What is Roger Fell & Sean Murray's strike rate?

Roger Fell & Sean Murray has won 47 of 651 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Roger Fell & Sean Murray do best at?

Ripon by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Roger Fell & Sean Murray?

Jonny Peate, with 232 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (7.3%).

What is Roger Fell & Sean Murray's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 650 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Roger Fell & Sean Murray

651 runners in the lifetime window · 83 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2024 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

47–651

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=651

160 (25%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=650 · 0.76 incl. margin

−251.92

£1 level stake

n=651 at SP · −38.7%

£577k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 651 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 29.3% when favourite Jonny Peate: 7.3% from 232 New recruits: 8.3% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ripon (16.1%, n=31) and Pontefract (12.1%, n=33) — all clear of the yard's 7.2% baseline. It is weakest at Doncaster (0% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Jonny Peate rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (11.8%, n=93) and off a 15-30-day break (10.8%, n=251). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−2.7

n=66 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −19.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%+1.1

n=60 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −25.37

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.2

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−0.9

n=16 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.6%−1.6

n=36 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −21.00

When favourite

29.3%

n=41 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −2.17

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−0.1

n=282 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −66.99

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ripon 16.1% vs 7.2% · n=31

At Doncaster 0% vs 7.2% · n=33

On Good to Soft going 11.8% vs 7.2% · n=93

Off a 15-30-day break 10.8% vs 7.2% · n=251

At York 2.2% vs 7.2% · n=45

At Pontefract 12.1% vs 7.2% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 648 47 7.3% −248.92

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 191 15 7.9% −24.05

Good 144 10 6.9% −83.25

Good to Firm 108 6 5.6% −67.12

Good to Soft 93 11 11.8% +11.50

Soft 87 4 4.6% −65.00

Heavy 28 1 3.6% −24.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 114 8 7% +4.33

Thirsk 60 5 8.3% +15.00

Southwell (AW) 49 3 6.1% −28.50

Beverley 46 4 8.7% −18.25

York 45 1 2.2% −38.50

Redcar 39 3 7.7% −24.25

Catterick 37 1 2.7% −33.00

Pontefract 33 4 12.1% −11.37

Doncaster 33 0 0% −33.00

Ripon 31 5 16.1% −8.50

Ayr 23 1 4.3% −11.00

Hamilton 23 5 21.7% +5.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 21 4 19% +7.12

Carlisle 19 0 0% −19.00

Musselburgh 15 3 20% +5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 247 21 8.5% −65.87

Class 5 184 12 6.5% −57.88

Class 4 138 9 6.5% −86.50

Class 2 43 2 4.7% −21.50

Class 3 38 3 7.9% −19.17

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 47 13 27.7% 1.13 −2.17

2nd–3rd fav 101 13 12.9% 0.86 −28.75

4th–6th fav 202 15 7.4% 0.93 −62.00

7th+ in betting 301 6 2% 0.61 −159.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Oso Rapido (IRE)from Roger Fell · then Roger Fell 25 2 7 28 Sep 24

Lotus Rose (GB)from Roger Fell 18 1 6 11 Sep 24

Mr Squires (IRE)from Roger Fell 18 2 5 9 Sep 24

Dandys Gold (IRE)from Roger Fell 18 2 5 3 May 24

Harswell Duke (IRE)from Roger Fell · then Liam Bailey 17 0 3 24 Sep 24

End Zone (GB)from Roger Fell · then Roger Fell 16 1 3 4 Oct 24

Eldrickjones (IRE)from Roger Fell · then Roger Fell 16 3 6 14 Sep 24

Cockalorum (IRE)from Roger Fell · then Roger Fell 16 2 5 29 Aug 24

Global Spirit (GB)from Roger Fell 16 1 3 28 May 24

Glory Hyde (IRE)then Roger Fell 15 2 7 18 Sep 24

Armoured (IRE) 15 1 3 12 Sep 24

Ustath (GB)from Roger Fell · then Roger Fell 14 2 4 9 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 83 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 46 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Roger Fell (36) and Robyn Brisland (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Roger Fell (16) and Alan Brown (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

40069117882170

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJonny Peate

36% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Jonny Peate 232 17 7.3% −47.99

Jason Hart 82 4 4.9% −56.00

Ben Curtis 35 4 11.4% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£577k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 24 wins

Call Me Harswell (IRE) — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Beverley · May 2024 · Class 2

£16,200

La Trinidad (GB) — William Hill Summer Cup Handicap Thirsk · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£15,702

Eldrickjones (IRE) — Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap Newcastle (AW) · May 2024 · Class 3

£14,394

Notable horses

Eldrickjones (IRE) Edwina Sheeran (IRE) Oso Rapido (IRE) Dandys Gold (IRE) Mr Squires (IRE) Cockalorum (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Cotai Glory (GB) 12.5% · 6–48

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,971 runs since 2021 (391 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,433. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

Kodiac (GB) 6.8% · 3–44

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Massaat (IRE) 0% · 0–23

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,224 runs since 2022 (125 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.4% from 113. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 134.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,246 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 651 · newest first

The latest 50 of 651 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 June 2023 to 4 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) End Zone (GB)J: Rowan Scott Elite Venue Selection Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 10/3F

30 Sep 24 Hamilton Edwina Sheeran (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Book Your 2025 Race Day At Hamilton Park HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 14/1

30 Sep 24 Hamilton Delagate This Lord (GB)J: Rowan Scott Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Racecourse HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

30 Sep 24 Hamilton Hi Lord (GB)J: Rowan Scott Sharing Angels Launch EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/1

29 Sep 24 Southwell (AW) Petra Celera (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 10/3F

28 Sep 24 Ripon Spantik (GB)J: Rowan Scott David Dalton 50-Years Service Happy Retirement HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 33/1

28 Sep 24 Ripon Oso Rapido (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Michael Raby Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

28 Sep 24 Newmarket La Trinidad (GB)J: Aidan Keeley bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 9f · Soft · 31 ran 26th 100/1

26 Sep 24 Southwell (AW) Harswell Dandy (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Download The Raceday Ready App NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 17/2

25 Sep 24 Redcar Mavetheforcebewivu (GB)J: Connor Beasley Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 10th 8/1

24 Sep 24 Newcastle (AW) Entrecasteaux (IRE)J: Billy Garritty QuinnBet Second To The SP Favourite Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 50/1

24 Sep 24 Newcastle (AW) Harswell Ruby (IRE)J: Billy Garritty QuinnBet Acca Bonus Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 25/1

24 Sep 24 Beverley Harswell Duke (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Ward Homes Yorkshire Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 7.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 10/1

24 Sep 24 Beverley Coul Harswell (IRE)J: Luke Morris Suzanne Winnard Memorial Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

23 Sep 24 Hamilton Call Me Harswell (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Ecosave Installations Ltd NurseryClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 6/1

23 Sep 24 Hamilton Rievaulx Raver (IRE)J: Aidan Keeley St Andrews Ambulance Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 13/2

20 Sep 24 Ayr End Zone (GB)J: Clifford Lee Microtech Group HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

19 Sep 24 Ayr End Zone (GB)J: Clifford Lee Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 9th 22/1

19 Sep 24 Pontefract Petra Celera (IRE)J: Luke Morris Matty Bown HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 40/1

19 Sep 24 Pontefract Edwina Sheeran (IRE)J: Sean Kirrane Always Trying Racing Syndicate HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Fell & Sean Murray's strike rate?: Roger Fell & Sean Murray has won 47 of 651 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Fell & Sean Murray do best at?: Ripon by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Roger Fell & Sean Murray?: Jonny Peate, with 232 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (7.3%).
What is Roger Fell & Sean Murray's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 650 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.