What is John Ryan's strike rate?

John Ryan has won 314 of 3,387 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Ryan do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 11 wins from 74 runners (14.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Ryan?

Darragh Keenan, with 380 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (8.9%).

Is John Ryan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John Ryan's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 3,365 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Ryan

3,387 runners in the lifetime window · 234 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

314–3,387

Wins / Runs

9.3%

Strike rate

n=3,387

823 (24%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=3,365 · 0.95 incl. margin

−665.79

£1 level stake

n=3,387 at SP · −19.7%

£3.17m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (87 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,387 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Feb 34% when favourite Darragh Keenan: 8.9% from 380 New recruits: 12.6% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (3.2% over 190 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.6% (n=87, Fair A/E 1.83), but debutants struggle at 3.5% (n=142, Fair A/E 1.03). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 8.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.62 and +13.87 to a £1 stake over 162 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Darragh Keenan rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.9%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Lincoln at Doncaster (Mar 2014, £62,250). The stable star of the record: Thecornishcowboy (GB) — 14 wins from 95 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5%−4.3

n=298 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −56.62

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.6%+3.3

n=87 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +100.25

Debutants · first career start

3.5%−5.8

n=142 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −72.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.2%−3.1

n=113 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −53.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8%−1.3

n=175 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −25.76

When favourite

34%

n=197 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −7.54

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%−1.9

n=1,117 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −386.99

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.6%−0.7

n=162 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +13.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.2% vs 9.3% · n=308

With Jim Crowley 23.3% vs 9.3% · n=30

With Adam Kirby 16.1% vs 9.3% · n=248

With Josephine Gordon 1.6% vs 9.3% · n=64

At Newmarket 3.2% vs 9.3% · n=190

With Bradley Bosley 0% vs 9.3% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,249 298 9.2% −680.20

Hurdle 114 11 9.6% −12.59

NH Flat 23 5 21.7% +28.00

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,579 155 9.8% −299.71

Good to Firm 705 50 7.1% −337.19

Good 536 47 8.8% −115.89

Good to Soft 254 22 8.7% −64.00

Soft 238 29 12.2% +120.75

Heavy 55 8 14.5% +37.00

Firm 20 3 15% −6.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 435 45 10.3% −72.14

Kempton (AW) 381 34 8.9% −17.35

Yarmouth 370 33 8.9% −98.54

Wolverhampton (AW) 318 32 10.1% −105.53

Chelmsford (AW) 282 24 8.5% −70.87

Newmarket 206 11 5.3% −115.42

Newmarket 190 6 3.2% −103.25

Brighton 122 13 10.7% −37.26

Southwell (AW) 120 17 14.2% −5.32

Windsor 88 7 8% −50.25

Musselburgh 74 10 13.5% +18.62

Lingfield 74 11 14.9% +37.50

Nottingham 73 8 11% −13.25

Ascot 70 4 5.7% −50.75

Doncaster 65 8 12.3% +38.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,132 103 9.1% −255.19

Class 5 917 96 10.5% −41.77

Class 4 664 57 8.6% −285.79

Class 2 251 21 8.4% −17.37

Class 3 218 21 9.6% −55.54

Class 1 164 14 8.5% +11.87

Class 7 39 2 5.1% −20.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 247 77 31.2% 1.15 −19.41

2nd–3rd fav 582 110 18.9% 1.18 +13.12

4th–6th fav 1,084 84 7.7% 1.04 −225.50

7th+ in betting 1,474 43 2.9% 0.99 −434.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,270 103 8.1% −378.01

1m – 1m1f 813 80 9.8% −130.39

1m2f – 1m4f 682 68 10% −75.67

1m5f – 2m 323 36 11.1% −22.96

Under 6f 258 25 9.7% −38.26

2m1f – 2m4f 34 2 5.9% −13.50

2m5f – 3m 6 0 0% −6.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 78 4 5.1% −50.50

2009 116 19 16.4% +73.61

2010 181 11 6.1% −108.04

2011 186 14 7.5% +18.20

2012 252 24 9.5% −37.12

2013 164 18 11% −57.59

2014 195 26 13.3% +34.23

2015 251 21 8.4% −32.24

2016 257 21 8.2% −100.80

2017 236 17 7.2% −105.20

2018 267 33 12.4% +13.90

2019 268 21 7.8% −80.28

2020 142 16 11.3% −9.77

2021 158 13 8.2% −63.00

2022 150 11 7.3% −72.05

2023 155 17 11% +47.37

2024 114 12 10.5% −10.72

2025 110 10 9.1% −44.04

2026 107 6 5.6% −81.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,379 221 9.3% −441.04

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,213 123 10.1% −162.74

11-13 runners 1,046 75 7.2% −344.98

5-7 runners 672 84 12.5% −137.16

14-16 runners 295 16 5.4% −42.00

17+ runners 100 5 5% +14.00

2-4 runners 61 11 18% +7.09

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Plucky Dip (GB) 101 7 29 24 Jul 19

Thecornishcowboy (GB) 95 14 31 21 Aug 15

Catch My Breath (GB) 77 7 19 13 May 23

The Gay Cavalier (GB) 72 7 16 25 Jan 18

Simple Rhythm (GB)from James Given 72 6 12 28 Nov 12

Ocean Applause (GB) 70 7 20 16 Sep 15

Battle Of Marathon (USA)from A P O'Brien 69 7 18 25 Jan 22

Jack Ryan (IRE) 63 4 16 1 Aug 23

Merhoob (IRE)from Marco Botti 63 9 23 3 May 22

Evacusafe Lady (GB) 59 4 16 26 Apr 16

Pistoletto (USA)from A P O'Brien 50 5 8 11 Dec 23

Goddess Of Fire (GB)from Ed Dunlop 49 8 18 1 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 234 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A P O'Brien (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Lucinda Russell (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111274888812101214

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDarragh Keenan

11% of all rides
8.9% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Darragh Keenan 380 34 8.9% −83.30

Adam Kirby 248 40 16.1% −22.80

Ryan Powell 192 12 6.3% −56.00

Stevie Donohoe 148 19 12.8% −17.92

Brett Doyle 98 12 12.2% +18.75

Laura Pearson 95 5 5.3% −45.63

Jack Mitchell 94 9 9.6% +32.38

Kirsty Milczarek 88 6 6.8% −12.00

Danny Brock 72 2 2.8% −57.00

Jack Osborn 70 7 10% −23.50

Luke Morris 65 8 12.3% +12.50

Josephine Gordon 64 1 1.6% −47.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

321

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.20m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ocean Tempest (GB) — William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Doncaster · Mar 2014 · Class 2

£62,250

Silver Grecian (GB) — Meydan Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2009 · Group 2

£45,416

Manaccan (GB) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Ascot · Aug 2022 · Class 2

£36,885

Notable horses

Thecornishcowboy (GB) Ocean Tempest (GB) Merhoob (IRE) Goddess Of Fire (GB) Plucky Dip (GB) Catch My Breath (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Avonbridge (GB) 10.2% · 14–137

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.

Bated Breath (GB) 7.4% · 10–135

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,133 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 846.

Royal Applause (GB) 7.8% · 10–128

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

War Front (USA) 10.1% · 12–119

Progeny have won 15.7% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.9% from 923. Weakest on Good going: 10.9% from 533. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 19.3% from 1,009.

Nayef (USA) 7.8% · 9–116

Progeny have won 10% of 5,634 runs since 2008 (518 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.

Haafhd (GB) 17% · 17–100

Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,750 runs since 2008 (305 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,696 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,696 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 October 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Del Pearo (IRE)J: Grace McEntee Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 28/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sedgemoor (IRE)J: Alexandra Egan Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Aleppo Pepper (IRE)J: Luke Morris Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brazen Idol (GB)J: David Allan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 100/30J

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Ecclefechan (GB)J: Christian Howarth Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Shush A Minute (GB)J: William Carson Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 33/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell Chloe's Courage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 4th 28/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brazen Idol (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Emery Down (GB)J: Oisin Orr San Miguel Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 11/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Ecclefechan (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 28/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Aleppo Pepper (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 11/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brazen Idol (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Pipes Vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 10/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Foxsbrush (GB)J: Alice Bond Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 80/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Shush A Minute (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 17/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Chloe's Courage (GB)J: David Noonan Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 80/1

24 Sep 26 Newmarket Ecclefechan (GB)J: Christian Howarth JRA Japan Cup Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 9th 40/1

24 Sep 26 Newmarket Del Pearo (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Plantation Stud British EBF Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 4th 80/1

17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Emery Down (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 15/8F

16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Minnie Idol (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 22/1

11 Sep 26 Chester Emery Down (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Ryan's strike rate?: John Ryan has won 314 of 3,387 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Ryan do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 11 wins from 74 runners (14.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Ryan?: Darragh Keenan, with 380 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (8.9%).
Is John Ryan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Ryan's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 3,365 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.