Martin Hill
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 60 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).
Hadden Frost rode 21% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14.2% vs 7.4%, A/E 1.87) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well on Good to Firm going (13.7%, n=117) and in Class 3 (14.1%, n=85). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 30 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Detroit Red (GB) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 710 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 710 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 August 2005 to 1 October 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Martin Hill's strike rate?
- Martin Hill has won 49 of 661 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Martin Hill do best at?
- Newton Abbot by strike rate: 23 wins from 201 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Martin Hill?
- Hadden Frost, with 141 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (14.2%).
- What is Martin Hill's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 658 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.