Martyn Meade
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 17% off breaks of two months or more (230 runs).
The record is strongest at Doncaster (25.6%, n=39), clear of the yard's 15% baseline. It is weakest at York (3.1% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 9.1% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.87). Debutants are the standout value angle: 12.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +61.85 to a £1 stake over 165 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Fergus Sweeney rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.4%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 9.4% over 96 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot (Jun 2019, £283,550). The stable star of the record: Aclaim (IRE) — 7 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,093 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,093 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 February 2005 to 30 June 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Martyn Meade's strike rate?
- Martyn Meade has won 157 of 1,044 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Martyn Meade do best at?
- Doncaster by strike rate: 10 wins from 39 runners (25.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Martyn Meade?
- Fergus Sweeney, with 174 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (14.4%).
- What is Martyn Meade's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 1,039 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.