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Trainer profile

Lucinda Egerton

442 runners in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2021
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
16–442
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=442
66 (15%)
Placed
0.72
Fair A/E
n=440 · 0.63 incl. margin
−226.17
£1 level stake
n=442 at SP · −51.2%
£145k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.72).

Deterministic profile computed from 442 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Victor Santos: 1.4% from 73
The read

The record is strongest at Market Rasen (9.4%, n=32), clear of the yard's 3.6% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −118.67 to a £1 stake over 283 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Victor Santos rode 17% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (1.4% vs 3.6%, A/E 0.53). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (7.9%, n=76) and over 1m5f – 2m (7.1%, n=98). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 47 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Bollin Line (GB) — 6 wins from 35 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.2%−1.4
n=89 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.6
n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.6
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.6
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
When favourite
37.5%
n=8 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +4.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.5%−0.1
n=283 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −118.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Market Rasen 9.4% vs 3.6% · n=32
Off a 0-7-day break 7.9% vs 3.6% · n=76
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.1% vs 3.6% · n=98
With Aaron Anderson 7.7% vs 3.6% · n=39
With new recruits 0% vs 3.6% · n=55
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 3.6% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 177 4 2.3% −123.00
Hurdle 135 5 3.7% −21.00
Chase 107 7 6.5% −59.17
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 137 8 5.8% −0.67
Standard (AW) 102 2 2% −60.00
Good to Soft 82 3 3.7% −62.50
Soft 76 2 2.6% −66.00
Good to Firm 31 1 3.2% −23.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 50 3 6% −15.67
Newcastle (AW) 41 1 2.4% −7.00
Market Rasen 32 3 9.4% −8.00
Catterick 29 2 6.9% −13.50
Hexham 27 1 3.7% +40.00
Southwell (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00
Newcastle 17 1 5.9% −13.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Musselburgh 17 0 0% −17.00
Southwell 16 0 0% −16.00
Cartmel 15 0 0% −15.00
Ayr 14 0 0% −14.00
Huntingdon 13 0 0% −13.00
Wetherby 13 0 0% −13.00
Redcar 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 177 8 4.5% −43.67
Class 4 154 4 2.6% −125.50
Class 6 99 4 4% −45.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.28 +3.33
2nd–3rd fav 42 4 9.5% 0.68 −13.00
4th–6th fav 132 7 5.3% 0.91 −12.50
7th+ in betting 259 2 0.8% 0.32 −204.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bollin Line (GB)from Henry Daly 35 6 12 7 Oct 20
Safari Journey (USA)from Philip Hobbs 29 2 9 13 May 17
Orobas (IRE)from Ron Barr 28 4 11 6 Aug 19
Odds On Dan (IRE) 28 2 8 26 Jul 18
Middlescence (IRE)from D K Weld 22 0 1 26 Nov 20
Camanche Grey (IRE)from Ben Haslam 21 0 3 2 Aug 19
Hi Bob (GB)from George Moore · then Kenneth Slack 17 1 2 24 May 16
Lady Ra (IRE)from Michael Smith 16 1 2 30 Sep 16
Welsh Rarebit (GB) 15 0 4 8 Feb 21
Dutch Melody (GB)from Chris Wall 14 0 0 30 Oct 20
St George's Oval (IRE)from Mark Loughnane 14 0 2 30 Jun 19
Opechee (IRE)from David Bridgwater 12 0 1 8 Feb 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 50 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Loughnane (4) and Chris Grant (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Rebecca Menzies (4); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
03405339110112
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderVictor Santos
17% of all rides
1.4% SR · A/E 0.53
RiderRWSR£1
Victor Santos 73 1 1.4% −65.00
Dean Pratt 73 5 6.8% +23.33
Aaron Anderson 39 3 7.7% −13.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
16
Archived wins
£145k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 5 wins
Safari Journey (USA) — Shepley Handicap Chase Sedgefield · Sep 2016 · Class 4
£5,198
Bollin Line (GB) — Buy Your 2018 Annual Badge Today Handicap Chase Catterick · Dec 2017 · Class 4
£4,549
Bollin Line (GB) — Free Racedays With The Racegoers Club Novices' Handicap Chase Catterick · Feb 2016 · Class 4
£4,549
Notable horses
Bollin Line (GB) Orobas (IRE) Safari Journey (USA) Odds On Dan (IRE) Hi Bob (GB) Lady Ra (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bollin Eric (GB) 13.5% · 7–52
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.6% from 257. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 101.
Johannesburg (USA) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,562 runs since 2008 (191 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 244. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 104.
Dark Angel (IRE) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,905 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Oscar (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,188 runs since 2008 (1,105 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 957.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 442 · newest first

The latest 50 of 442 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 December 2013 to 15 April 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Apr 21 Newcastle (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Mr Matt Brown QuinnBet Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 6th 28/1
19 Feb 21 Southwell (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Heed Your Hunch At Betway HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 14/1
12 Feb 21 Southwell (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Maiden HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran 3rd 7/1
09 Feb 21 Southwell (AW) Signore Piccolo (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Betway HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 7th 33/1
08 Feb 21 Newcastle (AW) Opechee (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Download The QuinnBet App 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 20f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 250/1
08 Feb 21 Newcastle (AW) Welsh Rarebit (GB)J: Charlotte Jones quinnbet.com 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 25/1
05 Feb 21 Newcastle (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Frederick Larson Betway Casino HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 18/1
02 Feb 21 Southwell (AW) True Companion (IRE)J: Luke Morris Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 125/1
02 Feb 21 Newcastle (AW) Wynford (IRE)J: Ryan Mania QuinnBet Quarterback 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 11th 200/1
02 Feb 21 Newcastle (AW) Welsh Rarebit (GB)J: Ryan Mania quinnbet.com 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat Race (Div 1)Class 5 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 40/1
20 Jan 21 Southwell (AW) True Companion (IRE)J: Frederick Larson Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 80/1
20 Jan 21 Southwell (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Heed Your Hunch At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 50/1
08 Jan 21 Newcastle (AW) Wynford (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Download The QuinnBet App 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 6th 25/1
03 Jan 21 Southwell (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Bombardier Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 28/1
01 Jan 21 Musselburgh Wynford (IRE)J: Derek Fox Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 80/1
29 Dec 20 Southwell (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Bombardier 'March On Your Drum' Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 16/1
28 Dec 20 Newcastle (AW) Calculus (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 14/1
28 Dec 20 Newcastle (AW) Wynford (IRE)J: Phil Dennis Play 4 To Win At Betway Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 80/1
21 Dec 20 Musselburgh Welsh Rarebit (GB)J: Ryan Mania William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 50/1
15 Dec 20 Catterick Wynford (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Millbry Hill Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lucinda Egerton's strike rate?
Lucinda Egerton has won 16 of 442 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lucinda Egerton do best at?
Market Rasen by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lucinda Egerton?
Victor Santos, with 73 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.4%).
What is Lucinda Egerton's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 440 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).