David Peter Dunne
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.43). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (157 runs).
New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.72 and +174.50 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well on Soft going (11.3%, n=97) and over 2m5f – 3m (10.5%, n=57). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 33 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Pretty Little Liar (IRE) — 6 wins from 53 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 373 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 373 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 June 2016 to 15 January 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is David Peter Dunne's strike rate?
- David Peter Dunne has won 24 of 373 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David Peter Dunne do best at?
- Bellewstown by strike rate: 3 wins from 41 runners (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is David Peter Dunne's Fair A/E?
- 1.43, from 373 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.