What is Robert Alan Hennessy's strike rate?

Robert Alan Hennessy has won 49 of 659 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robert Alan Hennessy do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 61 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Robert Alan Hennessy?

A E Lynch, with 247 runners since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (7.7%).

What is Robert Alan Hennessy's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 659 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Robert Alan Hennessy

659 runners in the lifetime window · 51 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2019

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

49–659

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=659

161 (24%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=659 · 0.72 incl. margin

−333.30

£1 level stake

n=659 at SP · −50.6%

£921k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

33.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 659 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 37.1% when favourite A E Lynch: 7.7% from 247 Sent off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Clonmel (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.27 and −92.00 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. A E Lynch rode 37% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.7%, A/E 0.83). The yard also read well in Class 4 (26.7%, n=30) and in Chase races (12%, n=150). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.7% over 59 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the December Festival Hurdle at Leopardstown (Dec 2008, £65,100). The stable star of the record was Magnetic Force (IRE) — 9 wins from 83 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−2.9

n=132 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −86.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.4

n=42 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.4

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−3.1

n=23 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.4%−5.0

n=41 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −38.50

When favourite

37.1%

n=35 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +6.29

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

1.7%−5.7

n=121 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −92.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.5%+1.1

n=47 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −30.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 26.7% vs 7.4% · n=30

With new recruits 0% vs 7.4% · n=42

With claiming riders up 1.7% vs 7.4% · n=121

At Clonmel 0% vs 7.4% · n=36

Off a break of 180+ days 1.7% vs 7.4% · n=59

In Chase races 12% vs 7.4% · n=150

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 405 26 6.4% −238.57

Chase 150 18 12% −51.23

Flat 86 5 5.8% −25.50

NH Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 216 19 8.8% −59.67

Soft 186 16 8.6% −98.42

Heavy 111 7 6.3% −79.88

Good to Firm 85 5 5.9% −63.33

Good to Soft 40 2 5% −11.00

Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 68 3 4.4% −35.50

Downpatrick 61 5 8.2% −26.67

Gowran Park 52 4 7.7% −25.85

Punchestown 50 2 4% −43.00

Clonmel 36 0 0% −36.00

Down Royal 36 2 5.6% −8.00

Navan 33 1 3% −30.50

Tramore 31 2 6.5% −14.00

Leopardstown 28 1 3.6% −24.00

Perth 26 7 26.9% +4.75

Bellewstown 23 2 8.7% −10.50

Limerick 22 2 9.1% −11.50

Galway 19 0 0% −19.00

Wexford 17 3 17.6% +12.00

Kilbeggan 17 0 0% −17.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 48 4 8.3% −31.10

Class 4 30 8 26.7% +2.75

Class 3 14 2 14.3% +0.00

Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 15 35.7% 1.36 +7.29

2nd–3rd fav 123 19 15.4% 1.02 −24.09

4th–6th fav 176 9 5.1% 0.69 −90.50

7th+ in betting 318 6 1.9% 0.52 −226.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.6% completed · 555 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 150 88% 3 4 9 1 1

Hurdle 405 91.6% 6 3 22 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Magnetic Force (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 83 9 26 27 Jul 18

Mister First (FR) 76 5 22 14 Feb 18

Rubi Light (FR)from F-M Cottin 39 8 17 5 Mar 16

Space Ship (GB)from John Gosden 29 3 7 5 Jul 19

Ultra Light (FR) 29 3 9 23 Oct 14

Gold Class (GB)from Ed McMahon · then Olly Murphy 25 0 5 8 Oct 16

Maddoxtown (IRE)from Anthony Mullins · then Richenda Ford 25 0 3 9 Sep 14

Time Machine (UAE)from John Gosden 23 1 9 19 Jun 11

Santo Prince (USA)from Gordon Elliott · then Mrs Gillian Callaghan 22 3 8 31 May 16

Dylrow (IRE)then D M Christie 21 3 10 6 May 19

Pershing (GB)from Marco Botti · then Olly Murphy 21 0 4 6 Oct 16

Reportage (USA)from John Gosden 20 1 3 13 Oct 12

All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John G Carr (4) and John Gosden (3); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for David Peter Dunne (2) and Dermot A McLoughlin (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12114211351371137

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA E Lynch

37% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

A E Lynch 247 19 7.7% −128.92

B M Cash 35 1 2.9% −26.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£921k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 9 wins

Sublimity (FR) — December Festival Hurdle (grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade 1

£65,100

Rubi Light (FR) — John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase (grade 1) Punchestown · Dec 2011 · Grade 1

£52,000

Rubi Light (FR) — Red Mills Chase (grade 2) Gowran Park · Feb 2012 · Grade 2

£26,000

Notable horses

Magnetic Force (IRE) Rubi Light (FR) Mister First (FR) Hero De Villeneuve (FR) Space Ship (GB) Ultra Light (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Verglas (IRE) 10.8% · 9–83

Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).

Trempolino (USA) 6.6% · 5–76

Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,003 runs since 2008 (173 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.5% from 199. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5% from 119.

Network (GER) 20.5% · 8–39

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,769 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 275.

Brier Creek (USA) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 14.1% of 553 runs since 2008 (38 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Firebreak (GB) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,474 runs since 2009 (150 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 659 · newest first

The latest 50 of 659 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 December 2008 to 5 July 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Jul 19 Bellewstown Space Ship (GB)J: Adam Short Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Good · 16 ran PU 50/1

06 May 19 Down Royal Dylrow (IRE)J: Killian Moore Daily Mirror Handicap Chase16f · Good · 8 ran PU 8/1

07 Apr 19 Fairyhouse Dylrow (IRE)J: Danny Hand Boylesports Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 12th 8/1

17 Mar 19 Wexford Dylrow (IRE)J: Adam Short Barry Ennis Memorial Novice Handicap Chase16f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 6th 4/1

26 Jan 19 Fairyhouse Dylrow (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Fairyhouse Racecourse Members Handicap Chase17f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 9/2

15 Jan 19 Fairyhouse Dylrow (IRE)J: A E Lynch Racing Again January 27th Beginners Chase16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 20/1

13 Dec 18 Tramore Dylrow (IRE)J: Danny Hand Sponsorship Packages At Tramore Racecourse Beginners Chase21.5f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 14/1

31 Aug 18 Down Royal Silken Thomas (IRE)J: Shane Shortall Kerry Foods Handicap Hurdle (80-109)22f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 15th 40/1

05 Aug 18 Galway Silken Thomas (IRE)J: Shane Shortall Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-116)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 16th 50/1

27 Jul 18 Wexford Magnetic Force (IRE)J: Adam Short Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109)16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 10/1

15 Jun 18 Fairyhouse Space Ship (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Toals.com Bookmakers Handicap12f · Good · 10 ran 7th 33/1

02 Jun 18 Navan Space Ship (GB)J: Colm O'Donoghue Come Racing Saturday July 14th Handicap13f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 25/1

13 May 18 Leopardstown Space Ship (GB)J: Conor Hoban Fitzpatrick Gallagher McEvoy Solicitors Handicap12f · Good · 10 ran 10th 50/1

05 May 18 Wexford Dylrow (IRE)J: Danny Hand Building The Future Beginners Chase16f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 20/1

29 Mar 18 Clonmel Dylrow (IRE)J: A E Lynch Slievenamon Beginners Chase16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran REF 14/1

14 Feb 18 Fairyhouse Mister First (FR)J: A E Lynch Bobbyjo Bistro Great Food Great Deals Handicap Chase (0-109)21f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 16/1

31 Jan 18 Down Royal Mister First (FR)J: Danny Hand Robert Mccoubrey Handicap Chase (0-116)20f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 7/1

27 Jan 18 Fairyhouse Mister First (FR)J: A E Lynch Fairyhouse Racecourse Members Handicap Chase17f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 14/1

28 Dec 17 Limerick Mister First (FR)J: A E Lynch Cube Veterans Handicap Chase22.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 7/1

16 Dec 17 Fairyhouse Dylrow (IRE)J: Danny Hand Book Easter Festival Tickets Online At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Alan Hennessy's strike rate?: Robert Alan Hennessy has won 49 of 659 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Alan Hennessy do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 61 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Robert Alan Hennessy?: A E Lynch, with 247 runners since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (7.7%).
What is Robert Alan Hennessy's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 659 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.