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Trainer profile

Keith Henry Clarke

867 runners in the lifetime window · 107 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 13 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
36–867
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=867
124 (14%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=866 · 0.66 incl. margin
−358.54
£1 level stake
n=867 at SP · −41.4%
£472k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 867 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Robbie Downey: 9.6% from 136 Claiming riders: 4.9%
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). Robbie Downey rides 16% of the entries and beats the yard's average (9.6% vs 4.2%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 42 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Poitin (GB) — 6 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−1.3
n=174 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −110.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
1.6%−2.6
n=61 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −56.00
Debutants · first career start
2.2%−2.0
n=46 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
1.8%−2.4
n=55 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −46.00
When favourite
18.8%
n=16 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −6.92
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%+0.7
n=364 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −79.04
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 13.5% vs 4.2% · n=37
With Robbie Downey 9.6% vs 4.2% · n=136
On Heavy going 0% vs 4.2% · n=42
With first-time headgear 0% vs 4.2% · n=30
With Gavin Ryan 7.5% vs 4.2% · n=53
With C&D winners 6.8% vs 4.2% · n=148
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 761 32 4.2% −290.54
Hurdle 74 1 1.4% −71.00
Chase 25 3 12% +10.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 417 24 5.8% −100.42
Good 164 5 3% −60.00
Soft 152 4 2.6% −109.12
Good to Firm 60 2 3.3% −36.00
Heavy 42 0 0% −42.00
Good to Soft 32 1 3.1% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 405 24 5.9% −88.42
Navan 72 1 1.4% −57.00
Leopardstown 49 1 2% −36.00
Fairyhouse 48 2 4.2% −11.00
Bellewstown 38 1 2.6% −29.00
Gowran Park 37 1 2.7% −28.00
Roscommon 29 1 3.4% −3.00
Curragh 27 0 0% −27.00
Down Royal 19 2 10.5% +35.00
Downpatrick 18 1 5.6% +3.00
Limerick 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 13 0 0% −13.00
Cork 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Galway 9 1 11.1% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 26 0 0% −26.00
Class 6 13 1 7.7% −10.12
Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 3 15% 0.64 −10.92
2nd–3rd fav 67 7 10.4% 0.78 −35.62
4th–6th fav 196 14 7.1% 1.01 −65.00
7th+ in betting 584 12 2.1% 0.76 −247.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tenth Amendment (IRE)from R P McNamara 57 1 10 2 Oct 24
Tara Power (IRE) 52 2 7 23 Apr 26
Poetic Choice (GB)from Nick Littmoden 52 3 14 7 Jun 21
Poitin (GB)from Harry Dunlop 46 6 13 21 Jun 19
Harriet's Force (IRE) 44 1 7 21 Jul 22
Getgo (GB)from David Lanigan 33 2 5 8 Aug 21
Maestro Stick (GB)from James McAuley 32 3 4 18 Dec 24
Quite Subunctious (IRE) 23 1 3 12 Aug 20
Kuwait Direction (IRE)from James McAuley 21 2 4 26 Jul 24
Albion Power (IRE) 19 2 2 9 Oct 26
Aishling's Secret (GB) 19 0 4 6 Nov 20
Solar Benny (IRE) 18 1 1 23 Dec 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 107 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Fleming (3) and James McAuley (3); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Connell (2) and Noel C Kelly (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
4610316411663
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Downey
16% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 1.36
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Downey 136 13 9.6% +18.46
R. P. Cleary 66 1 1.5% −37.00
Gavin Ryan 53 4 7.5% −3.00
Robbie Colgan 43 2 4.7% −30.00
Conor Maxwell 41 1 2.4% −24.00
Robert Whearty 40 1 2.5% +27.00
Shane Foley 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Gearoid Brouder 32 1 3.1% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
36
Archived wins
£472k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 7 wins
Jeremys Joy (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap Roscommon · Aug 2017
£18,450
Mount Pelier (IRE) — SANSERV Rated Novice Chase Galway · Oct 2019
£11,820
Harriet's Force (IRE) — Old Coach Inn Median Auction Maiden Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2018
£11,088
Notable horses
Poitin (GB) Poetic Choice (GB) Maestro Stick (GB) Tara Power (IRE) Getgo (GB) Kuwait Direction (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Estidhkaar (IRE) 3.4% · 2–59
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,596 runs since 2020 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 229.
Arcano (IRE) 1.7% · 1–58
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.
Byron (GB) 5.8% · 3–52
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since 2010 (225 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.
Kheleyf (USA) 13% · 6–46
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,552 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Lethal Force (IRE) 2.3% · 1–44
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,270 runs since 2017 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 359.
Excelebration (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 9% of 3,606 runs since 2016 (244 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 867 · newest first

The latest 50 of 867 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 May 2012 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Spotswood (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 66/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Albion Power (IRE)J: Cian Fahy Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 40/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) In A Hurry (GB)J: Rory Cleary Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 28/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) In A Hurry (GB)J: Robert Whearty Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 33/1
27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) In A Hurry (GB)J: Rory Cleary Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle This Saturday Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 40/1
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Perggosa (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Border Boutique Hire Maiden10.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 150/1
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Cosmic Force (GB)J: Rory Cleary QuinnBet Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
26 Jun 26 Curragh Albion Power (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Silken Thomas And Lock 13 Handicap8f · Good · 20 ran 19th 25/1
22 Jun 26 Ballinrobe Perggosa (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh J.J. Burke Peugeot Handicap (0-60)9.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 33/1
12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Yangtze River (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden12f · Good · 17 ran 13th 150/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Yangtze River (IRE)J: Dylan Kidd View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 125/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Cosmic Force (GB)J: Rory Cleary Irishinjuredjockeys.com Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 14/1
24 May 26 Curragh Albion Power (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Velo Coffee Handicap8f · Good · 19 ran 9th 50/1
16 May 26 Navan Atallah (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Cusack Hotel Group Family Day July 11th Maiden5f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 200/1
23 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Tara Power (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Racing Again May 26th Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 25/1
23 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Cosmic Force (GB)J: Adam Caffrey View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 5/1
23 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Atallah (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 300/1
11 Apr 26 Bellewstown Tara Power (IRE)J: Yudish Geerdharry Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Handicap11.5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 50/1
11 Apr 26 Bellewstown Perggosa (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 300/1
10 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Cosmic Force (GB)J: Adam Caffrey Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Keith Henry Clarke's strike rate?
Keith Henry Clarke has won 36 of 867 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keith Henry Clarke do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 24 wins from 405 runners (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Keith Henry Clarke?
Robbie Downey, with 136 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.6%).
Is Keith Henry Clarke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Keith Henry Clarke's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 866 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).