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Trainer profile

Lee Carter

1,662 runners in the lifetime window · 153 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2024 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
112–1,662
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=1,662
364 (22%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=1,652 · 0.69 incl. margin
−673.50
£1 level stake
n=1,662 at SP · −40.5%
£716k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (140 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,662 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 21.3% when favourite Amir Quinn: 8% from 163 New recruits: 9.3% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (13.5%, n=52), clear of the yard's 6.7% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −144.75 to a £1 stake over 249 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Amir Quinn rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.7%, n=134). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 38 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.18 across 67 runners (1.5% strike, −56.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Munsarim (IRE) — 7 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−2.7
n=249 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −144.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.3%+2.6
n=140 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −39.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.7
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.7
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.8%−0.9
n=104 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −40.00
When favourite
21.3%
n=89 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −25.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.2%−0.5
n=534 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −236.24
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 12.7% vs 6.7% · n=134
At Brighton 13.5% vs 6.7% · n=52
On Soft going 0% vs 6.7% · n=38
With Joey Haynes 0% vs 6.7% · n=30
With Kieren Fox 11.1% vs 6.7% · n=153
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.5% vs 6.7% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,650 112 6.8% −661.50
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 1,309 92 7% −506.33
Good 132 8 6.1% −66.17
Good to Firm 112 6 5.4% −38.50
Good to Soft 56 4 7.1% −22.00
Soft 38 0 0% −38.00
Heavy 11 2 18.2% +1.50
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield 671 45 6.7% −263.72
Kempton (AW) 440 32 7.3% −170.11
Chelmsford (AW) 114 11 9.6% −27.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 70 3 4.3% −46.50
Windsor 63 3 4.8% −19.50
Epsom 59 1 1.7% −38.00
Brighton 52 7 13.5% +3.83
Lingfield 49 3 6.1% −31.50
Sandown 29 1 3.4% −20.00
Ascot 19 1 5.3% −8.00
Salisbury 14 0 0% −14.00
Southwell (AW) 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Yarmouth 11 2 18.2% +2.00
Goodwood 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Plumpton 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 843 61 7.2% −305.87
Class 5 530 34 6.4% −238.13
Class 4 197 13 6.6% −95.50
Class 3 47 1 2.1% −26.00
Class 2 27 1 3.7% −18.00
Class 7 17 2 11.8% +11.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 107 23 21.5% 0.87 −27.20
2nd–3rd fav 274 33 12% 0.77 −85.30
4th–6th fav 542 34 6.3% 0.80 −191.00
7th+ in betting 739 22 3% 0.84 −370.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Munsarim (IRE)from Richard Rowe 63 7 10 18 Jun 18
Bennelong (GB)from Richard Rowe · then Daniel Steele 62 5 20 11 Apr 17
Seek The Fair Land (GB)from Jim Boyle · then Daniel Steele 52 7 19 17 Mar 17
The Warrior (IRE)from Amanda Perrett 38 3 8 3 Aug 21
First Experience (GB)from Rae Guest 38 3 8 16 Oct 18
Takeitfromalady (IRE)from Ralph Beckett · then D Donovan 33 1 8 13 May 16
Blue Deer (IRE)from John Akehurst 31 1 5 30 Jan 14
Indus Valley (IRE)from D Donovan · then D Donovan 30 2 6 2 May 17
Spiritual Star (IRE)from Anthony Carson · then Paul George 29 2 7 24 May 18
Enough Already (GB)from Kevin Ryan · then Adrian McGuinness 28 5 8 2 May 24
Lowther (GB)from Brett Johnson 26 5 9 15 Feb 14
Midnight Feast (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 25 3 6 27 Aug 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 153 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 56 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Akehurst (4) and Richard Fahey (4); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for D Donovan (3) and Daniel Steele (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6996106473986
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAmir Quinn
10% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
Amir Quinn 163 13 8% −45.75
Kieren Fox 153 17 11.1% +4.75
Paddy Bradley 127 6 4.7% −68.00
Stevie Donohoe 96 8 8.3% −55.17
Oisin Murphy 53 2 3.8% −29.75
Daniel Muscutt 52 5 9.6% −6.12
William Carson 49 3 6.1% −27.09
Thomas Brown 41 4 9.8% −16.00
Charlie Bennett 40 3 7.5% −1.50
Callum Shepherd 34 4 11.8% +6.50
Connor Murtagh 33 2 6.1% +13.00
Adam Kirby 32 4 12.5% −6.38
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
112
Archived wins
£716k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 26 wins
Chilli Green (GB) — IBA Handicap Goodwood · May 2012 · Class 2
£12,450
Mezzotint (IRE) — Bob And Jackie Jones Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2015 · Class 4
£8,086
Lowther (GB) — BetVictor.com Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Kempton (AW) · Oct 2013 · Class 3
£7,439
Notable horses
Munsarim (IRE) Seek The Fair Land (GB) Bennelong (GB) Enough Already (GB) Lowther (GB) Not Your Call (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bahamian Bounty (GB) 5.4% · 7–129
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Shamardal (USA) 8.6% · 7–81
Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,412 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.
Noverre (USA) 13.5% · 7–52
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Intikhab (USA) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Coach House (IRE) 14.6% · 6–41
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,662 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,662 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 March 2012 to 30 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Jul 24 Yarmouth Irrelevant (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Download The At The Races App Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 12/1
10 Jun 24 Lingfield (AW) Violets Star (GB)J: Billy Loughnane AK Bets Watch All UK Racing Handicap (AWT) (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1
04 Jun 24 Lingfield (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 14/1
21 May 24 Brighton La Rav (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Download The Yeeehaaa.Bet App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 11th 8/1
21 May 24 Brighton Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Follow Us On X At Yeeehaaabet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 6th 16/1
02 May 24 Lingfield (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Get Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/3F
02 May 24 Lingfield (AW) Enough Already (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 6/4F
17 Apr 24 Kempton (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 11th 11/1
10 Apr 24 Lingfield (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 7/1
03 Apr 24 Kempton (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Try Unibet's New Acca Boost's HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 28/1
29 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) Enough Already (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser BetUK All-Weather Vase Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 33/1
22 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) La Rav (IRE)J: George Rooke BetUK. Home Of The Acca HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 40/1
22 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Liam Wright Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1
14 Mar 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Betting.bet David Brent's Racing Tips HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 33/1
09 Mar 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Sudbury Sapphires HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/1
06 Mar 24 Kempton (AW) La Rav (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Unibet Proudly Supports www.racinghome.org.uk Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 18/1
28 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 8/1
22 Feb 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Perfect Focus (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Racing Welfare Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 17/2
21 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 18/1
21 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Repartee (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Unibet Support Safe Gambling Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lee Carter's strike rate?
Lee Carter has won 112 of 1,662 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lee Carter do best at?
Brighton by strike rate: 7 wins from 52 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lee Carter?
Amir Quinn, with 163 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8%).
What is Lee Carter's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 1,652 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).