What is Kerry Lee's strike rate?

Kerry Lee has won 183 of 1,221 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kerry Lee do best at?

Wetherby by strike rate: 9 wins from 46 runners (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kerry Lee?

Richard Patrick, with 458 runners since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 73 (15.9%).

Is Kerry Lee in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Kerry Lee's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,219 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kerry Lee

1,221 runners in the lifetime window · 107 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

183–1,221

Wins / Runs

15%

Strike rate

n=1,221

428 (35%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,219 · 0.94 incl. margin

−136.90

£1 level stake

n=1,221 at SP · −11.2%

£2.96m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). New recruits from other yards win at 18% first time out (79 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,221 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 35% when favourite Richard Patrick: 15.9% from 458 New recruits: 17.7% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 10.3% (n=369, Fair A/E 0.87). Richard Patrick rides 38% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.9%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (24.7%, n=81) and in Class 5 (21.7%, n=198). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2019, £90,032). The stable star of the record: Happy Diva (IRE) — 7 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.3%−4.7

n=369 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −109.43

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.7%+2.7

n=79 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +9.07

Debutants · first career start

14.3%−0.7

n=28 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +20.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.6%−1.4

n=44 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +9.95

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.7%−0.3

n=34 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −8.40

When favourite

35%

n=163 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −0.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.9%−1.1

n=281 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −54.91

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.3%−4.7

n=116 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −33.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.4% vs 15% · n=180

With Sam Twiston-Davies 27.5% vs 15% · n=40

Off a 8-14-day break 24.7% vs 15% · n=81

With Liam Harrison 5.7% vs 15% · n=53

In Class 5 21.7% vs 15% · n=198

With Conor O'Farrell 7.1% vs 15% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 685 111 16.2% −84.36

Hurdle 489 67 13.7% −72.04

NH Flat 32 4 12.5% +31.62

Flat 15 1 6.7% −12.12

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 417 74 17.7% +17.24

Good 332 43 13% −84.82

Good to Soft 266 34 12.8% −55.78

Heavy 177 30 16.9% +7.08

Good to Firm 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Standard (AW) 11 1 9.1% −8.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 125 24 19.2% −13.23

Uttoxeter 114 21 18.4% +28.33

Chepstow 89 8 9% −49.40

Ludlow 82 15 18.3% +1.15

Ffos Las 73 10 13.7% −0.45

Warwick 67 6 9% +2.43

Cheltenham 58 8 13.8% −6.84

Bangor-on-Dee 55 7 12.7% −20.68

Wetherby 46 9 19.6% +6.76

Stratford 44 6 13.6% −22.71

Worcester 38 5 13.2% −5.50

Newbury 34 4 11.8% −6.40

Haydock 33 5 15.2% −0.70

Sandown 32 4 12.5% −11.97

Huntingdon 28 5 17.9% +4.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 440 61 13.9% −121.65

Class 3 330 53 16.1% −7.28

Class 5 198 43 21.7% +69.48

Class 1 127 13 10.2% −33.70

Class 2 117 12 10.3% −60.75

Class 6 9 1 11.1% +17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 201 66 32.8% 1.11 −5.14

2nd–3rd fav 383 73 19.1% 1.12 −14.76

4th–6th fav 387 37 9.6% 1.10 −11.00

7th+ in betting 250 7 2.8% 0.69 −106.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.2% completed · 1,174 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 685 75.5% 22 22 121 2 1

Hurdle 489 86.9% 8 8 48 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Magic Dancer (GB)from Charlie Longsdon 44 6 18 24 Oct 24

Happy Diva (IRE)from Richard Lee 36 7 22 18 Mar 21

Town Parks (IRE) 35 6 13 5 Feb 23

Storm Control (IRE) 33 5 12 18 Jun 24

Ballybegg (IRE)from Warren Greatrex 31 5 8 25 Jul 25

Destined To Shine (IRE) 31 6 15 25 Mar 23

Not Sure (IRE) 27 3 13 22 Feb 26

Eaton Collina (IRE) 27 5 13 19 Apr 25

Top Gamble (IRE)from Richard Lee 27 3 9 1 Dec 20

Do It For Thy Sen (IRE) 26 6 10 20 Jun 23

Henri Le Bon (IRE) 24 1 7 7 May 24

Greenrock Abbey (IRE)from Alan King · then James Owen 23 2 8 17 May 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 107 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Lee (13) and Charlie Longsdon (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for D J Jeffreys (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

19211891611101222121411

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRichard Patrick

38% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

Richard Patrick 458 73 15.9% −66.59

Jamie Moore 259 34 13.1% −28.92

Richard Johnson 56 10 17.9% −17.17

Liam Harrison 53 3 5.7% −37.30

Conor O'Farrell 42 3 7.1% −13.40

Sam Twiston-Davies 40 11 27.5% +28.61

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

183

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.96m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 29 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Happy Diva (IRE) — BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£90,032

Mountainous (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Chepstow · Jan 2016 · Grade 3

£68,340

Kylemore Lough (GB) — Ryanair Gold Cup Novice Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Mar 2016 · Grade 1

£59,000

Notable horses

Happy Diva (IRE) Nemean Lion (GER) Magic Dancer (GB) Town Parks (IRE) Destined To Shine (IRE) Do It For Thy Sen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 10.2% · 9–88

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Morozov (USA) 16.1% · 9–56

Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,315 runs since 2009 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.

Milan (GB) 16.4% · 9–55

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Norse Dancer (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,800 runs since 2010 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Mahler (GB) 16.3% · 7–43

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,866 runs since 2014 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Yeats (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,833 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,222 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,222 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2006 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Hellfire Princess (GB)J: Benjamin Macey bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 15/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Drumlee Orders (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 7th 250/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Miss Malone To You (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Copybet Supporting Uk Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran UR 80/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Robert Havlin Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 15/8

01 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Malone To You (GB)J: Harry Davies Visit Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1

26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Robert Havlin Attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

18 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Robert Havlin Self Storage Association Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 40/1

10 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Charles Bishop Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 40/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Atlanta Brave (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell CopyBet BOG Today For Tomorrow's Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 5/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Both Of Us (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Warrens Hall Riding School Champions Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1

17 Jun 26 Ffos Las Miss Malone To You (GB)J: Taryn Langley Oil 4 Wales Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 18/1

17 Jun 26 Worcester Both Of Us (IRE)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet BOG Now Royal Ascot Friday Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

16 Jun 26 Stratford Dublinofficecallin (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Stratford Supporting Racing Staff Week Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 3/1

13 Jun 26 Chester Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Luke Morris Roodee Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 33/1

06 Jun 26 Worcester Atlanta Brave (IRE)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 5th 14/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Kingdom Of Stars (FR)J: Conor O'Farrell Somersby Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 14/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Black Hawk Eagle (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Chemique Bonded For Victory Cup Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 4th 9/2

16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Walking The Walk (IRE)J: David Bass Classic Additions Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 33/1

15 May 26 Aintree Bumpy Evans (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Huyton Asphalt Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

08 May 26 Market Rasen Bumpy Evans (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Summer Plate Ladies Day Saturday 18th July Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 6 ran RR 13/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kerry Lee's strike rate?: Kerry Lee has won 183 of 1,221 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kerry Lee do best at?: Wetherby by strike rate: 9 wins from 46 runners (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kerry Lee?: Richard Patrick, with 458 runners since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 73 (15.9%).
Is Kerry Lee in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kerry Lee's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,219 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.