What is Milton Harris's strike rate?

Milton Harris has won 270 of 2,334 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Milton Harris do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 22 wins from 124 runners (17.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Milton Harris?

Mitchell Bastyan, with 275 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (16.4%).

What is Milton Harris's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,333 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Milton Harris

2,334 runners in the lifetime window · 263 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

270–2,334

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=2,334

687 (29%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,333 · 0.90 incl. margin

−570.50

£1 level stake

n=2,334 at SP · −24.4%

£2.78m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Debutants are a strength: 16% on first career starts (84 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,334 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jul 38.6% when favourite Mitchell Bastyan: 16.4% from 275 Headgear returns: 14% Claiming riders: 13.6% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sedgefield (25.7%, n=35), clear of the yard's 11.6% baseline. Debutants strike at 15.5% (n=84, Fair A/E 1.59). Mitchell Bastyan rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16.4% vs 11.6%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 52 runners, 11.6pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Jewson Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2022, £62,080). The stable star of the record: Herecomestanley (GB) — 10 wins from 61 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.5%−2.1

n=346 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −106.91

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%−1.6

n=160 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −20.02

Debutants · first career start

15.5%+3.9

n=84 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +7.55

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.6%−2.0

n=104 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −46.45

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14%+2.4

n=93 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +61.38

When favourite

38.6%

n=236 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +2.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.6%+2.0

n=868 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −38.94

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%−1.6

n=70 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −14.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Paddy Brennan 26% vs 11.6% · n=77

With Harry Cobden 25.9% vs 11.6% · n=54

On last-time-out winners 20.9% vs 11.6% · n=273

At Sedgefield 25.7% vs 11.6% · n=35

With Bradley Harris 21.4% vs 11.6% · n=145

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 11.6% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,319 169 12.8% −295.73

Flat 456 27 5.9% −232.97

Chase 409 46 11.2% −65.14

NH Flat 150 28 18.7% +23.34

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 921 113 12.3% −223.89

Good to Soft 429 47 11% −85.83

Soft 306 32 10.5% −111.63

Good to Firm 280 44 15.7% −5.62

Standard (AW) 239 10 4.2% −151.17

Heavy 141 22 15.6% −12.86

Firm 18 2 11.1% +20.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Stratford 151 25 16.6% +7.01

Newton Abbot 124 22 17.7% −23.38

Fontwell 117 16 13.7% −23.52

Fakenham 93 12 12.9% −43.88

Plumpton 93 15 16.1% −7.95

Wincanton 93 9 9.7% −1.25

Uttoxeter 90 8 8.9% −36.75

Lingfield (AW) 85 6 7.1% −31.50

Market Rasen 75 11 14.7% −9.99

Kempton (AW) 70 3 4.3% −47.67

Bath 68 9 13.2% +9.87

Huntingdon 61 7 11.5% −26.12

Ludlow 61 7 11.5% −19.98

Taunton 59 8 13.6% +5.70

Wolverhampton (AW) 56 1 1.8% −44.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 846 113 13.4% −212.14

Class 5 580 61 10.5% −191.87

Class 3 444 61 13.7% −2.27

Class 6 216 15 6.9% −108.92

Class 2 160 12 7.5% −43.68

Class 1 88 8 9.1% −11.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 267 98 36.7% 1.09 +1.45

2nd–3rd fav 507 91 17.9% 1.03 −54.45

4th–6th fav 779 61 7.8% 1.00 −91.50

7th+ in betting 781 20 2.6% 0.84 −426.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86% completed · 1,728 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 409 76.5% 20 12 60 1 3

Hurdle 1,319 88.9% 21 15 101 3 6

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jacamar (GER)then Anthony Charlton 42 7 11 28 May 23

Chaninbar (FR)from Paul Nicholls · then Merrita Jones 40 6 14 7 May 11

Sufi (GB)from Ken Cunningham-Brown 37 3 9 24 Oct 23

Global Agreement (GB) 37 3 10 4 May 23

Presenting Yeats (IRE)then Richard Hawker 36 6 11 22 Sep 23

Mr Yeats (IRE)then Harriet Dickin 34 5 16 21 Oct 23

Snake Charmer (GB)then Merrita Jones 34 3 12 10 Jun 11

Pepporoni Pete (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 34 2 9 8 Mar 11

Gulf Punch (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Merrita Jones 31 3 5 2 Jun 11

Magic Sky (FR)from Paul Nicholls 30 3 11 13 May 11

Away For Slates (IRE)from Dan Skelton 28 6 12 24 Sep 21

Pseudonym (IRE)from Dominic Ffrench Davis 28 4 9 13 Sep 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 263 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (6) and Richard Hannon (3); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for Harriet Dickin (6) and Anthony Charlton (5); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

101181515151861511911

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMitchell Bastyan

12% of all rides
16.4% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Mitchell Bastyan 275 45 16.4% −32.75

Charlie Poste 212 14 6.6% −92.42

Kevin Jones 178 28 15.7% +8.22

Harry Reed 177 20 11.3% −83.07

Bradley Harris 145 31 21.4% +11.53

Dave Crosse 137 7 5.1% −27.25

Warren Marston 103 12 11.7% −0.83

Jimmy Derham 92 17 18.5% +33.50

Paddy Brennan 77 20 26% +8.65

Harry Cobden 54 14 25.9% −7.23

Rob Hornby 38 5 13.2% +24.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

344

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.36m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 72 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Knight Salute (GB) — Jewson Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2022 · Grade 1

£62,080

Chaninbar (FR) — Alder Hey Imagine Appeal Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2010 · Class 1

£39,907

Pyramid Place (IRE) — Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Chepstow · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£39,023

Notable horses

Herecomestanley (GB) Alfadora (GB) Pseudonym (IRE) Jacamar (GER) Pyramid Place (IRE) Songo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 15.7% · 11–70

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,845 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Australia (GB) 15.6% · 7–45

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,676 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Maxios (GB) 15.9% · 7–44

Progeny have won 11.7% of 2,159 runs since 2017 (275 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 317. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 7.9% from 191.

Milford Track (IRE) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 8.4% of 119 runs since 2008 (12 horses).

Montjeu (IRE) 10.3% · 4–39

Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 23.7% · 9–38

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,045 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,277 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,277 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 6 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 23 Plumpton Copshill Lad (IRE)J: Harry Reed Southern Contract Lifting Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/3F

06 Nov 23 Plumpton Western Soldier (GER)J: Bradley Harris SCA 26 Year Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 10/3

06 Nov 23 Plumpton Pyramid Place (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Mannok Build GB Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 9/2

05 Nov 23 Carlisle Shallow River (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Castletown Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 5/2F

04 Nov 23 Ascot Twinjets (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Ascot Underwriting Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

04 Nov 23 Ascot Prince Imperial (USA)J: Bradley Harris Grundon Waste Management Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 14/1

03 Nov 23 Newmarket Havaila (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Betfred Nifty 50 HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 5/1

02 Nov 23 Stratford El Muchacho (IRE)J: Harry Reed Charlie Longsdon Racing Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Soft · 6 ran PU 6/1

30 Oct 23 Huntingdon Chase Park (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Rhino.Bet Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 6/1

27 Oct 23 Cheltenham Parade Away (IRE)J: Harry Reed Skybet Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 33/1

27 Oct 23 Lingfield (AW) Leazy Lindsay (GB)J: Rob Hornby Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 33/1

26 Oct 23 Ludlow Sisterandbrother (GB)J: Harry Cobden Hazlin Of Ludlow Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/1

24 Oct 23 Exeter Dodger Long (GB)J: Bradley Harris South West '3 Yrs Old' 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 13f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 15/2

24 Oct 23 Exeter Westerninthepark (IRE)J: Harry Reed Molson Coors Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 7/2

24 Oct 23 Exeter Sufi (GB)J: Mr Billy Broomfield Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 66/1

23 Oct 23 Plumpton Uggy Uggy Uggy (GB)J: Bradley Harris Bet Goodwin Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/4F

23 Oct 23 Plumpton Western Soldier (GER)J: Jonathan Burke Trottenden Sussex Cattle Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 4/5F

22 Oct 23 Kempton Shallow River (IRE)J: Bradley Harris Racing Tv Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/3F

22 Oct 23 Kempton Songo (IRE)J: Harry Cobden TrustATrader trustatrader.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

22 Oct 23 Sedgefield Swiss Money (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Join Our Vickers.Bet Customer Racing Club Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Milton Harris's strike rate?: Milton Harris has won 270 of 2,334 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Milton Harris do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 22 wins from 124 runners (17.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Milton Harris?: Mitchell Bastyan, with 275 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (16.4%).
What is Milton Harris's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,333 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.