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Trainer profile

Shane Crawley

527 runners in the lifetime window · 78 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
46–527
Wins / Runs
8.7%
Strike rate
n=527
126 (24%)
Placed
1.20
Fair A/E
n=527 · 0.95 incl. margin
−150.55
£1 level stake
n=527 at SP · −28.6%
£565k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (173 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 527 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Fresh horses: 10.2% 31.8% when favourite Seamie Heffernan: 11.9% from 59 Claiming riders: 11.6% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (16.7%, n=78), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (1.7% over 58 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00). Seamie Heffernan rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.9% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (16%, n=81). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown (Feb 2019, £51,625). Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.2%+1.5
n=137 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −29.59
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.7%+0.0
n=23 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.7
n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.4%+2.7
n=35 · A/E 2.04 · £1 +15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.3%−2.4
n=16 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −10.50
When favourite
31.8%
n=44 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +3.45
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.6%+2.9
n=173 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −12.42
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.3%−4.4
n=23 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −18.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 18.6% vs 8.7% · n=43
With debutants 0% vs 8.7% · n=55
At Dundalk (AW) 16.7% vs 8.7% · n=78
On Standard (AW) going 16% vs 8.7% · n=81
At Fairyhouse 1.7% vs 8.7% · n=58
On last-time-out winners 14.6% vs 8.7% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 289 25 8.7% −72.55
Flat 191 19 9.9% −50.00
Chase 30 2 6.7% −11.00
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 168 11 6.5% −79.00
Good 127 12 9.4% −12.43
Heavy 95 7 7.4% −47.37
Standard (AW) 81 13 16% +15.25
Good to Soft 50 3 6% −21.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 78 13 16.7% +18.25
Fairyhouse 58 1 1.7% −55.12
Navan 47 4 8.5% −5.00
Punchestown 33 3 9.1% +9.00
Gowran Park 32 2 6.3% −14.50
Leopardstown 29 1 3.4% −24.67
Naas 24 3 12.5% +5.50
Down Royal 23 0 0% −23.00
Thurles 20 0 0% −20.00
Limerick 19 1 5.3% −14.00
Curragh 18 0 0% −18.00
Clonmel 16 2 12.5% −7.75
Kilbeggan 15 1 6.7% −10.50
Tramore 15 2 13.3% +4.00
Cork 15 3 20% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 23 1 4.3% −18.67
Class 4 4 1 25% +1.50
Class 5 1 1 100% +0.33
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 52 15 28.8% 1.30 −1.55
2nd–3rd fav 90 11 12.2% 0.93 −21.50
4th–6th fav 120 13 10.8% 1.48 +28.50
7th+ in betting 265 7 2.6% 1.15 −156.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Trishuli River (IRE) 34 4 11 16 Oct 26
Reine Fee (IRE)then Henry Oliver 29 1 14 21 Nov 21
Karlsberg (IRE) 23 3 6 14 Oct 24
Royal Time (IRE)then Christian Williams 18 1 3 21 May 26
Nodoubtaboutthat (IRE) 18 2 6 9 Jul 23
Tartlette (GB)from Hughie Morrison 17 4 6 1 Dec 21
The Big Cloud (IRE) 15 2 6 4 Mar 26
Kalmira (IRE) 15 1 4 11 Jul 23
Court Challenge (IRE) 14 1 8 25 Feb 17
Sassy Diva (IRE) 13 3 10 21 Apr 19
Lily Yeats (IRE)from Noel Meade 13 3 5 2 Dec 17
Cotteemcavennigoal (IRE)from Kim Bailey 12 1 3 11 May 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John C McConnell (2) and Luke Comer (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Lucinda Russell (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1016910699735128
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSeamie Heffernan
11% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.35
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 59 7 11.9% −15.87
Sean O'Keeffe 54 5 9.3% −7.67
Donagh Meyler 53 6 11.3% −9.59
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
46
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£565k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 8 wins
Sassy Diva (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Leopardstown · Feb 2019 · Grade B
£51,625
Nodoubtaboutthat (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Handicap Hurdle Galway · Jul 2021
£17,700
Thereisnodoubt (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Navan · Mar 2020
£11,800
Notable horses
Trishuli River (IRE) Tartlette (GB) Karlsberg (IRE) Lily Yeats (IRE) Sassy Diva (IRE) Thereisnodoubt (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kalanisi (IRE) 6.5% · 7–107
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,748 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Court Cave (IRE) 8% · 4–50
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,946 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Poet's Word (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 9.9% of 725 runs since 2008 (138 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14% from 107.
Yeats (IRE) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,832 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
Coulsty (IRE) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,543 runs since 2008 (167 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,526 runs since 2008 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 325.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 527 · newest first

The latest 50 of 527 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2014 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rightly Snookered (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 12th 125/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: James Smith Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 16/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Trishuli River (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 9/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Trishuli River (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 11/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: James Smith SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 7/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Trishuli River (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 22/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Trishuli River (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div II)10f · Good · 21 ran 11th 12/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 5th 20/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Glenriver (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 13/2
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 9/2
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Glenriver (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien SIS Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 16 ran 5th 33/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Park Run At Wexford Saturday Mornings Handicap Hurdle (Div II)16.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 100/30F
20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Trishuli River (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Racing, Sports & Games At Tote.ie Apprentice Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 14/1
14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Glenriver (IRE)J: Shane Fitzsimons Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran 11th 33/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Sheehy Meares/Team Earley Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good · 16 ran 1st 18/1
03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Trishuli River (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Dore & Co. Solicitors Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 16 ran 14th 10/1
27 May 26 Wexford Del Boys Diva (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 40/1
21 May 26 Limerick Royal Time (IRE)J: James Smith Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (0-100) (Div 1)22.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 12/1
15 May 26 Leopardstown Trishuli River (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap (0-60)13f · Good · 19 ran 10th 13/2
12 Apr 26 Down Royal Royal Time (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Fibrus Total Home Wi-Fi Handicap Chase (0-100)26f · Good · 15 ran UR 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Crawley's strike rate?
Shane Crawley has won 46 of 527 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Crawley do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 78 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Shane Crawley?
Seamie Heffernan, with 59 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.9%).
Is Shane Crawley in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane Crawley's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 527 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).