What is Marco Botti's strike rate?

Marco Botti has won 936 of 7,253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Marco Botti do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 29 wins from 175 runners (16.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Marco Botti?

Andrea Atzeni, with 693 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 105 (15.2%).

Is Marco Botti in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Marco Botti's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 7,206 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Marco Botti

7,253 runners in the lifetime window · 1,135 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.7% of 330 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

936–7,253

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=7,253

2,494 (34%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=7,206 · 0.87 incl. margin

−998.39

£1 level stake

n=7,252 at SP · −13.8%

£15.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (167 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 7,253 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Mar Fresh horses: 14.9% 32.2% when favourite Andrea Atzeni: 15.2% from 693 New recruits: 17.4% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 17.4% (n=167, Fair A/E 1.32), but debutants struggle at 8.3% (n=947, Fair A/E 0.98). Andrea Atzeni rides 10% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.2% vs 12.9%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 72 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Du Moulin De Longchamp at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2011, £221,664). The stable star of the record: Grendisar (IRE) — 10 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.9%+2.0

n=1,111 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −18.05

New recruits · first run for the yard

17.4%+4.5

n=167 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +47.82

Debutants · first career start

8.3%−4.6

n=947 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −40.43

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.2%−3.7

n=553 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −215.22

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.8%−1.1

n=136 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −24.95

When favourite

32.2%

n=846 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −156.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.3%−2.6

n=1,532 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −334.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.6%−1.3

n=593 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −211.97

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Silvestre De Sousa 26.9% vs 12.9% · n=78

With Marco Ghiani 18.4% vs 12.9% · n=412

With Paolo Sirigu 5.3% vs 12.9% · n=76

With Adam Kirby 18.2% vs 12.9% · n=435

With Martin Harley 18% vs 12.9% · n=517

With Morgan Cole 5.1% vs 12.9% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 4,182 595 14.2% −334.03

Good to Firm 1,190 140 11.8% −212.84

Good 989 104 10.5% −232.57

Good to Soft 421 42 10% −92.27

Soft 349 42 12% −87.58

Heavy 81 10 12.3% −18.10

Firm 41 3 7.3% −21.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,283 211 16.4% −33.79

Kempton (AW) 1,259 160 12.7% −114.09

Lingfield (AW) 614 79 12.9% −81.29

Chelmsford (AW) 591 81 13.7% −83.97

Yarmouth 342 39 11.4% −95.43

Doncaster 301 35 11.6% −47.63

Newmarket 261 33 12.6% −0.97

Southwell (AW) 250 33 13.2% −56.30

Windsor 223 30 13.5% −25.37

Nottingham 212 21 9.9% −63.22

Newmarket 203 17 8.4% −30.67

Ascot 182 23 12.6% +24.41

Newcastle (AW) 175 29 16.6% +39.18

Haydock 166 17 10.2% −19.35

Newbury 140 12 8.6% −32.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,862 363 12.7% −350.19

Class 4 1,465 202 13.8% −264.63

Class 6 931 123 13.2% −169.03

Class 2 813 99 12.2% −50.46

Class 1 593 69 11.6% −211.97

Class 3 587 80 13.6% +49.89

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 983 296 30.1% 0.96 −199.14

2nd–3rd fav 2,059 358 17.4% 1.02 −323.75

4th–6th fav 2,616 218 8.3% 1.04 −267.00

7th+ in betting 1,594 64 4% 1.06 −208.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,897 379 13.1% −320.39

1m – 1m1f 2,314 294 12.7% −409.03

1m2f – 1m4f 1,547 192 12.4% −167.65

Under 6f 266 33 12.4% −87.79

1m5f – 2m 219 37 16.9% −14.53

2m1f – 2m4f 10 1 10% +1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 310 45 14.5% +34.81

2009 291 38 13.1% +8.48

2010 281 36 12.8% −65.11

2011 276 47 17% −29.90

2012 379 53 14% −106.79

2013 545 90 16.5% −88.90

2014 588 82 13.9% −125.69

2015 506 54 10.7% −162.22

2016 402 51 12.7% −131.44

2017 325 40 12.3% −23.99

2018 375 34 9.1% −113.91

2019 398 40 10.1% −39.75

2020 324 38 11.7% −64.46

2021 399 50 12.5% +35.65

2022 396 51 12.9% +70.99

2023 398 41 10.3% −55.17

2024 431 53 12.3% −135.74

2025 343 42 12.2% −68.51

2026 286 51 17.8% +63.26

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,850 484 12.6% −498.47

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,749 338 12.3% −417.26

11-13 runners 2,012 193 9.6% −409.73

5-7 runners 1,690 310 18.3% −78.89

14-16 runners 485 42 8.7% −49.58

2-4 runners 166 45 27.1% −20.93

17+ runners 151 8 5.3% −22.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Silver Samurai (GB) 55 7 20 23 Jan 26

Grendisar (IRE) 39 10 25 14 Apr 17

Grey Mirage (GB)then Gay Kelleway 39 8 17 31 Dec 16

Solar Deity (IRE)then Jane Chapple-Hyam 38 7 14 12 Mar 16

Silver Gunn (IRE) 36 6 9 11 May 26

Casina di Notte (IRE) 32 2 11 8 Dec 21

Al Hamdany (IRE) 28 2 10 19 Oct 19

Hasopop (IRE) 28 4 9 23 Jan 15

Suegioo (FR)then Richard Fahey 27 2 15 17 Oct 15

Ceremonial Jade (UAE) 27 4 8 4 May 13

Halfsin (IRE)then Alexandra Dunn 26 5 11 31 May 14

Orpenindeed (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 26 3 15 28 Jun 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,135 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Robert Cowell (2) and Stuart Williams (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

16161613910141212141515

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAndrea Atzeni

10% of all rides
15.2% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Andrea Atzeni 693 105 15.2% −31.63

Martin Harley 517 93 18% −85.49

Daniel Muscutt 457 54 11.8% −145.80

Adam Kirby 435 79 18.2% −82.47

Marco Ghiani 412 76 18.4% +52.11

Luke Morris 369 39 10.6% −156.05

Stefano Cherchi 330 38 11.5% +43.17

Marc Monaghan 309 30 9.7% −82.30

Neil Callan 288 36 12.5% +99.13

Hollie Doyle 168 25 14.9% −7.29

Jimmy Quinn 146 14 9.6% −73.00

Benoit de la Sayette 113 11 9.7% +14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

961

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.3m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 90 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Excelebration (IRE) — Qatar Prix Du Moulin De Longchamp (3yo+ Colts Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2011 · Group 1

£221,664

Tac De Boistron (FR) — Prix Royal-Oak (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2014 · Group 1

£166,658

Giavellotto (IRE) — Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Jun 2026 · Group 2

£141,775

Notable horses

Grendisar (IRE) Ceremonial Jade (UAE) Grey Mirage (GB) Giavellotto (IRE) Silver Samurai (GB) Solar Deity (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oasis Dream (GB) 11.5% · 28–243

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,028 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 13.3% · 26–195

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,032 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 11.6% · 18–155

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,857 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 18% · 27–150

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,208 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Kodiac (GB) 13% · 17–131

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,589 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Cape Cross (IRE) 17.7% · 23–130

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,482 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,482 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2006 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Orange Emperor (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 9/2

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Handle With Care (GB)J: Marco Ghiani AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 11/2

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Sunset On Leros (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 66/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Bated Benevolence (GB)J: Robert Havlin Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 25/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hoosier (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 13/2

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Roi De Coeur (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 11/4F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Zephyra (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Golden Muse (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 11/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Pride's Queen (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hoosier (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/4

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Graniteville (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Colori Forever (GB)J: Ryan Moore Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 17th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) El Fox (GB)J: Luke Morris Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Prince Of India (IRE)J: Pat Dobbs Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 5th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Alpha Legend (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wadima (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Free Tips On Attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 2/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Keithaar (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 100/30

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Harpagoside (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 3rd 7/2

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Sa Llagosta (GB)J: Darragh Keenan British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 200/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Spong Hill (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Marco Botti's strike rate?: Marco Botti has won 936 of 7,253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Marco Botti do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 29 wins from 175 runners (16.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Marco Botti?: Andrea Atzeni, with 693 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 105 (15.2%).
Is Marco Botti in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Marco Botti's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 7,206 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.