What is Alastair Ralph's strike rate?

Alastair Ralph has won 183 of 1,645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alastair Ralph do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 11 wins from 73 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alastair Ralph?

Jonathan Burke, with 226 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.8%).

Is Alastair Ralph in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alastair Ralph's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,643 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alastair Ralph

1,645 runners in the lifetime window · 211 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 12.6% of 223 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 11 Nov 2026.

Last runner 4 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

183–1,645

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=1,645

492 (30%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,643 · 0.87 incl. margin

−241.48

£1 level stake

n=1,645 at SP · −14.7%

£1.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,645 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 30.6% when favourite Jonathan Burke: 12.8% from 226 Claiming riders: 11.5% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 6.3% (n=127, Fair A/E 0.64). Jonathan Burke rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.8%, A/E 0.88). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 32 runners, 11.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.24 across 53 runners (1.9% strike, −45.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Butler's Brief (IRE) — 8 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.9%−1.2

n=415 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −85.43

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−4.8

n=127 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −51.92

Debutants · first career start

8%−3.1

n=88 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +41.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.2%−1.9

n=65 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +0.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.2%−2.9

n=61 · A/E 0.92 · £1 +4.00

When favourite

30.6%

n=160 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −26.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.5%+0.4

n=459 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −20.11

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.1

n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Cheltenham 0% vs 11.1% · n=33

In Class 1 0% vs 11.1% · n=32

With Andrew Tinkler 21.9% vs 11.1% · n=32

On Standard (AW) going 1.9% vs 11.1% · n=53

In Flat races 2.7% vs 11.1% · n=75

At Wolverhampton (AW) 2.1% vs 11.1% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,103 126 11.4% −209.17

Chase 346 43 12.4% −8.49

NH Flat 121 12 9.9% +35.18

Flat 75 2 2.7% −59.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 747 88 11.8% −102.20

Good to Soft 405 45 11.1% −3.90

Soft 307 30 9.8% −59.56

Heavy 92 14 15.2% −3.67

Standard (AW) 53 1 1.9% −45.50

Good to Firm 41 5 12.2% −26.65

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ludlow 199 29 14.6% +73.21

Worcester 188 19 10.1% −33.71

Uttoxeter 162 20 12.3% −55.73

Hereford 136 16 11.8% −50.08

Bangor-on-Dee 117 17 14.5% +80.24

Stratford 98 10 10.2% −36.26

Warwick 85 8 9.4% −24.67

Chepstow 73 11 15.1% +24.27

Doncaster 48 3 6.3% −30.40

Wolverhampton (AW) 47 1 2.1% −39.50

Southwell 43 4 9.3% −4.02

Huntingdon 42 4 9.5% −14.59

Cheltenham 33 0 0% −33.00

Market Rasen 33 3 9.1% −13.00

Newbury 29 1 3.4% −24.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 790 96 12.2% −42.28

Class 5 495 54 10.9% −47.24

Class 3 183 19 10.4% −87.53

Class 2 80 8 10% +4.00

Class 6 64 6 9.4% −35.43

Class 1 32 0 0% −32.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 187 55 29.4% 0.98 −25.60

2nd–3rd fav 373 62 16.6% 0.97 −65.38

4th–6th fav 575 47 8.2% 1.04 −36.50

7th+ in betting 510 19 3.7% 1.15 −114.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 651 83 12.7% −38.62

2m1f – 2m4f 456 42 9.2% −161.05

2m5f – 3m 399 48 12% +7.86

Over 3m 88 9 10.2% −7.17

1m2f – 1m4f 25 0 0% −25.00

6f – 7f 13 1 7.7% −4.50

1m – 1m1f 12 0 0% −12.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2012 4 1 25% +0.50

2013 4 0 0% −4.00

2014 5 0 0% −5.00

2015 9 2 22.2% −4.18

2016 25 1 4% −21.75

2017 49 12 24.5% +34.24

2018 95 12 12.6% +10.50

2019 172 16 9.3% −46.27

2020 121 10 8.3% −43.40

2021 204 29 14.2% +46.77

2022 185 18 9.7% −44.26

2023 225 25 11.1% −34.46

2024 204 17 8.3% −56.88

2025 194 25 12.9% −53.49

2026 149 15 10.1% −19.80

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,106 125 11.3% −196.50

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 565 66 11.7% −156.78

11-13 runners 406 38 9.4% +42.50

5-7 runners 374 49 13.1% −39.77

14-16 runners 201 12 6% −76.80

2-4 runners 54 17 31.5% +11.37

17+ runners 45 1 2.2% −22.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.9% completed · 1,449 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 346 75.4% 11 14 60 0 0

Hurdle 1,103 89.2% 14 6 98 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mix Of Clover (GB) 48 7 8 15 Sep 26

Butler's Brief (IRE) 41 8 14 6 May 25

Billingsley (IRE) 33 7 12 15 Dec 23

Prince De Juilley (FR) 30 3 11 22 Sep 26

Cut The Corner (IRE)from Dr Richard Newland 27 4 7 29 Sep 20

Kabrit (IRE)from Andrew Balding 26 2 9 20 May 23

Churchman (GB) 25 1 9 29 Oct 26

Scintillante (GB)from Andrew Balding 24 2 9 10 Jul 26

Risk D'argent (FR) 24 1 9 24 Apr 25

Our Rockstar (IRE)from Mark Loughnane 24 4 8 28 Sep 21

Comber Mill (FR)from C A McBratney · then David Thompson 24 4 8 11 Mar 20

Glance From Clover (GB) 23 2 5 14 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 211 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (3) and Dr Richard Newland (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Dr Richard Newland (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9141291191313617911

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJonathan Burke

14% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 0.88

RiderRWSR£1

Jonathan Burke 226 29 12.8% −42.81

Ciaran Gethings 165 16 9.7% −55.94

Lee Edwards 157 14 8.9% −2.55

Alex Edwards 147 17 11.6% +5.29

Jay Tidball 129 17 13.2% −17.15

Nick Scholfield 87 14 16.1% +1.41

Liam Treadwell 57 10 17.5% +30.38

Mr Murray Dodd 50 6 12% +7.12

David Bass 34 1 2.9% −27.50

Richard Johnson 34 6 17.6% −14.64

Andrew Tinkler 32 7 21.9% +25.75

Tom O'Brien 30 3 10% −11.34

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

183

Archived wins

£1.69m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 29 wins

Magna Sam (GB) — bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Feb 2025 · Class 2

£39,246

Magna Sam (GB) — bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Feb 2023 · Class 2

£26,015

Bob Ford (IRE) — Bob Champion Cancer Trust Veterans' Handicap Chase (Qualifier) Chepstow · Oct 2017 · Class 2

£18,768

Notable horses

Butler's Brief (IRE) Mix Of Clover (GB) Billingsley (IRE) Magical Maggie (GB) Welsh Charger (IRE) Damut I'm Out (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 13.3% · 10–75

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Dunaden (FR) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 9.7% of 631 runs since 2018 (69 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.7% from 102.

Yeats (IRE) 13.2% · 9–68

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,855 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Fair Mix (IRE) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 7.3% of 2,578 runs since 2008 (251 horses).

Passing Glance (GB) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,580 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Vinnie Roe (IRE) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2010 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,645 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,645 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 February 2012 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter New Chapter (GB)J: Tom Broughton Matchbook Signup Get 20% Back On Losses Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 150/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tortola (IRE)J: Robert Havlin AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Eskimo Sam (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 14/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Ample Warning (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 22/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Dreamingofsunshine (GB)J: Harry Skelton Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Ithaka (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 13/8F

29 Oct 26 Stratford Churchman (GB)J: Jonathan Burke Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 5/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Final Surprise (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Malinas Glory (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Halo Leisure More Than Just A Gym Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 15/2

26 Oct 26 Hereford Miss Kingston (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st 2/7F

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham In The Air (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Squareintheair.com Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 14/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Magna Victor (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder 50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/2

21 Oct 26 Worcester Following Chapter (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 100/30

17 Oct 26 Stratford Tao Enki (FR)J: Jonathan Burke Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby In The Air (FR)J: Jonathan Burke Mary Lofthouse Supporting Spinal Research Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 15f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 11/4

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Welsh Charger (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 3/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Lady Blackmore (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 16/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Tzarmix (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 1st 22/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Miss Kingston (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 6th 18/1

22 Sep 26 Warwick Prince De Juilley (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 26f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 21 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alastair Ralph's strike rate?: Alastair Ralph has won 183 of 1,645 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alastair Ralph do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 11 wins from 73 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alastair Ralph?: Jonathan Burke, with 226 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (12.8%).
Is Alastair Ralph in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alastair Ralph's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,643 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.