What is Mark Michael McNiff's strike rate?

Mark Michael McNiff has won 113 of 1,724 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark Michael McNiff do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 31 wins from 241 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mark Michael McNiff?

Derek Fox, with 313 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (9.6%).

Is Mark Michael McNiff in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mark Michael McNiff's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 1,718 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mark Michael McNiff

1,724 runners in the lifetime window · 186 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

113–1,724

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=1,724

369 (21%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=1,718 · 0.72 incl. margin

−629.46

£1 level stake

n=1,723 at SP · −36.5%

£1.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 17% (48 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,724 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug 16.1% when favourite Derek Fox: 9.6% from 313 Headgear returns: 16.7% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (12.9%, n=241), clear of the yard's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 52 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=48, Fair A/E 2.31), but debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=88, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −125.25 to a £1 stake over 410 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Derek Fox rides 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.6% vs 6.6%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (15.1%, n=53) and in Class 6 (15.2%, n=33). The stable star of the record: Presenting Lad (IRE) — 6 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.6%−2.0

n=410 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −125.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−0.3

n=96 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −41.67

Debutants · first career start

2.3%−4.3

n=88 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −37.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.4%−4.2

n=82 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −58.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%+10.1

n=48 · A/E 2.31 · £1 +34.71

When favourite

16.1%

n=93 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −43.49

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.6%+0.0

n=774 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −387.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.6

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With headgear back on 16.7% vs 6.6% · n=48

At Downpatrick 12.9% vs 6.6% · n=241

Beyond 3m 15.1% vs 6.6% · n=53

In Class 6 15.2% vs 6.6% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 12.7% vs 6.6% · n=110

At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 6.6% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,053 79 7.5% −347.24

Flat 362 16 4.4% −124.00

Chase 239 14 5.9% −118.84

NH Flat 70 4 5.7% −39.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 609 54 8.9% −166.59

Soft 521 34 6.5% −183.00

Good to Soft 246 13 5.3% −74.67

Heavy 209 6 2.9% −136.20

Standard (AW) 69 1 1.4% −56.00

Good to Firm 65 5 7.7% −8.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sligo 290 23 7.9% −101.50

Downpatrick 241 31 12.9% +5.79

Kilbeggan 99 9 9.1% −52.42

Ballinrobe 95 7 7.4% −29.00

Roscommon 71 5 7% −36.50

Down Royal 64 1 1.6% −43.00

Galway 57 1 1.8% −48.00

Dundalk (AW) 52 0 0% −52.00

Fairyhouse 50 0 0% −50.00

Thurles 49 0 0% −49.00

Navan 47 1 2.1% −21.00

Cork 46 3 6.5% +42.50

Punchestown 44 0 0% −44.00

Listowel 38 4 10.5% +3.80

Tramore 37 2 5.4% −27.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 59 5 8.5% −20.50

Class 5 55 6 10.9% +6.37

Class 6 33 5 15.2% +17.00

Class 1 15 0 0% −14.00

Class 3 15 2 13.3% −1.00

Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 112 17 15.2% 0.69 −51.99

2nd–3rd fav 294 46 15.6% 1.10 −30.47

4th–6th fav 482 31 6.4% 0.88 −125.00

7th+ in betting 835 19 2.3% 0.78 −422.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 606 41 6.8% −224.63

1m5f – 2m 482 27 5.6% −245.58

2m5f – 3m 275 24 8.7% −77.46

1m2f – 1m4f 138 3 2.2% −99.00

6f – 7f 79 4 5.1% −12.50

1m – 1m1f 70 4 5.7% +7.00

Over 3m 53 8 15.1% +18.71

Under 6f 21 2 9.5% +4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 40 2 5% −27.00

2009 34 1 2.9% −32.20

2010 32 3 9.4% −6.25

2011 65 5 7.7% −18.50

2012 84 4 4.8% −40.00

2013 82 6 7.3% −45.00

2014 75 6 8% −34.88

2015 94 10 10.6% −26.42

2016 129 7 5.4% −29.50

2017 94 9 9.6% −21.50

2018 80 4 5% −14.00

2019 120 7 5.8% −18.00

2020 87 10 11.5% −8.00

2021 122 11 9% −0.75

2022 144 5 3.5% −100.00

2023 110 7 6.4% −23.50

2024 131 6 4.6% −91.84

2025 103 5 4.9% −79.12

2026 98 5 5.1% −13.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,064 79 7.4% −325.33

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 568 37 6.5% −204.67

11-13 runners 480 33 6.9% −145.04

8-10 runners 328 27 8.2% −116.67

17+ runners 209 4 1.9% −116.20

5-7 runners 133 12 9% −41.88

2-4 runners 6 0 0% −5.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.9% completed · 1,292 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 239 77.8% 11 9 30 3 0

Hurdle 1,053 91.5% 23 16 49 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sean Airgead (IRE) 62 4 19 26 Dec 16

Mr Moondance (IRE)from Timothy Doyle 49 4 14 10 Jul 22

Fassbender (IRE)from R P McNamara 46 2 11 10 Apr 25

Celtic Monarch (IRE) 46 3 14 20 Aug 19

Presenting Lad (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 44 6 21 4 Oct 26

High Talk (IRE)then Barry Brennan 40 4 9 25 Sep 15

Vinniespride (IRE) 32 1 7 4 Jan 16

Red Ball Of Fire (IRE)from Edward Lynam 31 3 11 30 Jul 25

Sicario (IRE)from Jamie Osborne · then Michael Appleby 30 2 5 4 Jul 22

Lighthouse Rose (IRE) 28 3 6 27 Sep 23

Andratx (IRE)from P J Prendergast 28 4 8 8 Apr 22

Pump Road (IRE)from John Gerard Lonergan 27 3 9 10 Jul 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 186 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kieran Purcell (3) and Gerard Quirk (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1074999105411

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDerek Fox

18% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Derek Fox 313 30 9.6% −27.42

Phillip Enright 260 20 7.7% −77.04

L McNiff 54 6 11.1% −13.45

Conor Hoban 47 3 6.4% +22.00

Alan King 47 1 2.1% −38.00

Paddy Kennedy 42 2 4.8% −27.50

M P Butler 36 2 5.6% −19.50

Mr J C Barry 34 2 5.9% −12.67

Steven Fox 33 1 3% −29.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

113

Archived wins

£1.18m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 11 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Adimelo (FR) — Francie 'Banger' Burns Memorial Handicap Hurdle Sligo · Aug 2019

£11,820

For Everyone (IRE) — Kerry Group 3-Y-O Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2019

£11,820

Red Ball Of Fire (IRE) — Kilcawley Construction Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle Sligo · Jul 2023

£10,325

Notable horses

Presenting Lad (IRE) Sean Airgead (IRE) Mr Moondance (IRE) High Talk (IRE) Andratx (IRE) Mr Mulliner (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Craigsteel (GB) 6.3% · 4–63

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Scribano (GB) 6.5% · 4–62

Progeny have won 7.4% of 309 runs since 2008 (36 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11% from 109.

Windsor Knot (IRE) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (81 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 127.

Court Cave (IRE) 6.3% · 3–48

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,938 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Manduro (GER) 12.5% · 6–48

Progeny have won 10.4% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 1,095.

Celtic Swing (GB) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,728 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,728 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 October 2007 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Evans Wishes (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Electric Galway (C & G) (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Wee Man (IRE)J: Alan King QuinnBet 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 4th 66/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Brother Hollie (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran UR 8/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Baldilou (FR)J: Mr J W Hendrick John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 11/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Lilac Lady (IRE)J: Alan King Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 16/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Jumble Light (FR)J: Phillip Enright Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 11th 9/2J

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Camhaoir (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 14 ran 6th 80/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Houndsworth (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 13/2

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) The Wee Man (IRE)J: Alan King Co-Op Superstores 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 400/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Camhaoir (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 400/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Lighthouse Sarah (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle17.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 40/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Evan D Invincible (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 14th 125/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Joe's Turn (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 1st 10/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Presenting Lad (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran PU 12/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Alentejo (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 14th 40/1

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Brother Hollie (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 5th 12/1

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Jumble Light (FR)J: Alan King Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 18/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Ilbdare (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Castlecoote Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 8/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Go To The Moon (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 22/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Emmamia (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Athleague Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 11th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Michael McNiff's strike rate?: Mark Michael McNiff has won 113 of 1,724 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Michael McNiff do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 31 wins from 241 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mark Michael McNiff?: Derek Fox, with 313 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (9.6%).
Is Mark Michael McNiff in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark Michael McNiff's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 1,718 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.