P Cluskey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.65).
The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.47 and −248.00 to a £1 stake over 332 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mark Bolger rides 10% of the entries and beats the yard's average (11.1% vs 2.5%, A/E 2.45) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (7%, n=57). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.00 across 74 runners (0% strike, −74.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Ciankyle (IRE) — 7 wins from 74 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 675 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 675 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 April 2005 to 23 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 23 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is P Cluskey's strike rate?
- P Cluskey has won 14 of 561 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does P Cluskey do best at?
- Gowran Park by strike rate: 2 wins from 45 runners (4.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for P Cluskey?
- Mark Bolger, with 54 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (11.1%).
- Is P Cluskey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is P Cluskey's Fair A/E?
- 0.65, from 560 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.