What is Michael Roberts's strike rate?

Michael Roberts has won 18 of 279 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Roberts do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 8 wins from 83 runners (9.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Roberts?

Tom O'Brien, with 85 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).

What is Michael Roberts's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 278 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Roberts

279 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

18–279

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=279

59 (21%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=278 · 0.80 incl. margin

−72.32

£1 level stake

n=279 at SP · −25.9%

£116k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 279 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Tom O'Brien: 9.4% from 85

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (9.6%, n=83), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. It is weakest at Fontwell (2.9% over 68 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −69.50 to a £1 stake over 105 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tom O'Brien rides 30% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.4% vs 6.5%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (13.5%, n=37) and in Class 5 (9.9%, n=121).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%−2.7

n=105 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −69.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.5

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−2.3

n=24 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +27.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.5

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.3%+7.8

n=7 · A/E 3.13 · £1 +3.00

When favourite

25%

n=8 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −3.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.7%−2.8

n=54 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −0.12

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 15.2% vs 6.5% · n=33

On Heavy going 13.5% vs 6.5% · n=37

In Class 5 9.9% vs 6.5% · n=121

With a new jockey booking 3.4% vs 6.5% · n=148

At Fontwell 2.9% vs 6.5% · n=68

At Plumpton 9.6% vs 6.5% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 192 13 6.8% −58.70

NH Flat 36 2 5.6% +17.88

Flat 35 2 5.7% −21.50

Chase 16 1 6.3% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 101 5 5% −32.12

Soft 55 4 7.3% −11.50

Good to Soft 43 2 4.7% −35.20

Heavy 37 5 13.5% +36.00

Standard (AW) 31 2 6.5% −17.50

Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Plumpton 83 8 9.6% +61.00

Fontwell 68 2 2.9% −45.00

Fakenham 14 2 14.3% −6.70

Towcester 12 0 0% −12.00

Lingfield 11 0 0% −11.00

Huntingdon 11 0 0% −11.00

Lingfield (AW) 10 1 10% −6.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 10 1 10% +0.00

Folkestone 9 0 0% −9.00

Uttoxeter 8 2 25% +1.50

Worcester 8 1 12.5% −5.12

Southwell (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Kempton (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Brighton 4 0 0% −4.00

Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 121 12 9.9% +47.88

Class 4 100 4 4% −75.70

Class 6 51 2 3.9% −37.50

Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 10 2 20% 0.77 −5.70

2nd–3rd fav 39 7 17.9% 1.09 −3.62

4th–6th fav 104 6 5.8% 0.75 −12.00

7th+ in betting 126 3 2.4% 0.87 −51.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.8% completed · 208 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 16 62.5% 1 1 4 0 0

Hurdle 192 80.2% 6 1 30 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Andapa (FR)then Marie Martin 25 4 11 14 May 23

Snippetydoodah (GB) 23 3 7 28 Nov 19

Cap D'antibes (IRE)from Michael Wigham · then Marie Martin 15 2 5 19 Oct 23

Perfect Moment (IRE)from Don Cantillon 15 2 3 11 Apr 21

Hazy Bay (GB) 13 2 4 24 Feb 13

Lutin Collonges (FR) 13 1 2 14 Mar 11

Uranox (FR) 12 0 1 16 Jan 17

Dream Baie (FR)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 11 0 2 19 Oct 20

Got Bright (FR)from Paul Nolan · then Amanda Perrett 10 0 2 5 Oct 23

Saucysioux (GB)then Olly Murphy 9 1 2 17 Apr 17

Underwood (FR) 9 0 0 24 May 15

Betsy Boo Boo (GB) 8 0 0 17 Oct 16

All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Joseph Patrick O'Brien (3) and Dan Skelton (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Marie Martin (5); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

386437290100714

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom O'Brien

30% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Tom O'Brien 85 8 9.4% −20.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£117k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 4 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Snippetydoodah (GB) — 188bet Faller Refunds At Cheltenham Thursday Mares' Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Mar 2018 · Class 4

£5,588

Perfect Moment (IRE) — British Racing School Foundation Course Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · Dec 2019 · Class 4

£4,809

Perfect Moment (IRE) — Sculthorpe Mares' Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · Nov 2019 · Class 5

£4,159

Notable horses

Andapa (FR) Snippetydoodah (GB) Cap D'antibes (IRE) Perfect Moment (IRE) Hazy Bay (GB) Lutin Collonges (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Theatre (IRE) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Kapgarde (FR) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,618 runs since 2008 (724 horses).

Zaha (CAN) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 5.9% of 627 runs since 2008 (72 horses).

Milan (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,860 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Ragmar (FR) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 10.5% of 418 runs since 2008 (53 horses).

Society Rock (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,837 runs since 2008 (175 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 233.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 295 · newest first

The latest 50 of 295 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 March 2005 to 19 October 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Cap D'antibes (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Armed Forces Remembrance Raceday HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 16/1

05 Oct 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Got Bright (FR)J: Kieran O'Neill Buy Your 2024 Membership Now HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 11/1

19 Sep 23 Uttoxeter Petit Bijou (GB)J: Bryony Frost Jal Roofing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 66/1

01 Sep 23 Fontwell Fort De L'ocean (FR)J: Bryony Frost Join The Vickers.Bet Free Bet Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/1

16 Jul 23 Stratford Petit Bijou (GB)J: Bryony Frost Hook Norton Veterinary Group 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 40/1

29 May 23 Huntingdon Fort De L'ocean (FR)J: Bryony Frost Join Racing Tv Now Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 5/1

23 May 23 Brighton Cap D'antibes (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Never Give In HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 11/4F

14 May 23 Plumpton Andapa (FR)J: Bryony Frost Julie Brown Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 15/2

04 May 23 Salisbury Got Bright (FR)J: Oisin Murphy William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 14f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 15/2

03 May 23 Kempton (AW) Cap D'antibes (IRE)J: Dane O'Neill Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 5th 10/1

02 May 23 Brighton Cliffs Of Malta (IRE)J: Luke Morris Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 5/2F

28 Apr 23 Southwell Fort De L'ocean (FR)J: Bryony Frost Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 12/1

14 Apr 23 Southwell (AW) Got Bright (FR)J: William Carson At The Races App Market Movers HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 13/2

03 Apr 23 Lingfield (AW) Cap D'antibes (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 12/1

21 Mar 23 Plumpton Pump It Up (GB)J: Daryl Jacob Weatherbys Digital Solutions Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 17/2

09 Mar 23 Southwell (AW) Cliffs Of Malta (IRE)J: David Probert Top Odds Every Day With Betuk Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

08 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Cap D'antibes (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

04 Mar 23 Lingfield (AW) Got Bright (FR)J: William Carson BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 5/1

24 Feb 23 Lingfield (AW) Cap D'antibes (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/1

22 Feb 23 Kempton (AW) Miss Tiki (GB)J: David Probert Join Racing Tv Now Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Roberts's strike rate?: Michael Roberts has won 18 of 279 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Roberts do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 8 wins from 83 runners (9.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Roberts?: Tom O'Brien, with 85 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).
What is Michael Roberts's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 278 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.