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Trainer profile

Emma Owen

301 runners in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2024 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
15–301
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=301
58 (19%)
Placed
0.80
Fair A/E
n=301 · 0.68 incl. margin
−162.72
£1 level stake
n=301 at SP · −54.1%
£108k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 301 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (8.7%, n=104), clear of the yard's 5% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (10%, n=50). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 42 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Divine Messenger (GB) — 6 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.0
n=51 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −51.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+7.5
n=8 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −4.75
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +1.03
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−1.1
n=77 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 10% vs 5% · n=50
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 5% · n=42
In Class 4 0% vs 5% · n=33
At Kempton (AW) 8.7% vs 5% · n=104
At Wolverhampton (AW) 0% vs 5% · n=30
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 295 15 5.1% −156.72
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 255 14 5.5% −145.72
Good to Firm 15 1 6.7% +14.00
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 104 9 8.7% −41.25
Chelmsford City (AW) 53 1 1.9% −32.00
Lingfield (AW) 45 4 8.9% −19.47
Wolverhampton (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Southwell (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Brighton 23 1 4.3% +6.00
Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00
Salisbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Taunton 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Bath 1 0 0% −1.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Nottingham 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 161 8 5% −86.50
Class 5 69 5 7.2% −31.72
Class 7 34 2 5.9% −7.50
Class 4 33 0 0% −33.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 3 50% 2.00 +5.03
2nd–3rd fav 45 6 13.3% 0.90 −13.75
4th–6th fav 81 2 2.5% 0.34 −62.00
7th+ in betting 169 4 2.4% 0.86 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lutine Charlie (IRE)from Pat Eddery 53 2 12 18 Oct 18
Divine Messenger (GB) 45 6 16 18 Feb 24
Ertidaad (IRE)from Pat Eddery 31 1 7 1 May 19
Nasri (GB)from Pat Eddery 26 2 9 24 Apr 17
Legal Mind (GB) 20 0 2 31 Mar 24
Higher Court (USA)from David Nicholls 15 3 7 21 Feb 18
Gunner Moyne (GB)from Gary Moore 12 0 2 6 Feb 20
Dutiful Son (IRE)from Simon Dow 10 0 0 19 Aug 19
Barnacle (GB)from Pat Eddery 10 0 1 22 Apr 17
Reignite (GB) 8 0 0 13 Mar 19
Sea The Waves (GB) 7 1 2 18 Sep 20
Fireguard (GB) 6 0 0 15 Nov 18
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Pat Eddery (10) and Suzi Best (4); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
777360090563
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTom Queally
11% of all rides
2.9% SR · A/E 0.44
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Queally 34 1 2.9% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
15
Archived wins
£108k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Divine Messenger (GB) — Sun Racing Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2019 · Class 5
£4,690
Divine Messenger (GB) — Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 6
£4,292
Divine Messenger (GB) — Spreadex Sports Get 40 In Bonuses Classified Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2023 · Class 6
£4,292
Notable horses
Divine Messenger (GB) Higher Court (USA) Lutine Charlie (IRE) Nasri (GB) Ertidaad (IRE) Sea The Waves (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Firebreak (GB) 7.5% · 6–80
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,474 runs since 2009 (150 horses).
Kheleyf (USA) 3.8% · 2–53
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Kodiac (GB) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Kyllachy (GB) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Compton Place (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Shamardal (USA) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 302 · newest first

The latest 50 of 302 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 May 2007 to 31 March 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Mar 24 Southwell (AW) Legal Mind (GB)J: Brandon Wilkie Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 200/1
07 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) Legal Mind (GB)J: Tyler Heard Always Gamble Responsibly With Betuk Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 150/1
19 Feb 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Legal Mind (GB)J: Mia Nicholls Find More Big Deals At BetUK Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 125/1
18 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: David Probert Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 14/1
05 Feb 24 Lingfield (AW) Legal Mind (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Betmgm: It's Showtime Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 200/1
02 Feb 24 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: David Probert Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 17/2
20 Dec 23 Kempton (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: P J McDonald Happy Christmas From The Kempton-Park Team Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 8/1
13 Dec 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Boost Your Acca At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 22/1
29 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1
25 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Spreadex Sports In-play Racing Betting HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 7/1
08 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 11/2
24 Feb 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Spreadex Sports Get 40 In Bonuses Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1
18 Feb 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: David Probert Spreadex Sports Get 40 In Bonuses Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/1
11 Feb 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 11/2
21 Jan 23 Lingfield (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Luke Morris Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 25/1
06 Jan 23 Kempton (AW) Divine Messenger (GB)J: Rob Hornby Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 16/1
21 Aug 22 Brighton Mistybond (GB)J: Freddie Gordon Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 150/1
06 Aug 22 Lingfield (AW) Mistybond (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Core Group Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 200/1
18 Jun 22 Lingfield (AW) Mistybond (GB)J: George Bass Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 200/1
30 May 22 Windsor Mistybond (GB)J: George Bass Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Emma Owen's strike rate?
Emma Owen has won 15 of 301 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Emma Owen do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 45 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Emma Owen's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 301 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).