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Trainer profile

Gary McGill

211 runners in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 13 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–211
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=211
35 (17%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=211 · 1.03 incl. margin
−35.50
£1 level stake
n=211 at SP · −16.8%
£163k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (52 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 211 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.5% Mr O McGill: 11.9% from 59 Claiming riders: 7.9%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 11.5% (n=52, Fair A/E 3.58). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 7.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.51 and +10.88 to a £1 stake over 151 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mr O McGill rides 28% of the entries and beats the yard's average (11.9% vs 6.6%, A/E 2.41) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good going (9.9%, n=71) and off a 31-60-day break (10.2%, n=49). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.9% over 34 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.45 across 61 runners (3.3% strike, −57.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Building Bridges (GB) — 6 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.5%+4.9
n=52 · A/E 3.58 · £1 +65.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.8%−1.8
n=21 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.6
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
18.2%+11.6
n=11 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +6.50
When favourite
18.2%
n=11 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −7.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.9%+1.3
n=151 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +10.88
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr O McGill 11.9% vs 6.6% · n=59
With a new jockey booking 2.6% vs 6.6% · n=116
On Good going 9.9% vs 6.6% · n=71
Off a 31-60-day break 10.2% vs 6.6% · n=49
Off a 15-30-day break 3.3% vs 6.6% · n=61
In Flat races 2.9% vs 6.6% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 154 12 7.8% +7.12
Flat 34 1 2.9% −22.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
Chase 10 1 10% −7.62

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 89 5 5.6% −13.00
Good 71 7 9.9% −21.50
Good to Soft 30 1 3.3% +11.00
Heavy 15 1 6.7% −6.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 39 3 7.7% +1.88
Down Royal 24 1 4.2% −11.00
Fairyhouse 19 0 0% −19.00
Navan 16 2 12.5% +16.00
Sligo 15 2 13.3% −2.50
Galway 13 1 7.7% +28.00
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Bellewstown 10 1 10% +2.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 4 8 1 12.5% −6.38
Class 3 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 3 25% 0.95 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 20 2 10% 0.74 −10.50
4th–6th fav 41 4 9.8% 1.87 −2.50
7th+ in betting 138 5 3.6% 1.72 −20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.8% completed · 164 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 70% 1 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 154 89% 4 1 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Building Bridges (GB)from Stuart Edmunds 28 6 10 29 Aug 25
Dollys Destination (IRE)from Noel C Kelly 25 4 10 5 Feb 23
Electricitywork (IRE) 20 0 3 8 Oct 21
It's All Gucci (GB)from Michael Easterby 17 0 0 17 Sep 21
Ocean Of Dreams (IRE)from Archie Watson 8 1 1 23 Oct 26
Gamigin (IRE)from Noel C Kelly · then Noel C Kelly 8 0 1 20 Jan 26
Maxios Show (IRE)from Kevin Ryan · then Terence O'Brien 8 0 0 13 Jul 23
Saunton Surf (IRE)from Warren Greatrex 7 1 2 2 Aug 26
Harvey Hillstar (IRE) 7 0 0 2 Jun 23
Diaduit Buachaill (IRE) 6 0 1 23 Oct 26
Apologise (IRE)from Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 6 2 2 21 Nov 25
Ebaa Hana (FR) 6 0 1 16 May 19
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Noel C Kelly (3) and Gavin Cromwell (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0170013105955156
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr O McGill
28% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 2.41
RiderRWSR£1
Mr O McGill 59 7 11.9% +63.50
Mr D McGill 33 2 6.1% −14.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
14
Archived wins
£163k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
Building Bridges (GB) — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle Perth · Sep 2024 · Class 3
£10,562
Dollys Destination (IRE) — Hotel Park St Johann Tirol Austria Handicap Hurdle Navan · Nov 2019
£9,752
Dollys Destination (IRE) — Randox Health Rated Hurdle Downpatrick · Aug 2020
£9,440
Notable horses
Building Bridges (GB) Dollys Destination (IRE) Apologise (IRE) Ocean Of Dreams (IRE) Saunton Surf (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
New Approach (IRE) 21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,792 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.
Dubai Destination (USA) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,306 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,542 runs since 2014 (549 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,954 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 211 · newest first

The latest 50 of 211 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 December 2018 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Full Noise (IRE)J: Philip Donovan End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran UR 33/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Diaduit Buachaill (IRE)J: Mr D McGill End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 5th 4/1F
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Ocean Of Dreams (IRE)J: Mr O McGill Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 9/2J
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Serienmond (GER)J: W. J. Lee Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Full Noise (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 13 ran 13th 9/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Serienmond (GER)J: Philip Donovan M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 14/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) I Can Find Em (IRE)J: Mr O McGill Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 150/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Morale Boost (GB)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 12th 150/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) I Can Find Em (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 9th 50/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Morale Boost (GB)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 9th 125/1
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Full Noise (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 5/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Fenno's Soldier (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 66/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Ocean Of Dreams (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 6/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Serienmond (GER)J: Mr D McGill Bective Stud, Hotel & Tea Rooms Mullacurry Cup Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/2
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Firstupbestdressed (IRE)J: Sam Ewing McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 16/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Full Noise (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Kepak Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 9/2
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Saunton Surf (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Kinlay Hostel Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 5/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Serienmond (GER)J: Mr D McGill BOYLE Sports Galway Tribes Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 6th 12/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Ocean Of Dreams (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap16.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 14th 50/1
29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) I Can Find Em (IRE)J: Mr O McGill Tote Guaranteed 50K Placepot Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 20 ran 15th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Gary McGill's strike rate?
Gary McGill has won 14 of 211 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gary McGill do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 3 wins from 39 runners (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gary McGill?
Mr O McGill, with 59 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.9%).
Is Gary McGill in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Gary McGill's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 211 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).