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Trainer profile

J G Coogan

709 runners in the lifetime window · 102 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
39–709
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=709
134 (19%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=709 · 0.72 incl. margin
−188.01
£1 level stake
n=709 at SP · −26.5%
£524k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 709 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 26.5% when favourite Chris Hayes: 6.8% from 74 Headgear returns: 9.7% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (8.8%, n=182), clear of the yard's 5.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 9.7% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.71), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00). Chris Hayes rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (8.7%, n=184). The stable star of the record: Mr Bones (IRE) — 7 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−3.1
n=126 · A/E 0.48 · £1 +10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.3%−1.2
n=23 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +58.00
Debutants · first career start
4.2%−1.3
n=72 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +51.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.5
n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.7%+4.2
n=31 · A/E 1.71 · £1 −3.67
When favourite
26.5%
n=34 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.34
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%−0.6
n=309 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −124.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 13.2% vs 5.5% · n=38
With first-time headgear 0% vs 5.5% · n=55
With C&D winners 9.7% vs 5.5% · n=72
At Dundalk (AW) 8.8% vs 5.5% · n=182
On Standard (AW) going 8.7% vs 5.5% · n=184
With headgear back on 9.7% vs 5.5% · n=31
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 12.5% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 544 31 5.7% −72.22
Hurdle 125 6 4.8% −83.12
Chase 25 2 8% −17.67
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 184 16 8.7% −57.97
Good 180 6 3.3% +28.83
Soft 165 9 5.5% −47.75
Good to Firm 80 4 5% −44.62
Heavy 60 3 5% −38.50
Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −27.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 182 16 8.8% −55.97
Curragh 88 5 5.7% +55.00
Naas 43 2 4.7% +65.50
Navan 41 1 2.4% −30.00
Leopardstown 41 1 2.4% −15.00
Gowran Park 37 1 2.7% −30.00
Fairyhouse 34 1 2.9% −29.50
Down Royal 27 1 3.7% −16.00
Cork 24 0 0% −24.00
Tipperary 23 0 0% −23.00
Punchestown 23 0 0% −23.00
Roscommon 21 5 23.8% +37.38
Galway 21 0 0% −21.00
Bellewstown 16 1 6.3% −12.50
Kilbeggan 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 38 9 23.7% 1.06 −5.34
2nd–3rd fav 92 10 10.9% 0.84 −32.67
4th–6th fav 147 13 8.8% 1.24 −4.00
7th+ in betting 432 7 1.6% 0.61 −146.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Silver Shuffle (IRE)then Malcolm Jefferson 43 1 12 9 Aug 14
French Company (IRE) 40 5 19 6 Sep 24
Winning Impact (IRE)then W Hefter 28 3 7 15 Oct 13
Stop On Red (IRE)then Miss Katy Brown 27 3 7 2 Nov 22
Der Spieler (GER)from C Von Der Recke 26 1 9 15 Jun 12
Imprudent Miss (IRE) 24 1 10 27 Jul 12
The Brig (IRE) 21 0 1 31 May 19
Daintree (IRE) 20 2 2 5 Jul 23
Theyturnedmedown (IRE) 20 3 6 9 Aug 13
Mr Bones (IRE) 19 6 8 14 Aug 11
Forbidden City (IRE)then John G Carr 19 1 3 20 May 10
Elegant Emmeline (IRE) 18 0 2 19 Dec 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 102 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Peter Fahey (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1145458845542
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
10% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 74 5 6.8% −42.30
Declan McDonogh 59 4 6.8% −24.17
Leigh Roche 50 4 8% −3.50
Gary Carroll 30 2 6.7% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
41
Archived wins
£574k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Marias Dream (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Golf World Cup Premier Handicap Curragh · Jun 2009
£42,315
Marias Dream (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Fillies Handicap (60-90) Curragh · Jun 2009
£15,299
Winemaker (FR) — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Naas · Aug 2022
£14,750
Notable horses
Mr Bones (IRE) French Company (IRE) Winning Impact (IRE) Stop On Red (IRE) Theyturnedmedown (IRE) Daintree (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Big Shuffle (USA) 2.3% · 1–43
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (134 horses).
French Navy (GB) 11.6% · 5–43
Progeny have won 10.3% of 776 runs since 2019 (68 horses).
Mehmas (IRE) 12.1% · 4–33
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,232 runs since 2020 (753 horses).
Elusive City (USA) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,431 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Clodovil (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Pyrus (USA) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,446 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 208.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 800 · newest first

The latest 50 of 800 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2005 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Threebiggulps (GB)J: Philip Byrnes Winter Festival 28th & 29th November 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 11th 125/1
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 5/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Terry Casey Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 7/2J
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 5/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 12th 12/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Follow Us On Instagram Handicap6f · Good · 22 ran 4th 17/2
29 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Pure Valour (IRE)J: Mel Sheridan Holden Plant Rentals Apprentice Handicap6f · Yielding · 19 ran 17th 100/1
29 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Holden Plant Rentals Apprentice Handicap6f · Yielding · 19 ran 3rd 18/1
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Pure Valour (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Handicap5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 100/1
15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Threebiggulps (GB)J: Keithen Kennedy Friday Night Lights Return Weekly From 18th September Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 40/1
09 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th 40/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Threebiggulps (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Champion Lettings Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 11th 40/1
01 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Pure Valour (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Early Bird Winter Festival Tickets At Fairyhouse.ie Handicap (0-60)8.5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 33/1
07 Jun 26 Navan Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Terry Casey Navan Handicap6f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/1
01 Jun 26 Gowran Park Threebiggulps (GB)J: Reese Holohan Ladies Day July 25th Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)9.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 80/1
23 May 26 Curragh Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Terry Casey Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Habitat Handicap (Premier Handicap)6f · Good · 22 ran 13th 50/1
11 May 26 Roscommon Moonlight Molly (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Athlone Handicap (Div 1)7.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 50/1
10 May 26 Leopardstown Threebiggulps (GB)J: Joseph Harnett FITZ AGRIPLANT Maiden7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 200/1
05 May 26 Gowran Park Pure Valour (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden9.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 150/1
03 May 26 Cork Gerrit's Gem (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Book Tickets Online At CorkRacecourse.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 21 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is J G Coogan's strike rate?
J G Coogan has won 39 of 709 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J G Coogan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 16 wins from 182 runners (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J G Coogan?
Chris Hayes, with 74 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.8%).
Is J G Coogan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J G Coogan's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 709 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).