What is Bernard Llewellyn's strike rate?

Bernard Llewellyn has won 257 of 3,201 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Bernard Llewellyn do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 9 wins from 73 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Bernard Llewellyn?

Robert Williams, with 654 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (8.7%).

Is Bernard Llewellyn in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Bernard Llewellyn's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 3,179 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Bernard Llewellyn

3,201 runners in the lifetime window · 236 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

257–3,201

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=3,201

860 (27%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=3,179 · 0.79 incl. margin

−802.29

£1 level stake

n=3,201 at SP · −25.1%

£1.85m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,201 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 28.8% when favourite Robert Williams: 8.7% from 654 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (16.7%, n=48), clear of the yard's 8% baseline. It is weakest at Ludlow (0% over 51 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −142.25 to a £1 stake over 510 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robert Williams rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.95). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 48 runners, 8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Arty Campbell (IRE) — 9 wins from 84 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.9%−4.1

n=510 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −142.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−3.8

n=190 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −75.25

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.0

n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.7%−5.3

n=73 · A/E 0.37 · £1 +9.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.3%−2.7

n=169 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −50.00

When favourite

28.8%

n=139 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −14.11

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.9%−0.1

n=2,027 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −461.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mark Quinlan 16.4% vs 8% · n=73

At Plumpton 16.7% vs 8% · n=48

At Ludlow 0% vs 8% · n=51

In NH Flat races 0% vs 8% · n=48

With debutants 0% vs 8% · n=40

At Lingfield (AW) 1.5% vs 8% · n=67

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,586 133 8.4% −350.19

Hurdle 1,410 113 8% −317.35

Chase 157 11 7% −86.75

NH Flat 48 0 0% −48.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 903 71 7.9% −281.00

Soft 558 41 7.3% −214.71

Good to Soft 552 55 10% −18.16

Good to Firm 425 40 9.4% −135.47

Standard (AW) 363 20 5.5% −128.00

Heavy 345 26 7.5% −6.20

Firm 54 4 7.4% −17.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 566 58 10.2% −45.14

Ffos Las 519 48 9.2% −112.12

Newton Abbot 199 23 11.6% +15.63

Wolverhampton 188 12 6.4% −38.25

Bath 178 11 6.2% −65.75

Taunton 103 4 3.9% −69.75

Uttoxeter 92 8 8.7% −32.00

Chester 90 10 11.1% +28.71

Hereford 76 3 3.9% −60.75

Stratford 73 9 12.3% −6.38

Leicester 70 4 5.7% −49.75

Exeter 68 5 7.4% −6.12

Lingfield (AW) 67 1 1.5% −26.00

Wincanton 62 6 9.7% −12.17

Kempton (AW) 60 4 6.7% −34.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,192 95 8% −274.89

Class 6 855 75 8.8% −121.10

Class 4 789 62 7.9% −252.18

Class 3 276 21 7.6% −117.12

Class 2 64 2 3.1% −36.00

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 7 11 2 18.2% +13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 179 50 27.9% 1.09 −10.73

2nd–3rd fav 632 82 13% 0.81 −177.56

4th–6th fav 1,190 91 7.6% 0.98 −203.00

7th+ in betting 1,200 34 2.8% 0.82 −411.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 1,253 98 7.8% −406.98

1m2f – 1m4f 704 62 8.8% −104.61

2m1f – 2m4f 640 58 9.1% −43.16

1m – 1m1f 270 18 6.7% −99.12

2m5f – 3m 191 12 6.3% −86.17

6f – 7f 99 7 7.1% −32.25

Over 3m 30 2 6.7% −16.00

Under 6f 14 0 0% −14.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 112 7 6.3% −57.37

2009 139 11 7.9% +51.00

2010 143 15 10.5% −29.25

2011 270 28 10.4% −43.50

2012 255 25 9.8% +0.70

2013 238 22 9.2% +10.33

2014 207 16 7.7% −60.37

2015 205 15 7.3% −98.06

2016 200 18 9% −33.89

2017 152 17 11.2% −19.67

2018 171 11 6.4% −73.87

2019 188 12 6.4% −74.50

2020 118 7 5.9% −74.45

2021 139 7 5% −49.38

2022 114 12 10.5% −15.75

2023 105 6 5.7% −57.00

2024 135 6 4.4% −89.39

2025 171 8 4.7% −78.25

2026 139 14 10.1% −9.62

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,573 221 8.6% −537.52

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,220 96 7.9% −335.12

11-13 runners 870 58 6.7% −167.87

5-7 runners 724 79 10.9% −188.08

14-16 runners 263 12 4.6% −110.50

2-4 runners 68 10 14.7% −0.72

17+ runners 56 2 3.6% +0.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Taste The Wine (IRE)from J S Moore 93 8 29 6 Jul 18

Arty Campbell (IRE)from David Simcock 84 9 29 26 Oct 21

Sweet World (GB)from Alan Jarvis 79 7 28 8 Jul 16

James Pollard (IRE)from David Elsworth 76 8 25 5 Apr 14

Edge (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr 63 5 18 23 Oct 19

Nabhan (GB) 60 4 16 18 Oct 21

Triple Nickle (IRE)from J A Stack 59 7 21 9 Jun 25

Petrify (GB)from Luca Cumani 59 5 19 31 Aug 19

Filatore (IRE)from P D Deegan 56 4 19 14 Jan 19

Zambezi Magic (GB)from Clive Cox 53 8 14 8 Oct 26

Captain Sharpe (GB)from Harry Dunlop · then Robert Johnson 49 4 16 11 Aug 14

Cogital (GB)from Amanda Perrett 48 9 19 28 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 236 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 17 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 54 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Cox (3) and Marco Botti (3); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2581081091013855

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Williams

20% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Williams 654 57 8.7% −144.74

Jordan Williams 296 19 6.4% −82.00

David Probert 124 11 8.9% −38.42

Miss Isabel Tompsett 114 11 9.6% +47.50

Martin Lane 103 10 9.7% +8.33

Daniel Muscutt 99 10 10.1% −15.92

Miss Jessica Llewellyn 95 5 5.3% −11.75

Mark Quinlan 73 12 16.4% +57.13

Joshua Bryan 63 4 6.3% −29.88

Charlie Price 59 6 10.2% −28.70

Stevie Donohoe 51 6 11.8% +16.00

Sean Houlihan 51 3 5.9% −29.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

283

Archived wins

£2.01m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 28 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kashgar (GB) — Royal Sussex Regiment Handicap Goodwood · Sep 2014 · Class 2

£12,938

Salontyre (GER) — Exeter Hurdle (Limited Handicap) Exeter · Dec 2010 · Class 2

£12,524

Marengo (GB) — Crabbie's Handicap Chester · Jun 2016 · Class 4

£7,781

Notable horses

Arty Campbell (IRE) Cogital (GB) Taste The Wine (IRE) James Pollard (IRE) Zambezi Magic (GB) King's Masque (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 10.2% · 13–128

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Verglas (IRE) 10.3% · 12–117

Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).

Indian Ridge (IRE) 11.3% · 9–80

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).

Agnes World (USA) 8.9% · 7–79

Progeny have won 10.7% of 336 runs since 2008 (18 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.7% from 126.

Teofilo (IRE) 7.6% · 5–66

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,076 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Acclamation (GB) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 10% of 19,695 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,549 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,549 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Hereford Nuptown Girl (GB)J: Jack Tudor tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran PU 40/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Mick The Hat (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 66/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Estate Planning (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips 'hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle Race(conditional & Amateur Jockeys') (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran PU 11/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Port Louis (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 18/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Pebble Dash (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Bath She's Ideal (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Georg Zhukov (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 9/2

08 Oct 26 Bath Zambezi Magic (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/1

08 Oct 26 Bath She's Ideal (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beaune (IRE)J: Miss Jessica Llewellyn bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 7/2

06 Oct 26 Brighton Scarfo (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 3/1J

06 Oct 26 Brighton King of The Dance (IRE)J: Isobelle Chalmers Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 3/1J

02 Oct 26 Ascot Shipshape (IRE)J: Isobelle Chalmers Melbourne Cup Carnival Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 6/1

02 Oct 26 Ascot Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)J: Mr Louis Burke Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 11th 25/1

28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Cogital (GB)J: Harry Atkins Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 5th 6/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Georg Zhukov (IRE)J: Miss Amy Milburn Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 3/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las King of The Dance (IRE)J: David Probert Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 13/2

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 4/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Scarfo (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Pebble Dash (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bernard Llewellyn's strike rate?: Bernard Llewellyn has won 257 of 3,201 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bernard Llewellyn do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 9 wins from 73 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Bernard Llewellyn?: Robert Williams, with 654 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (8.7%).
Is Bernard Llewellyn in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Bernard Llewellyn's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 3,179 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.