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Trainer profile

Tim Reed

233 runners in the lifetime window · 46 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 14 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–233
Wins / Runs
8.6%
Strike rate
n=233
50 (22%)
Placed
1.19
Fair A/E
n=233 · 1.04 incl. margin
+115.91
£1 level stake
n=233 at SP · +49.7%
£245k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
20%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (67 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 233 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.4% Harry Reed: 8.4% from 166 Claiming riders: 9.9%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.39 and +104.91 to a £1 stake over 131 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Harry Reed rides 71% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.4%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 3 (22.6%, n=31) and off a break of 180+ days (12.8%, n=47). The market has also underrated the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 1.24 across 131 runners (11.5% strike, +116.91 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 3.1% over 65 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Indian Temple (IRE) — 6 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.4%+1.8
n=67 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +81.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
13.8%+5.2
n=29 · A/E 2.79 · £1 +94.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.6
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
22.2%+13.6
n=9 · A/E 4.65 · £1 +121.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%−0.9
n=13 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −8.50
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.9%+1.3
n=131 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +104.91
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 3 22.6% vs 8.6% · n=31
On Soft going 3.1% vs 8.6% · n=65
Off a break of 180+ days 12.8% vs 8.6% · n=47
With a new jockey booking 5.1% vs 8.6% · n=79
In Hurdle races 5.2% vs 8.6% · n=77
In Chase races 11.5% vs 8.6% · n=131
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 131 15 11.5% +116.91
Hurdle 77 4 5.2% −10.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
Flat 10 1 10% +24.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 81 9 11.1% −14.84
Soft 65 2 3.1% −7.00
Good to Soft 55 6 10.9% +127.50
Heavy 22 1 4.5% −18.25
Good to Firm 6 2 33.3% +32.50
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ayr 31 3 9.7% +59.00
Hexham 25 0 0% −25.00
Carlisle 25 4 16% +118.33
Perth 23 4 17.4% +0.50
Newcastle 23 0 0% −23.00
Wetherby 20 1 5% −16.25
Musselburgh 18 2 11.1% −1.50
Kelso 17 0 0% −17.00
Aintree 7 0 0% −7.00
Worcester 5 1 20% +12.00
Cartmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Newcastle (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Hereford 4 1 25% +0.50
Bangor-on-Dee 3 2 66.7% +9.00
Market Rasen 3 1 33.3% +1.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 104 6 5.8% +27.25
Class 5 58 3 5.2% −12.00
Class 3 31 7 22.6% +18.33
Class 6 25 3 12% +89.33
Class 2 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.54 −1.50
2nd–3rd fav 38 7 18.4% 1.07 −5.09
4th–6th fav 85 8 9.4% 1.34 +49.50
7th+ in betting 104 4 3.8% 1.61 +73.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.9% completed · 208 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 131 76.3% 9 4 18 0 0
Hurdle 77 80.5% 0 0 14 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Indian Temple (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 28 6 12 1 Jan 20
Leverock Lass (IRE) 19 2 7 8 Mar 22
Viking Rebel (IRE)from Nicky Henderson 18 1 4 4 May 16
She Won't Mind (GB) 11 0 0 13 Jun 26
Big Difference (IRE)from Ben Pauling · then L J Morgan 11 2 3 11 Jun 23
Work Du Breteau (FR)from Thomas Mullins · then Dan Skelton 11 2 4 18 Dec 17
Simply Lucky (IRE)from Sheena Walton · then Dan Skelton 9 0 0 26 Mar 16
Silent Snow (IRE)from Malcolm Jefferson 9 0 0 13 Jun 15
Carlingford Prince (IRE)from F Flood 8 0 0 2 Mar 20
Scottish Dancer (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 7 2 6 14 Oct 26
Choctaw Brave (IRE) 7 0 0 17 Mar 22
Bay Watch (IRE)from Andrew Balding · then Tracey Barfoot-Saunt 6 0 0 3 Nov 18
All 46 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 46 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eoin Doyle (2) and Nicky Henderson (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Skelton (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
94713618180171444
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Reed
71% of all rides
8.4% SR · A/E 1.12
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Reed 166 14 8.4% +75.58
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
25
Archived wins
£283k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Indian Temple (IRE) — Sam Morshead Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase Perth · Jun 2019 · Class 2
£25,024
Indian Temple (IRE) — totequadpot Scottish Premier Chase (Handicap) Musselburgh · Jan 2016 · Class 3
£19,494
Indian Temple (IRE) — Mackie's Celebrate The Summer Handicap Chase Perth · Jun 2018 · Class 3
£11,826
Notable horses
Indian Temple (IRE) Barracat (IRE) Leverock Lass (IRE) Big Difference (IRE) Work Du Breteau (FR) Scottish Dancer (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Indian River (FR) 21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,381 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8% from 224.
Olden Times (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.2% of 736 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.6% from 108. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.7% from 117.
Taipan (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,212 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 159. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 6% from 133.
Flemensfirth (USA) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,281 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,266 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Network (GER) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,767 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 274.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 322 · newest first

The latest 50 of 322 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 26 Wetherby Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Harry Reed Ginetta Clothing British Menswear Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 5/2
02 Oct 26 Hexham Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Harry Reed Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 100/30
08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Harry Reed Bangor-on-dee Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 1st 6/1
17 Jun 26 Ripon Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Lloyd Land Rover Ripon Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 5th 9/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham She Won't Mind (GB)J: David Noonan Stan Hayhurst Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 5th 28/1
28 May 26 Worcester Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Harry Reed CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 4/1
25 May 26 Huntingdon She Won't Mind (GB)J: Harry Reed Download The Oddschecker App Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 5/1
17 May 26 Ripon Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Anglo Stainless Supporting Yorkshire Wooden Spoon Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 3/1
06 May 26 Kelso She Won't Mind (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton 2000 Sacks Of Carrots Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 7th 14/1
02 May 26 Thirsk Scottish Dancer (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Sky Bet Sunday At Thirsk 31st May Book Now HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 33/1
20 May 25 Hexham She Won't Mind (GB)J: Harry Reed Port Of Blyth Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran UR 17/2
10 May 25 Hexham Cloghan Castle (IRE)J: Harry Reed Harrison Family Remembering Loved Ones Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 6/1
09 May 25 Hereford Lieutenant Command (FR)J: Harry Reed DragonBet The Independent Bookmaker Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 18/1
03 May 25 Hexham She Won't Mind (GB)J: Harry Reed Bobby Roberts Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 25/1
22 Apr 25 Kelso She Won't Mind (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Visit racingtv.com Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 14 ran 9th 18/1
01 Feb 25 Musselburgh Lieutenant Command (FR)J: Harry Reed bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 50/1
22 Dec 24 Fakenham She Won't Mind (GB)J: Harry Reed Sky Bet Acca Freeze Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 4/1
15 Dec 24 Carlisle Lieutenant Command (FR)J: Harry Reed Watch Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 125/1
23 Nov 24 Haydock Lieutenant Command (FR)J: Harry Reed Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21.5f · Soft · 6 ran PU 150/1
14 Nov 24 Market Rasen Ironhill (IRE)J: Harry Reed Lucas Machinery Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Reed's strike rate?
Tim Reed has won 20 of 233 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Reed do best at?
Ayr by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Reed?
Harry Reed, with 166 runners since 2008 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (8.4%).
What is Tim Reed's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 233 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).