashen (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Thank You For The Fun Gweedore Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 9/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Abduction (FR)J: Lauren Young Thank You For The Fun Gweedore Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 7/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Dandy Magic (IRE)J: Lauren Young Nairns Oatcakes Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Motawaared (GB)J: Lauren Young Hibernian FC Emerald Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 7/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Storm On Jura (GB)J: Lauren Young Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 3/1F

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Alpine Sierra (IRE)J: Lauren Young Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 3/1F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Cascade Hall (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Trojan Sun (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 15/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Thunderstorm Katie (GB)J: Lauren Young Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Fear And Fast (GB)J: Cam Hardie Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 11/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Dwindling Funds (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 2nd 100/30F

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Yaaser (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Togeather Forever (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jim Goldie's strike rate?: Jim Goldie has won 995 of 9,706 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jim Goldie do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 40 wins from 247 runners (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jim Goldie?: Paul Mulrennan, with 1,355 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 223 (16.5%).
Is Jim Goldie in form?: In the last 14 days: 19 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 10.3% since 2008.
What is Jim Goldie's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 9,659 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.