What is Scott Dixon's strike rate?

Scott Dixon has won 389 of 5,421 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Scott Dixon do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 8 wins from 72 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Scott Dixon?

Kieran O'Neill, with 974 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 91 (9.3%).

Is Scott Dixon in form?

In the last 14 days: 28 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 3.6%. That is below the baseline of 7.2% since 2008.

What is Scott Dixon's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 5,389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Scott Dixon

5,421 runners in the lifetime window · 280 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.3% of 526 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.

Runners today 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

389–5,421

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=5,421

1,271 (23%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=5,389 · 0.80 incl. margin

−1,340.14

£1 level stake

n=5,421 at SP · −24.7%

£3.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 290 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 5,421 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 19.7% when favourite Kieran O'Neill: 9.3% from 974 New recruits: 7.6% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Epsom Downs (15.8%, n=38), clear of the yard's 7.2% baseline. It is weakest at Goodwood (0% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.9% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.41). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 7.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.32 and +10.25 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 28 runners in the last 14 days (3.6%, 3.6pts below the 7.2% baseline). Kieran O'Neill rides 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.3% vs 7.2%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 153 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap at Wolverhampton (AW) (Feb 2014, £28,355). The stable star of the record: Crosse Fire (GB) — 16 wins from 126 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5%−2.2

n=622 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −82.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.6%+0.4

n=157 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +10.25

Debutants · first career start

4.1%−3.1

n=123 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −59.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.7%−2.5

n=127 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −79.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%+1.1

n=169 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −12.92

When favourite

19.7%

n=234 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −90.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%−0.4

n=1,876 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −553.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.9%−5.3

n=53 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −43.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Matthew Hopkins 14% vs 7.2% · n=121

At Epsom Downs 15.8% vs 7.2% · n=38

At Goodwood 0% vs 7.2% · n=54

At Ayr 0% vs 7.2% · n=37

With Frederik Tylicki 13.1% vs 7.2% · n=61

Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 7.2% · n=153

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,415 389 7.2% −1,334.14

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,434 237 6.9% −908.53

Good 642 43 6.7% −159.72

Good to Firm 632 54 8.5% −75.50

Soft 333 29 8.7% −38.55

Good to Soft 307 21 6.8% −113.75

Heavy 51 3 5.9% −35.09

Firm 22 2 9.1% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 1,687 126 7.5% −416.43

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,121 74 6.6% −271.20

Doncaster 292 24 8.2% +30.25

Newcastle (AW) 228 12 5.3% −75.00

Lingfield (AW) 224 18 8% −55.40

Catterick 199 20 10.1% −40.34

Nottingham 137 13 9.5% +11.70

Beverley 123 8 6.5% −28.50

Brighton 116 10 8.6% −45.88

Thirsk 113 10 8.8% +5.75

Chelmsford (AW) 107 3 2.8% −51.00

York 104 3 2.9% −84.00

Yarmouth 84 7 8.3% −23.12

Ripon 79 7 8.9% −25.38

Pontefract 72 8 11.1% +35.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 2,332 174 7.5% −476.73

Class 5 1,586 116 7.3% −390.76

Class 4 891 62 7% −242.25

Class 3 317 20 6.3% −115.40

Class 2 227 15 6.6% −62.00

Class 1 53 1 1.9% −43.50

Class 7 10 1 10% −4.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 292 56 19.2% 0.75 −99.89

2nd–3rd fav 808 115 14.2% 0.93 −169.25

4th–6th fav 1,722 132 7.7% 0.99 −383.00

7th+ in betting 2,599 86 3.3% 0.98 −688.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,520 174 6.9% −768.80

Under 6f 1,428 134 9.4% −85.13

1m – 1m1f 998 57 5.7% −319.96

1m2f – 1m4f 339 19 5.6% −78.75

1m5f – 2m 130 5 3.8% −81.50

2m1f – 2m4f 5 0 0% −5.00

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 6 2 33.3% +19.00

2012 301 22 7.3% −90.17

2013 317 23 7.3% −131.95

2014 326 35 10.7% +48.50

2015 355 29 8.2% −79.42

2016 356 18 5.1% −142.64

2017 391 31 7.9% +3.70

2018 329 24 7.3% −107.59

2019 237 15 6.3% −98.52

2020 171 10 5.8% −14.40

2021 287 23 8% −65.80

2022 501 39 7.8% −64.25

2023 427 23 5.4% −179.88

2024 549 37 6.7% −47.63

2025 424 31 7.3% −152.46

2026 444 27 6.1% −236.63

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,684 349 7.5% −939.36

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,096 151 7.2% −586.64

11-13 runners 1,788 113 6.3% −294.50

5-7 runners 769 80 10.4% −253.60

14-16 runners 500 29 5.8% −72.75

17+ runners 205 6 2.9% −115.00

2-4 runners 63 10 15.9% −17.65

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Crosse Fire (GB) 126 16 44 11 Dec 20

Pearl Noir (GB) 119 11 39 13 Jan 20

Sir Geoffrey (IRE)from David Nicholls 113 14 30 13 Feb 19

Harbour Vision (GB)from David Brown 107 11 36 28 Sep 26

Visibility (IRE)from Martyn Meade 103 13 28 12 Jun 25

Coast (GB)from Martyn Meade 90 6 20 26 Oct 26

Dark Shot (GB)from Andrew Balding 89 6 26 2 Feb 23

Coiste Bodhar (IRE)from Joseph Tuite 82 9 19 8 May 19

Pop Favorite (GB)from David Brown 77 6 15 13 Jun 26

Dr Red Eye (GB)from David Nicholls 77 7 16 3 May 17

Cadeaux Pearl (GB)from David Nicholls 75 7 18 22 Apr 17

Kitten's Dream (GB)from Richard Fahey 71 3 13 2 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 280 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 31 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Nicholls (12) and Martyn Meade (6); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 28 3.6% · −3.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days3.6%

Lifetime base7.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8885107875757

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKieran O'Neill

18% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.18

RiderRWSR£1

Kieran O'Neill 974 91 9.3% −13.39

Luke Morris 361 31 8.6% −106.55

Dale Swift 360 27 7.5% −58.43

Jonathan Fisher 360 24 6.7% −49.40

Elisha Whittington 232 13 5.6% −72.00

Joey Haynes 193 12 6.2% +12.33

Theodore Ladd 155 10 6.5% −83.00

Mikkel Mortensen 152 9 5.9% −73.00

Ben Curtis 128 6 4.7% −75.84

Matthew Hopkins 121 17 14% +31.25

Phil Dennis 116 6 5.2% −63.00

Tom Eaves 95 8 8.4% −37.49

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

389

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.64m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 39 wins

Even Stevens (GB) — Compare Bookmakers At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2014 · Class 2

£28,355

One Night Stand (GB) — Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 2

£26,170

One Night Stand (GB) — Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed) Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2022 · Listed

£24,716

Notable horses

Crosse Fire (GB) Sir Geoffrey (IRE) Visibility (IRE) Pearl Noir (GB) Harbour Vision (GB) Coiste Bodhar (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milk It Mick (GB) 6.7% · 29–436

Progeny have won 5.9% of 726 runs since 2011 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 9.2% from 152.

Aclaim (IRE) 6.2% · 13–209

Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,550 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.

Acclamation (GB) 7.1% · 14–198

Progeny have won 10% of 19,707 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Camacho (GB) 8% · 13–162

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 8.3% · 13–156

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2014 (324 horses).

Swiss Spirit (GB) 7.8% · 12–153

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,647 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,421 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,421 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 December 2011 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mister Moet (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 20/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Beach Partee (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 6/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Create (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Megaphone (GB)J: Jack Dace Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Enpassant (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Candy Warhol (USA)J: Tyler Heard ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 66/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Shaw Park (IRE)J: Christian Howarth ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 8/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Bella Bisbee (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Cosmocrat (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) The Fixer (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 7/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lochaber (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 150/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) On Key (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Saisons D'Or 100th Race Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 9/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cosmic Clarets (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 25/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Great Success (GB)J: Mikkel Mortensen All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 10/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Anglesey Lad (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 10/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Coast (GB)J: Laura Coughlan All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beach Partee (GB)J: Christian Howarth All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 4/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beautiful Rumour (GB)J: Christian Howarth All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lil Wade (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mister Moet (IRE)J: Mikkel Mortensen All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0, 2 did not run) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Scott Dixon's strike rate?: Scott Dixon has won 389 of 5,421 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Scott Dixon do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 8 wins from 72 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Scott Dixon?: Kieran O'Neill, with 974 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 91 (9.3%).
Is Scott Dixon in form?: In the last 14 days: 28 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 3.6%. That is below the baseline of 7.2% since 2008.
What is Scott Dixon's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 5,389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.