Skip to content
Trainer profile

J G Burns

172 runners in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago 95% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–172
Wins / Runs
4.1%
Strike rate
n=172
35 (20%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=172 · 0.46 incl. margin
−91.00
£1 level stake
n=172 at SP · −52.9%
£151k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (39 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 172 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.3% James Sullivan: 3.9% from 51
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10.3% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.45). James Sullivan rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (9.1%, n=33) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (8.3%, n=36). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 47 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.43 across 78 runners (2.6% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Murphys Irish Stout Handicap Hurdle at Killarney (May 2007, £45,570). The stable star of the record: Dolphin Bay (IRE) — 7 wins from 33 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.3%+6.2
n=39 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+15.9
n=10 · A/E 2.95 · £1 +12.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%+0.1
n=24 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−1.1
n=67 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −32.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 9.1% vs 4.1% · n=33
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 4.1% · n=47
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 8.3% vs 4.1% · n=36
On Soft going 6.1% vs 4.1% · n=33
Over 6f – 7f 2.6% vs 4.1% · n=78 · A/E 0.43
With claiming riders up 3% vs 4.1% · n=67 · A/E 0.52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 164 7 4.3% −83.00
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 35 1 2.9% −9.00
Heavy 33 3 9.1% −11.00
Soft 33 2 6.1% −13.00
Good to Firm 27 1 3.7% −14.00
Good 25 0 0% −25.00
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 32 1 3.1% −6.00
Curragh 27 1 3.7% −20.00
Navan 16 2 12.5% +3.00
Leopardstown 14 2 14.3% +6.00
Naas 13 0 0% −13.00
Cork 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Down Royal 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Sligo 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 24 2 8.3% 0.66 −9.00
4th–6th fav 70 2 2.9% 0.40 −55.00
7th+ in betting 71 3 4.2% 1.29 −20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dolphin Bay (IRE)then John E Kiely 12 2 4 18 Oct 09
Breaker Morant (IRE)from Eamon Tyrrell · then Sabrina J Harty 10 1 5 5 Dec 08
Cape West (IRE)then C F Swan 8 0 0 18 Sep 09
Western Winner (GB)then Michael P Hourigan 8 0 4 12 Jun 09
American Light (GB)then David Simcock 7 0 2 16 Oct 09
Brosna Val (IRE)then Paul John Gilligan 7 0 1 28 Dec 08
Regal Warrior (IRE)then J J Lambe 6 0 3 17 May 09
Insiyaabi (USA)from John Dunlop 6 1 2 5 Dec 08
High Water (IRE) 6 0 0 3 Oct 08
Cool Tarifa (IRE) 6 1 2 26 Sep 08
Colombard (IRE)then Patrick Morris 5 0 0 5 Oct 08
Soto Loti (IRE) 5 0 0 5 Oct 08
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eamon Tyrrell (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for P D Deegan (2) and Sean Curran (2); 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·188430000290
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Sullivan
30% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
James Sullivan 51 2 3.9% −16.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
18
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£350k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Dolphin Bay (IRE) — Murphys Irish Stout Handicap Hurdle Killarney · May 2007 · Grade B
£45,570
Dolphin Bay (IRE) — Ravens Rock Handicap Leopardstown · Nov 2008
£21,158
Breaker Morant (IRE) — Barrack Homes Ltd. Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2008
£16,926
Notable horses
Dolphin Bay (IRE) Breaker Morant (IRE) Fairy Pass (IRE) Brosna Cry (IRE) Viami (IRE) Colombard (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dolphin Street (FR) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 5.5% of 109 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Montjeu (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Val Royal (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,015 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 140.
Danetime (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Barathea (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 464 · newest first

The latest 50 of 464 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Moon Gypsy (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 200/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Moon Gypsy (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Market Square Monasterevin Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 100/1
26 Oct 09 Leopardstown Timeless Whisper (IRE)J: Keagan Latham J.r.a. Killavullan Stakes (group 3)7f · Yielding · 10 ran 10th 25/1
18 Oct 09 Naas Dolphin Bay (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Naas October Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 13th 33/1
17 Oct 09 Cork Timeless Whisper (IRE)J: Keagan Latham Coolmore Strategic Prince E.B.F Maiden7f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 12/1
17 Oct 09 Cork Luigina Immacolata (IRE)J: Keagan Latham Ballyclough Maiden8.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 20/1
16 Oct 09 Dundalk (AW) American Light (GB)J: Declan McDonogh Www.louthholidays.com Handicap (50-80)5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 10/1
12 Oct 09 Curragh Timeless Whisper (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh TRM Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 28 ran 21st 11/1
07 Oct 09 Navan Luigina Immacolata (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Maiden10f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran 9th 20/1
07 Oct 09 Navan American Light (GB)J: Declan McDonogh Kells Maiden5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 3rd 12/1
28 Sep 09 Roscommon Luigina Immacolata (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Ballyleague Maiden12f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 13th 33/1
28 Sep 09 Roscommon Inaspettata (IRE)J: Keagan Latham Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 12th 50/1
22 Sep 09 Fairyhouse Dolphin Bay (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Dunshaughlin Handicap (60-100)12f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1
22 Sep 09 Fairyhouse Timeless Whisper (IRE)J: Pat Smullen Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 18 ran 5th 20/1
22 Sep 09 Fairyhouse American Light (GB)J: Declan McDonogh Ratoath Maiden6f · Good · 18 ran 13th 20/1
18 Sep 09 Listowel Cape West (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Kirby's Brogue Inn/kirby's Lanterns Hotel Handicap (47-65)6.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 7/1
11 Sep 09 Down Royal Thundern Lightning (IRE)J: Fran Berry Resource Claiming Race7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 20/1
08 Sep 09 Dundalk (AW) Hello Man (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Ardpatrick Handicap (50-70) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 7/1
21 Aug 09 Killarney Thundern Lightning (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F (c & G) Maiden8.5f · Soft To Heavy · 4 ran 4th 25/1
13 Aug 09 Leopardstown Alazan (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Blackrock Maiden10f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J G Burns's strike rate?
J G Burns has won 7 of 172 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J G Burns do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 runners (3.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J G Burns?
James Sullivan, with 51 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.9%).
Is J G Burns in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J G Burns's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 172 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).