What is Jack Morland's strike rate?

Jack Morland has won 32 of 300 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jack Morland do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Jack Morland in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jack Morland's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jack Morland

300 runners in the lifetime window · 55 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

32–300

Wins / Runs

10.7%

Strike rate

n=300

84 (28%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=297 · 0.78 incl. margin

−101.86

£1 level stake

n=300 at SP · −34.0%

£290k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 300 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 35.3% when favourite Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (15.6%, n=45), clear of the yard's 10.7% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.26). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (15.8%, n=120). The record reads poorly on Good going — 4.8% over 42 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.42 across 51 runners (5.9% strike, −39.89 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−7.8

n=34 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −29.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−10.7

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

Debutants · first career start

3.1%−7.6

n=32 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −27.67

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.6%+2.9

n=22 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +2.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%−0.7

n=10 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −3.50

When favourite

35.3%

n=34 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −5.52

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

2.8%−7.9

n=36 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −19.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With claiming riders up 2.8% vs 10.7% · n=36

With debutants 3.1% vs 10.7% · n=32

Off a 15-30-day break 15.8% vs 10.7% · n=120

On Good going 4.8% vs 10.7% · n=42

Off a 8-14-day break 5.9% vs 10.7% · n=51

At Wolverhampton (AW) 15.6% vs 10.7% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 160 18 11.3% −70.61

Good to Firm 55 6 10.9% −10.67

Good 42 2 4.8% −25.75

Good to Soft 27 5 18.5% +15.17

Soft 10 1 10% −4.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 45 7 15.6% +4.29

Lingfield (AW) 27 2 7.4% −16.00

Kempton (AW) 26 1 3.8% −23.80

Southwell (AW) 23 2 8.7% −16.76

Newcastle (AW) 21 6 28.6% −0.34

Yarmouth 19 1 5.3% −15.00

Chelmsford (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00

Leicester 13 1 7.7% −9.75

Windsor 13 2 15.4% +3.50

Bath 11 0 0% −11.00

Brighton 11 1 9.1% −4.50

Pontefract 7 0 0% −7.00

Redcar 7 1 14.3% −2.67

Catterick 7 1 14.3% −5.33

Nottingham 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 110 14 12.7% −50.19

Class 6 90 13 14.4% +11.50

Class 4 69 5 7.2% −32.17

Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 2 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 38 12 31.6% 0.96 −9.52

2nd–3rd fav 75 9 12% 0.74 −26.34

4th–6th fav 101 7 6.9% 0.94 −40.00

7th+ in betting 86 4 4.7% 1.51 −26.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Saucy Jane (GB) 18 3 6 19 Sep 26

Up The Agenda (IRE) 15 4 4 7 Oct 26

Sonic Pioneer (GB)then Martin Keighley 13 2 8 25 Sep 25

Yachtsman (GB)from John & Thady Gosden 10 1 3 2 Nov 26

Callout (IRE)from Edward Bethell 10 1 3 16 Oct 25

Primo Lara (IRE)from Jane Chapple-Hyam · then Jane Chapple-Hyam 9 1 2 6 Jul 26

Gaassee (IRE)from Archie Watson 9 1 2 3 Nov 25

Gullane Girl (IRE) 9 1 1 30 Oct 25

Angel Of Antrim (IRE)from Phil McEntee 9 4 4 17 Jan 25

Heart Sign (GB)from Tom Clover · then Tony Carroll 8 1 1 29 Aug 26

Stella Lucente (IRE) 8 1 7 26 Jul 26

Nacho Nacho Nacho (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 8 1 2 22 Apr 26

All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Appleby (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Carroll (3); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

14858150141267935

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDaniel Muscutt

15% of all rides
13.3% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Daniel Muscutt 45 6 13.3% −1.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£290k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 17 wins

Gaassee (IRE) — Enter ITV7 For Free Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Haydock · Aug 2025 · Class 4

£15,462

Saucy Jane (GB) — EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Beverley · May 2025 · Class 4

£5,400

Hunky Dory (GB) — Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Apr 2026 · Class 4

£5,234

Notable horses

Up The Agenda (IRE) Angel Of Antrim (IRE) Saucy Jane (GB) Sonic Pioneer (GB) Miss Yechance (IRE) Yachtsman (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 10.9% of 718 runs since 2025 (103 horses). Weakest on Good going: 7.1% from 168. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.2% from 134. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 7.6% from 105.

Cotai Glory (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,954 runs since 2021 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,420. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 427.

Sands Of Mali (FR) 26.7% · 4–15

Progeny have won 11.5% of 798 runs since 2024 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.3% from 204.

Earthlight (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 8.3% of 902 runs since 2024 (129 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.8% from 169.

Massaat (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,216 runs since 2022 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.4% from 113. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 134.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,972 runs since 2013 (1,116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 300 · newest first

The latest 50 of 300 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 November 2024 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Yachtsman (GB)J: Neil Callan ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 11/2

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cydney Sweenie (GB)J: Callum Rodriguez Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 16/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Battle Standard (GB)J: Neil Callan AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 8/11F

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fully Stocked (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 10/11F

16 Oct 26 Redcar Woollahra (IRE)J: George Wood Watch Live On Racing TV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 11/4

16 Oct 26 Redcar Bal Harbour (IRE)J: George Wood Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 150/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Battle Standard (GB)J: Jack Callan Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 100/30

15 Oct 26 Brighton Yachtsman (GB)J: George Wood bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 9th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Top Cote (IRE)J: Taryn Langley bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 4th 9/2

13 Oct 26 Leicester Adoramus (FR)J: George Wood Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 15/2

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Up The Agenda (IRE)J: George Wood Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 33/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fully Stocked (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 7/2

26 Sep 26 Haydock Woollahra (IRE)J: Callum Rodriguez British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Top Cote (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 17/2

22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Rogue Desire (FR)J: George Wood Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 150/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bal Harbour (IRE)J: Jason Watson Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1

19 Sep 26 Newmarket Saucy Jane (GB)J: Harry Vigors Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 7th 25/1

14 Sep 26 Windsor Dragon God (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Neverland Drone Show At Windsor Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/2

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Fully Stocked (IRE)J: David Egan Download The At The Races App Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Battosai (IRE)J: Josephine Gordon Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 14th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 24 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jack Morland's strike rate?: Jack Morland has won 32 of 300 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack Morland do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Jack Morland in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jack Morland's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.