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Trainer profile

P M J Doyle

412 runners in the lifetime window · 131 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 180 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
44–412
Wins / Runs
10.7%
Strike rate
n=412
146 (35%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=410 · 0.71 incl. margin
−152.62
£1 level stake
n=410 at SP · −37.2%
£717k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 14% (35 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 412 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.8% 34.7% when favourite Jack Doyle: 14.8% from 115 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (18.4%, n=38) and Fairyhouse (15.2%, n=33) — all clear of the yard's 10.7% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (4.8% over 42 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=35, Fair A/E 1.25). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 9.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −84.45 to a £1 stake over 186 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jack Doyle rides 28% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.8% vs 10.7%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tom Quinlan Electrical Novice Hurdle at Fairyhouse (Apr 2022, £23,600). The stable star of the record: Annie Other (IRE) — 6 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.8%+0.1
n=83 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −24.32
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.8%+8.1
n=16 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −5.77
Debutants · first career start
8.8%−1.9
n=114 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.13
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+3.6
n=35 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −13.30
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+1.8
n=8 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
34.7%
n=49 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −7.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.7%−1.0
n=186 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −84.45
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.7%−1.0
n=31 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −23.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Kilbeggan 18.4% vs 10.7% · n=38
At Punchestown 4.8% vs 10.7% · n=42
With Jack Doyle 14.8% vs 10.7% · n=115
At Cork 6.1% vs 10.7% · n=33
At Fairyhouse 15.2% vs 10.7% · n=33
With a new jockey booking 7.9% vs 10.7% · n=254
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 182 20 11% −45.63
NH Flat 114 11 9.6% −44.93
Chase 86 11 12.8% −45.06
Flat 30 2 6.7% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 149 12 8.1% −63.39
Good 113 13 11.5% −45.67
Heavy 68 8 11.8% −33.64
Good to Soft 58 5 8.6% −30.80
Good to Firm 17 6 35.3% +27.88
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 42 2 4.8% −25.00
Kilbeggan 38 7 18.4% +36.50
Thurles 35 5 14.3% −11.63
Limerick 35 5 14.3% −7.05
Cork 33 2 6.1% −29.80
Fairyhouse 33 5 15.2% −13.97
Tipperary 22 0 0% −22.00
Tramore 22 2 9.1% −15.25
Killarney 21 1 4.8% −17.50
Clonmel 18 1 5.6% −16.00
Ballinrobe 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Naas 12 3 25% −5.50
Wexford 12 4 33.3% +8.88
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 30 3 10% −22.87
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 58 18 31% 1.01 −13.63
2nd–3rd fav 118 14 11.9% 0.75 −49.49
4th–6th fav 135 10 7.4% 1.02 −35.50
7th+ in betting 99 2 2% 0.65 −54.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
91.4% completed · 268 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 86 84.9% 3 3 6 1 0
Hurdle 182 94.5% 1 2 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Annie Other (IRE) 24 6 11 15 Jul 14
Kaiser Black (IRE) 15 4 9 7 Jul 20
Kilcrea Castle (IRE) 14 1 5 12 Feb 12
Stumblin In (IRE)from John M Burke · then Jack Doyle 12 1 2 20 Apr 26
Brave Fortune (IRE)then Joseph Patrick O'Brien 12 3 8 9 Jun 25
Tinos Tank (IRE)from Hilary Parrott 12 1 5 17 Mar 18
Hidden Charmer (IRE)then Christian Williams 11 1 3 6 Jun 18
Safran Et Bleu (IRE) 10 2 4 21 Aug 24
Knockanard Lady (IRE) 10 1 6 4 Jun 23
Granny Lowrie (IRE) 10 2 4 16 Feb 23
Zekarya (FR)then Denis Gerard Hogan 10 1 6 19 Apr 13
Jenny's Getaway (IRE) 9 0 4 21 Jul 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Christian Williams (3); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
13915101118135103714
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Doyle
28% of all rides
14.8% SR · A/E 1.09
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Doyle 115 17 14.8% −9.34
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
66
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.05m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Flame Bearer (IRE) — Tom Quinlan Electrical Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) Fairyhouse · Apr 2022 · Grade 2
£23,600
Kaiser Black (IRE) — McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase Ballinrobe · May 2018
£23,600
Flame Bearer (IRE) — BetVictor Novice Hurdle (Grade 2) Naas · Feb 2022 · Grade 2
£21,535
Notable horses
Annie Other (IRE) Flame Bearer (IRE) Corrieann (IRE) Kaiser Black (IRE) Brave Fortune (IRE) Urban Rebel (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 27.3% · 9–33
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Bob Back (USA) 19.4% · 6–31
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Stowaway (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Presenting (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Shantou (USA) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,838 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 621 · newest first

The latest 50 of 621 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 11 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 May 26 Killarney Lifetime Ambition (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Thorn Plant Hire Hunters Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 2/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Lifetime Ambition (IRE)J: Mr J L Scallan Uniquely Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 18/1
20 Apr 26 Tramore Stumblin In (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 14/1
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Hunters Yarn (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Race Displays Joseph O'Reilly Hunters Chase25f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran F 2/1J
29 Mar 26 Downpatrick Magic Sadler (GB)J: Ms E C Costello Boardsmill Sires Maiden Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran UR 85/40
22 Mar 26 Limerick Theran (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 150/1
07 Mar 26 Gowran Park Hunters Yarn (IRE)J: Mr A P Ryan INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Tetratema Cup Hunters Chase25f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd EvensF
07 Mar 26 Gowran Park Theran (FR)J: Philip Donovan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 12th 33/1
07 Feb 26 Naas Hunters Yarn (IRE)J: Mr A P Ryan QuinnBet Hunters Chase24f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 15/8F
29 Jan 26 Thurles Magic Sadler (GB)J: Ms E C Costello Racing Again February 5th Maiden Hunters Chase25f · Heavy · 9 ran UR 1/2F
18 Jan 26 Thurles Lifetime Ambition (IRE)J: Ms E C Costello SIS Supporting Irish Racing Hunters Chase25f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 3/1
08 Jan 26 Clonmel Magic Sadler (GB)J: Ms E C Costello Rathronan Maiden Hunters Chase20.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 15/8
20 Dec 25 Thurles Its Time For A Run (IRE)J: Philip Donovan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 25/1
27 Nov 25 Thurles Its Time For A Run (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Book Your Christmas Party Here On December 20th Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 150/1
18 Nov 25 Limerick Mossy Way (IRE)J: Ms E C Costello Limerick (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/4
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Cockney Cleopatra (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 50/1
02 Nov 25 Cork Uncle Mike (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 18/1
19 Oct 25 Limerick Cockney Cleopatra (IRE)J: Philip Donovan PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 5th 20/1
06 Oct 25 Tipperary Theran (FR)J: Mr D Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 4th 5/1
06 Oct 25 Tipperary Cockney Cleopatra (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran F 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P M J Doyle's strike rate?
P M J Doyle has won 44 of 412 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P M J Doyle do best at?
Kilbeggan by strike rate: 7 wins from 38 runners (18.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P M J Doyle?
Jack Doyle, with 115 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (14.8%).
What is P M J Doyle's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 410 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).