What is Anthony Carson's strike rate?

Anthony Carson has won 107 of 1,242 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Anthony Carson do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 17 wins from 137 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Anthony Carson?

William Carson, with 617 runners since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (9.2%).

Is Anthony Carson in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Anthony Carson's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,230 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Anthony Carson

1,242 runners in the lifetime window · 121 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 90% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

107–1,242

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=1,242

306 (25%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,230 · 0.85 incl. margin

−219.29

£1 level stake

n=1,242 at SP · −17.7%

£702k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,242 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 35.3% when favourite William Carson: 9.2% from 617 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.9% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.36). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −63.52 to a £1 stake over 164 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. William Carson rides 50% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.1%, n=76) and on Soft going (14.1%, n=78). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.4% over 41 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.55 across 180 runners (4.4% strike, −116.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Peace Seeker (GB) — 8 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−3.7

n=164 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −63.52

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.9%−6.7

n=52 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −31.00

Debutants · first career start

5.6%−3.0

n=71 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +73.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.2%−0.4

n=49 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −19.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.4%−4.2

n=45 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −35.50

When favourite

35.3%

n=85 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +4.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.2%−2.4

n=257 · A/E 0.86 · £1 +4.46

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.6

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19% vs 8.6% · n=105

Off a 0-7-day break 17.1% vs 8.6% · n=76

With new recruits 1.9% vs 8.6% · n=52

On Soft going 14.1% vs 8.6% · n=78

In NH Flat races 2.4% vs 8.6% · n=41

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 4.4% vs 8.6% · n=180

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,115 98 8.8% −195.54

Hurdle 86 8 9.3% −5.75

NH Flat 41 1 2.4% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 682 62 9.1% −189.70

Good to Firm 183 15 8.2% −30.22

Good 179 13 7.3% −26.62

Good to Soft 92 5 5.4% −56.25

Soft 78 11 14.1% +108.50

Heavy 18 1 5.6% −15.00

Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 166 16 9.6% −24.67

Lingfield (AW) 159 14 8.8% −77.14

Chelmsford (AW) 144 9 6.3% −71.50

Yarmouth 137 17 12.4% +85.21

Kempton 136 14 10.3% −18.64

Southwell (AW) 75 9 12% +4.25

Brighton 41 4 9.8% −3.30

Newmarket 39 3 7.7% −26.25

Lingfield 36 3 8.3% +15.75

Leicester 32 2 6.3% +8.50

Nottingham 29 2 6.9% −3.50

Huntingdon 25 1 4% +1.00

Windsor 23 0 0% −23.00

Newmarket 19 0 0% −19.00

Southwell 15 3 20% +15.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 585 56 9.6% −133.17

Class 5 365 30 8.2% −1.37

Class 4 197 17 8.6% −29.25

Class 3 55 2 3.6% −38.50

Class 2 26 1 3.8% −9.00

Class 7 11 1 9.1% −5.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 111 33 29.7% 1.10 −8.62

2nd–3rd fav 212 33 15.6% 0.96 −41.17

4th–6th fav 387 24 6.2% 0.84 −116.50

7th+ in betting 532 17 3.2% 1.11 −53.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 486 46 9.5% −55.81

1m – 1m1f 269 24 8.9% +13.33

1m2f – 1m4f 180 8 4.4% −116.00

1m5f – 2m 161 14 8.7% −53.92

Under 6f 98 13 13.3% −10.89

2m1f – 2m4f 33 2 6.1% +19.00

2m5f – 3m 14 0 0% −14.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 10 3 30% −4.39

2012 104 9 8.7% +77.50

2013 120 12 10% −56.50

2014 100 17 17% −10.92

2015 71 7 9.9% −46.52

2016 97 13 13.4% +42.75

2017 89 12 13.5% −1.92

2018 103 7 6.8% −6.25

2019 61 7 11.5% +49.50

2020 88 0 0% −88.00

2021 104 5 4.8% −5.00

2022 102 4 3.9% −74.00

2023 86 6 7% −15.75

2024 44 2 4.5% −36.00

2025 32 2 6.3% −17.12

2026 31 1 3.2% −26.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 939 89 9.5% −180.10

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 493 44 8.9% +42.99

11-13 runners 359 25 7% −88.12

5-7 runners 247 29 11.7% −103.47

14-16 runners 116 2 1.7% −73.50

2-4 runners 17 6 35.3% +1.81

17+ runners 10 1 10% +1.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gulland Rock (GB)from William Muir 70 7 16 9 Jun 21

Spiritual Star (IRE)from Andrew Balding · then Lee Carter 42 3 10 6 Jun 16

Hail Promenader (IRE)from Andrew Haynes · then Jo Hughes 38 5 14 26 Jul 14

Denable (GB) 37 2 11 21 Jun 24

Curious Fox (GB) 37 7 13 7 Jan 19

Peace Seeker (GB)from Giles Bravery · then Ronald Harris 36 8 22 18 Jun 15

Coolagh Magic (GB)from Robyn Brisland 33 4 10 2 Sep 26

Henry The Fifth (IRE)from J P Murtagh 28 1 6 13 Jun 24

Darlo Pride (GB)then Michael Dods 27 4 14 20 Jun 24

Tulip Dress (GB) 27 3 6 17 Dec 17

May Hay (GB) 27 5 13 10 Jan 17

Mossy's Lodge (GB)then Rebecca Menzies 26 2 9 5 Jul 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 121 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Giles Bravery (4) and Jane Chapple-Hyam (4); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Brett Johnson (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10123310614898813

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderWilliam Carson

50% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

William Carson 617 57 9.2% −174.08

Graham Carson 59 4 6.8% −18.75

Luke Morris 35 3 8.6% −12.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

107

Archived wins

£702k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 17 wins

Pianissimo (GB) — Weatherbys Tba Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2019 · Class 2

£32,345

Consider Yourself (USA) — Betfair 10 Furlong Flat Series Final (Handicap) Warwick · Oct 2012 · Class 3

£15,563

Spiritual Star (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2015 · Class 3

£7,309

Notable horses

Peace Seeker (GB) Gulland Rock (GB) Curious Fox (GB) Hail Promenader (IRE) May Hay (GB) Coolagh Magic (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 10% · 7–70

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Royal Applause (GB) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Soviet Star (USA) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,621 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 160. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 320.

Champs Elysees (GB) 4.9% · 2–41

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,120 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Outstrip (GB) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,275 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.

Acclamation (GB) 13.2% · 5–38

Progeny have won 10% of 19,686 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,242 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,242 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 December 2011 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 4th 18/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1

02 Sep 26 Bath Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Trusted Betting Site Reviews gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 28/1

25 Aug 26 Stratford Mc'flo (GB)J: J M Quinlan Stratford Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 14/1

22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 8/1

26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran PU 18/1

29 Jun 26 Stratford Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 25/1

26 Jun 26 Yarmouth Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson quinnbet.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 10/3

12 Jun 26 Market Rasen Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Rase Vets Summer Party Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 6th 33/1

11 Jun 26 Yarmouth Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 22/1

29 May 26 Brighton Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Streamline Taxis 202020 Dash From The Stalls HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 9/2

28 May 26 Worcester Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell Safer Gambling At CopyBet Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

04 May 26 Warwick Mc'flo (GB)J: Brendan Powell Racing To School Celebrating 25 Years Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 8th 25/1

20 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Mr Ross Birkett Free Bets On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 20/1

11 Apr 26 Yarmouth Miss Monte Carlo (GB)J: Jack Doughty TigerBet.co.uk Grand National Specials HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 13th 40/1

09 Apr 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 20/1

04 Apr 26 Huntingdon Mc'flo (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn Bedfordshire Racing Club Remembers Dave Loveridge Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 25/1

20 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) Coolagh Magic (GB)J: William Carson Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 10/3

11 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 4/1

11 Mar 26 Huntingdon Mc'flo (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Safer Gambling At CopyBet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Anthony Carson's strike rate?: Anthony Carson has won 107 of 1,242 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Anthony Carson do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 17 wins from 137 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Anthony Carson?: William Carson, with 617 runners since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (9.2%).
Is Anthony Carson in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Anthony Carson's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,230 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.