What is Nikki Evans's strike rate?

Nikki Evans has won 46 of 1,645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nikki Evans do best at?

Warwick by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 runners (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nikki Evans?

Robert Williams, with 100 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3%).

Is Nikki Evans in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nikki Evans's Fair A/E?

0.70, from 1,636 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nikki Evans

1,645 runners in the lifetime window · 196 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

46–1,645

Wins / Runs

2.8%

Strike rate

n=1,645

183 (11%)

Placed

0.70

Fair A/E

n=1,636 · 0.59 incl. margin

−1,035.30

£1 level stake

n=1,645 at SP · −62.9%

£389k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,645 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun Robert Williams: 3% from 100

The read

The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.31 and −62.00 to a £1 stake over 129 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robert Williams rides 6% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3%, A/E 0.77). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (11.6%, n=43) and at trips under 6f (9.6%, n=115). The stable star of the record: Steel Rain (GB) — 7 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.6%−1.2

n=437 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −297.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0.8%−2.0

n=129 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −62.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−2.8

n=60 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −60.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.1%−0.7

n=48 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −40.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−2.8

n=73 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −73.00

When favourite

19%

n=21 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −6.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

2.1%−0.7

n=849 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −651.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−2.8

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 9.5% vs 2.8% · n=148

Beyond 3m 11.6% vs 2.8% · n=43

With Kieran O'Neill 12.1% vs 2.8% · n=33

At trips under 6f 9.6% vs 2.8% · n=115

On last-time-out winners 9.8% vs 2.8% · n=51

With Nicola Currie 6.5% vs 2.8% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 961 33 3.4% −494.55

Hurdle 522 11 2.1% −392.25

Chase 116 2 1.7% −102.50

NH Flat 46 0 0% −46.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 440 11 2.5% −318.67

Good 437 14 3.2% −124.50

Good to Soft 236 5 2.1% −190.50

Soft 231 9 3.9% −156.38

Good to Firm 179 4 2.2% −147.00

Heavy 83 1 1.2% −79.75

Firm 39 2 5.1% −18.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 301 10 3.3% −192.67

Chepstow 246 5 2% −142.38

Ffos Las 139 6 4.3% −79.00

Bath 127 6 4.7% −42.50

Hereford 99 4 4% −73.25

Ludlow 69 1 1.4% −43.00

Kempton (AW) 66 0 0% −66.00

Uttoxeter 55 0 0% −55.00

Stratford 52 2 3.8% −39.00

Lingfield (AW) 47 1 2.1% −34.00

Worcester 40 0 0% −40.00

Warwick 34 2 5.9% +13.00

Leicester 30 0 0% −30.00

Taunton 25 0 0% −25.00

Newton Abbot 25 0 0% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 589 24 4.1% −275.05

Class 5 576 11 1.9% −422.50

Class 4 386 9 2.3% −259.25

Class 3 47 0 0% −47.00

Class 7 38 2 5.3% −22.50

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 25 6 24% 1.01 −1.80

2nd–3rd fav 96 14 14.6% 1.01 −7.50

4th–6th fav 392 15 3.8% 0.70 −225.00

7th+ in betting 1,132 11 1% 0.44 −801.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 366 6 1.6% −207.00

1m2f – 1m4f 268 11 4.1% −129.55

6f – 7f 249 6 2.4% −156.50

2m1f – 2m4f 230 3 1.3% −215.00

1m – 1m1f 217 2 0.9% −201.50

2m5f – 3m 157 2 1.3% −141.00

Under 6f 115 11 9.6% +28.00

Over 3m 43 5 11.6% −12.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 55 1 1.8% +12.00

2009 56 0 0% −56.00

2010 61 1 1.6% −56.50

2011 66 5 7.6% −17.00

2012 76 2 2.6% −62.50

2013 74 3 4.1% −50.50

2014 95 0 0% −95.00

2015 128 3 2.3% −75.00

2016 137 4 2.9% −88.00

2017 137 4 2.9% −69.25

2018 119 4 3.4% −69.50

2019 82 2 2.4% −34.00

2020 58 0 0% −58.00

2021 91 1 1.1% −80.00

2022 94 2 2.1% −44.00

2023 92 4 4.3% −52.00

2024 89 4 4.5% −60.55

2025 73 1 1.4% −56.00

2026 62 5 8.1% −23.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,183 38 3.2% −723.80

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 594 19 3.2% −385.80

11-13 runners 539 12 2.2% −324.50

5-7 runners 271 12 4.4% −149.00

14-16 runners 191 3 1.6% −126.00

17+ runners 25 0 0% −25.00

2-4 runners 25 0 0% −25.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Virtual Hug (IRE)from Conor O'Dwyer 45 5 13 3 Nov 26

Late Shipment (GB)from Jamie Osborne 45 4 10 3 May 21

Steel Rain (GB) 42 7 9 28 Jun 16

Turnbury (GB)from Laura Mongan 41 2 6 19 Jun 20

Maroc (GB)from Paul Cole 35 1 9 25 Nov 20

Duneen Dream (USA)from Willie Musson 34 3 7 13 Aug 13

Agreement (IRE)from John Quinn 33 1 2 4 Sep 18

Thrtypointstothree (IRE) 30 0 6 7 Mar 17

Sue Be It (IRE) 28 2 6 22 Nov 21

Takbeer (IRE)from F Rohaut 26 2 6 26 Aug 21

Angel's Call (IRE) 24 2 5 21 Sep 26

Dancing Dani (IRE) 24 0 4 19 Dec 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 196 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ronald Harris (4) and David Evans (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

134465142220

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Williams

6% of all rides
3% SR · A/E 0.77

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Williams 100 3 3% −60.50

David Probert 68 2 2.9% −60.00

Jodie Mogford 48 0 0% −48.00

Matt Cosham 47 1 2.1% −18.00

Shane Quinlan 46 2 4.3% −32.50

Edward Greatrex 42 2 4.8% −14.00

James Davies 41 1 2.4% +0.00

Lee Stephens 40 0 0% −40.00

Peter Hatton 37 1 2.7% −28.00

Kieran O'Neill 33 4 12.1% +0.50

Nicola Currie 31 2 6.5% +17.50

Cathy Gannon 30 1 3.3% +37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£412k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Late Shipment (GB) — 188bet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Mar 2017 · Class 4

£6,498

Angel's Call (IRE) — Get Raceday Ready Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Wolverhampton (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 4

£5,670

Sue Be It (IRE) — racinguk.com/freetrial Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Div 1) Stratford · Jun 2018 · Class 4

£5,458

Notable horses

Steel Rain (GB) Virtual Hug (IRE) Late Shipment (GB) Duneen Dream (USA) More Than Likely (GB) Turnbury (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Authorized (IRE) 7.7% · 5–65

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,032 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Azamour (IRE) 3.8% · 2–52

Progeny have won 13.1% of 4,328 runs since 2009 (351 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.

Striking Ambition (GB) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 7.5% of 682 runs since 2010 (45 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 277.

Buratino (IRE) 11.1% · 5–45

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,884 runs since 2020 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.

Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–38

Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,793 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,793 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2005 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Kates Choice (IRE)J: James Best Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 14/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester City Escape (IRE)J: David Probert Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Kates Choice (IRE)J: Ben Poste Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 20/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Naval Ensign (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 80/1

21 Sep 26 Ffos Las City Escape (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Dandara Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 20/1

21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Angel's Call (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill RHN Travel Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 4/1

21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Angelica Teach (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill BETTING.BET New Betting Sites/EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 125/1

13 Sep 26 Bath Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Loud Hire Staging Hire Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 40/1

12 Sep 26 Bath Angel's Call (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

31 Aug 26 Chepstow Angel's Call (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Runtech Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 13/2

29 Aug 26 Chepstow City Escape (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 7/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 6th 5/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las City Escape (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 1st 12/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Sofian (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 22/1

12 Aug 26 Ffos Las Angel's Call (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Dandara Homes Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

04 Aug 26 Ffos Las Pomeriggio (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Dandara Homes Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 8th 150/1

04 Aug 26 Ffos Las Sofian (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7.5f · Good · 9 ran RR 6/1

28 Jul 26 Ffos Las Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Alan Bennett Racing/Keith Davies Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 4th 22/1

28 Jul 26 Ffos Las Sofian (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh DragonBet/Martin Davies Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 11 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nikki Evans's strike rate?: Nikki Evans has won 46 of 1,645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nikki Evans do best at?: Warwick by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 runners (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nikki Evans?: Robert Williams, with 100 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3%).
Is Nikki Evans in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nikki Evans's Fair A/E?: 0.70, from 1,636 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.