Zoe Davison
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 120 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).
The record is strongest at Plumpton (10.7%, n=253) and Stratford (12.8%, n=39) — all clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −216.50 to a £1 stake over 316 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Gemma Gracey-Davison rode 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.92). The record read poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0.6% over 156 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Sherjawy (IRE) — 11 wins from 131 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,045 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,045 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 3 January 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Zoe Davison's strike rate?
- Zoe Davison has won 87 of 1,698 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Zoe Davison do best at?
- Stratford by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Zoe Davison?
- Gemma Gracey-Davison, with 365 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (5.2%).
- What is Zoe Davison's Fair A/E?
- 0.87, from 1,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.