What is Seamus Durack's strike rate?

Seamus Durack has won 103 of 1,166 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Seamus Durack do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 13 wins from 119 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Seamus Durack?

Conor O'Farrell, with 126 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (16.7%).

What is Seamus Durack's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 1,163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Seamus Durack

1,166 runners in the lifetime window · 148 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

103–1,166

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=1,166

315 (27%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=1,163 · 0.76 incl. margin

−473.44

£1 level stake

n=1,166 at SP · −40.6%

£981k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,166 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 8.9% 34.3% when favourite Conor O'Farrell: 16.7% from 126 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 47 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.5% (n=73, Fair A/E 0.76). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −82.67 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Conor O'Farrell rides 11% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.7% vs 8.8%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (17.9%, n=56). The stable star of the record: Alfredo (IRE) — 6 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.9%+0.1

n=235 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −44.64

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.8%−1.0

n=77 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −32.62

Debutants · first career start

5.5%−3.3

n=73 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −49.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%+0.5

n=75 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −27.40

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%+0.3

n=33 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

34.3%

n=99 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −0.26

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−1.7

n=126 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −82.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.8

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 8.8% · n=106

With Conor O'Farrell 16.7% vs 8.8% · n=126

In NH Flat races 17.9% vs 8.8% · n=56

With George Baker 16.2% vs 8.8% · n=99

At Newbury 0% vs 8.8% · n=47

With C&D winners 16.1% vs 8.8% · n=87

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 71.3% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 905 73 8.1% −377.62

Hurdle 180 16 8.9% −85.90

NH Flat 56 10 17.9% −0.29

Chase 25 4 16% −9.63

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 477 41 8.6% −178.65

Good 275 31 11.3% −78.90

Good to Firm 157 15 9.6% −50.76

Good to Soft 105 7 6.7% −62.00

Soft 96 6 6.3% −55.50

Heavy 34 0 0% −34.00

Firm 22 3 13.6% −13.63

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 183 14 7.7% −41.50

Lingfield 119 13 10.9% −52.58

Wolverhampton (AW) 110 9 8.2% −42.37

Newbury 47 0 0% −47.00

Windsor 46 4 8.7% −21.00

Bath 41 4 9.8% −23.38

Chepstow 37 4 10.8% +2.75

Chelmsford (AW) 34 1 2.9% −23.00

Sandown 33 2 6.1% −1.50

Southwell (AW) 26 3 11.5% −16.30

Newmarket 25 1 4% −18.00

Ascot 25 1 4% −17.00

Doncaster 25 3 12% −13.00

Uttoxeter 25 1 4% −17.50

Fontwell 22 3 13.6% −1.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 396 27 6.8% −229.85

Class 4 305 30 9.8% −119.45

Class 6 269 31 11.5% −68.51

Class 3 111 7 6.3% −66.88

Class 2 63 8 12.7% +33.25

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 7 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 125 38 30.4% 1.11 −10.76

2nd–3rd fav 234 32 13.7% 0.81 −74.68

4th–6th fav 355 26 7.3% 0.95 −93.00

7th+ in betting 452 7 1.5% 0.46 −295.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 295 36 12.2% −35.95

1m2f – 1m4f 261 24 9.2% −96.41

6f – 7f 257 12 4.7% −173.37

1m – 1m1f 209 17 8.1% −94.20

2m1f – 2m4f 76 10 13.2% −35.51

2m5f – 3m 31 3 9.7% −4.50

Under 6f 28 1 3.6% −24.50

Over 3m 9 0 0% −9.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2010 1 0 0% −1.00

2011 54 1 1.9% −28.00

2012 109 12 11% −19.25

2013 139 13 9.4% −50.84

2014 100 15 15% −13.50

2015 109 15 13.8% −31.69

2016 126 14 11.1% −45.66

2017 141 15 10.6% −64.67

2018 120 6 5% −35.28

2019 83 5 6% −45.25

2020 28 1 3.6% −18.00

2021 44 3 6.8% −26.25

2022 53 3 5.7% −35.05

2023 55 0 0% −55.00

2024 4 0 0% −4.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 812 74 9.1% −270.25

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 424 38 9% −187.35

11-13 runners 368 22 6% −166.50

5-7 runners 183 31 16.9% −43.46

14-16 runners 142 11 7.7% −29.75

17+ runners 31 0 0% −31.00

2-4 runners 18 1 5.6% −15.38

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Linguine (FR)from Charles Hills · then Dai Williams 36 2 8 5 Dec 17

Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)then Seamus Mullins 30 3 13 24 Jan 24

Alfredo (IRE) 30 6 10 29 Apr 21

Kelpie Blitz (IRE)then Paul Morgan 29 2 8 19 Feb 14

All Talk N No Do (IRE)then T Potters 25 5 9 24 Sep 16

The Rectifier (USA)from Jim Boyle 24 4 8 9 Jul 16

Derfenna Art (IRE) 24 1 8 4 Feb 14

Cayirli (FR)from J-C Rouget 23 2 6 8 Feb 22

Lakota Ghost (USA) 21 1 5 9 May 13

Wadi Bani (GB) 20 0 4 18 Nov 23

Eightfold (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 20 1 6 23 Nov 13

High Wells (GB)then Graeme McPherson 19 2 7 4 Oct 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 148 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Fabre (4) and Alastair Lidderdale (3); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Brennan (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

711121341461655613

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderConor O'Farrell

11% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Conor O'Farrell 126 21 16.7% −3.72

Tom Queally 101 2 2% −74.00

George Baker 99 16 16.2% +8.79

Shane Kelly 57 6 10.5% +12.70

Martin Harley 39 1 2.6% −36.12

Timmy Murphy 39 3 7.7% −15.00

Fergus Sweeney 36 3 8.3% −14.00

Micky Fenton 34 5 14.7% +10.25

Oisin Murphy 33 4 12.1% +6.50

Adam Kirby 30 4 13.3% −6.75

Dane O'Neill 30 3 10% −14.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

103

Archived wins

£981k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 15 wins

Litigant (GB) — 32Red Casino All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2014 · Class 2

£93,375

Pipes Of Peace (IRE) — 32red London Middle Distance Series Final Handicap Kempton (AW) · Nov 2018 · Class 2

£46,688

Litigant (GB) — 32Red Conditions Stakes (Fast Track Qualifier) Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2014 · Class 2

£16,173

Notable horses

Alfredo (IRE) All Talk N No Do (IRE) The Rectifier (USA) Shaolin (IRE) Bohemian Rhapsody (IRE) Synodic (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oasis Dream (GB) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Medicean (GB) 4% · 2–50

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 18.6% · 8–43

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Galileo (IRE) 15.8% · 6–38

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Linngari (IRE) 5.6% · 2–36

Progeny have won 9.2% of 822 runs since 2012 (94 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 100. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.7% from 295. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 223.

Arcano (IRE) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,166 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,166 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 December 2010 to 27 January 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Canimar (GB)J: Tom Queally Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 50/1

24 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: Tom Queally Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 25/1

11 Jan 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Lumberjack (GB)J: Tom Queally Ministry Of Sound Concert 31st August HandicapClass 6 · 13.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1

10 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Canimar (GB)J: Tom Queally Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9th 66/1

26 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Canimar (GB)J: Finley Marsh Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 80/1

14 Dec 23 Taunton Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: James Bowen Blackdown Motor Company Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

29 Nov 23 Hereford Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: James Bowen Blackmores Building Contractors Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 6/1

18 Nov 23 Lingfield (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Queally BetUK Take Time Out During SGWeek23! HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 12/1

09 Nov 23 Ludlow Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: James Bowen Nfu Mutual Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

08 Nov 23 Kempton (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Queally Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 12/1

04 Nov 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Queally Betsi HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/1

26 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 18/1

23 Oct 23 Windsor House Of Dragons (GB)J: Tom Queally Sri Lanka Paradise Island HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 66/1

04 Oct 23 Kempton (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 7th 11/1

06 Sep 23 Southwell (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Eaves Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1

06 Sep 23 Lingfield (AW) Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: David Probert Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 66/1

02 Sep 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Tomorrow Day (GB)J: Owen Lewis Alfred Burns Memorial NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 22/1

01 Sep 23 Ffos Las Willingly (GB)J: Owen Lewis Prostate Cymru J&D Water Consultants Ltd HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 17/2

26 Aug 23 Windsor Tomorrow Day (GB)J: Joe Leavy At The Races App Market Movers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 250/1

24 Aug 23 Fontwell Ocean Ridge (GB)J: Brendan Powell V2 Rodeo Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Durack's strike rate?: Seamus Durack has won 103 of 1,166 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Seamus Durack do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 13 wins from 119 runners (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Seamus Durack?: Conor O'Farrell, with 126 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (16.7%).
What is Seamus Durack's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 1,163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.