What is Howard Johnson's strike rate?

Howard Johnson has won 294 of 2,015 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Howard Johnson do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 29 wins from 116 runners (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Howard Johnson?

Denis O'Regan, with 703 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 128 (18.2%).

What is Howard Johnson's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,006 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Howard Johnson

2,015 runners in the lifetime window · 318 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Aug 2011

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

294–2,015

Wins / Runs

14.6%

Strike rate

n=2,015

686 (34%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,006 · 0.88 incl. margin

−424.59

£1 level stake

n=2,014 at SP · −21.1%

£2.92m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 500 runners a season, winning with 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 32% first time out (44 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,015 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Jan Fresh horses: 15.8% 37.8% when favourite Denis O'Regan: 18.2% from 703 New recruits: 31.8% Sent off the favourite in 16% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hexham (25%, n=116) and Musselburgh (23.4%, n=167) — all clear of the yard's 14.6% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 31.8% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.50), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.6% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.68). Denis O'Regan rode 35% of the entries and edges the yard's average (18.2% vs 14.6%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in Class 1 — 5.4% over 203 runners, 9.2pts below the baseline. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbroke World Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2007, £149,027). The stable star of the record was Tidal Bay (IRE) — 11 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Oct–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.8%+1.2

n=665 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −47.82

New recruits · first run for the yard

31.8%+17.2

n=44 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +14.90

Debutants · first career start

10.1%−4.5

n=159 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −38.37

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%−3.5

n=45 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +3.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−6.3

n=24 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −6.00

When favourite

37.8%

n=315 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −39.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.8%−0.8

n=405 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −58.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−9.0

n=71 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −40.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With new recruits 31.8% vs 14.6% · n=44

With Paul Gallagher 28.1% vs 14.6% · n=64

With C&D winners 25.9% vs 14.6% · n=143

At Hexham 25% vs 14.6% · n=116

In Class 1 5.4% vs 14.6% · n=203

At Musselburgh 23.4% vs 14.6% · n=167

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 854 126 14.8% −203.06

Chase 570 103 18.1% −67.11

Flat 461 50 10.8% −144.14

NH Flat 130 15 11.5% −10.28

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 636 84 13.2% −182.70

Good to Soft 451 47 10.4% −148.81

Soft 385 64 16.6% −60.98

Good to Firm 329 58 17.6% −56.37

Heavy 187 36 19.3% +9.77

Firm 22 5 22.7% +19.50

Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wetherby 168 33 19.6% +40.19

Musselburgh 167 39 23.4% +12.64

Carlisle 160 33 20.6% −14.91

Newcastle 156 15 9.6% −74.91

Catterick 154 19 12.3% −30.99

Sedgefield 130 23 17.7% −61.34

Kelso 122 22 18% +11.09

Hexham 116 29 25% +16.24

Ayr 91 14 15.4% −43.30

Aintree 86 9 10.5% −20.38

Perth 79 4 5.1% −63.62

Doncaster 66 9 13.6% −4.15

Cheltenham 62 4 6.5% −35.24

Redcar 55 5 9.1% −8.00

Hamilton 46 4 8.7% −17.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 754 135 17.9% −131.88

Class 3 370 58 15.7% −47.97

Class 5 330 54 16.4% −43.66

Class 1 203 11 5.4% −118.49

Class 2 196 17 8.7% −34.39

Class 6 160 18 11.3% −47.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 366 126 34.4% 0.97 −65.50

2nd–3rd fav 549 101 18.4% 1.07 −28.59

4th–6th fav 607 55 9.1% 1.14 −63.50

7th+ in betting 492 11 2.2% 0.62 −267.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.8% completed · 1,424 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 570 75.1% 38 23 78 1 2

Hurdle 854 86.3% 24 8 79 3 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Top Dressing (IRE) 24 1 7 1 Jun 11

Tidal Bay (IRE)from J I A Charlton · then Paul Nicholls 19 4 12 9 Apr 11

Toy Gun (IRE)then Barry Murtagh 19 4 6 7 Mar 10

Eton Rifles (IRE)then David Elsworth 18 3 11 25 Jun 11

Stonehaugh (IRE) 18 2 3 4 Jun 11

Bergonzi (IRE)from John Gosden · then C Von Der Recke 18 3 6 13 Oct 10

Professor Higgins (IRE)from David A Kiely 17 4 11 16 Jul 11

Sonara (IRE)from Mark H Tompkins · then W M Wanless 17 1 5 6 Jul 11

Diamond Frontier (IRE)from Charles O'Brien · then John Wade 17 3 9 10 Jun 11

Door Boy (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington · then John Wade 17 4 8 28 Apr 11

Timeless Elegance (IRE)then David Barron 16 3 4 17 Jul 11

Caravel (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt · then Tim Vaughan 16 4 5 16 Jul 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 318 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive; 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

39 have since run for another yard, most often for John Wade (6) and Chris Grant (3); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

178141515614712201923

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDenis O'Regan

35% of all rides
18.2% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Denis O'Regan 703 128 18.2% −90.03

Brian Hughes 269 30 11.2% −94.31

Paul Mulrennan 137 20 14.6% −7.97

Wilson Renwick 122 18 14.8% −35.58

James O'Farrell 121 12 9.9% −25.92

Frederik Tylicki 72 8 11.1% −29.00

Ryan Mania 64 12 18.8% +9.17

Paul Gallagher 64 18 28.1% +41.35

Robert Winston 44 6 13.6% +13.87

Tom Eaves 30 1 3.3% −28.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

519

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.96m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 89 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Inglis Drever (GB) — Ladbroke World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2007 · Class 1

£149,027

Inglis Drever (GB) — Ladbrokes.com World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2008 · Class 1

£142,550

Inglis Drever (GB) — Ladbrokes World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2005 · Class 1

£116,000

Notable horses

Tidal Bay (IRE) Inglis Drever (GB) Lennon (IRE) Nine Stories (IRE) Percussionist (IRE) Some Touch (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 20.9% · 24–115

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,284 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Presenting (GB) 17.6% · 15–85

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Sadler's Wells (USA) 17.1% · 14–82

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Beneficial (GB) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Pistolet Bleu (IRE) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (131 horses).

Definite Article (GB) 20% · 8–40

Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,614 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,614 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 2 August 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Aug 11 Catterick Flambard House (IRE)J: Dale Swift British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 15/2

01 Aug 11 Ripon Next Edition (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Destination Harrogate HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 6th 12/1

17 Jul 11 Redcar Timeless Elegance (IRE)J: Lee Topliss tyregiant.com HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 9/2F

16 Jul 11 Market Rasen Professor Higgins (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Totepool A Better Way To Bet Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 17/2

16 Jul 11 Market Rasen Logans Run (IRE)J: Ryan Mania totesport.com Summer Plate (Listed Handicap Chase)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 25/1

16 Jul 11 Market Rasen Caravel (IRE)J: Brian Hughes totescoop6 Summer Hurdle (Listed Handicap)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 25/1

15 Jul 11 Pontefract Chorister Sport (IRE)J: Dale Swift Countrywide Freight Maiden Auction StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 11th 40/1

15 Jul 11 Pontefract Medieval Bishop (IRE)J: James Sullivan Countrywide Freight Maiden Auction StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 4th 20/1

14 Jul 11 Hamilton Calypso Magic (IRE)J: Frederik Tylicki totepool Glasgow Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 11f · Good · 6 ran 6th 16/1

14 Jul 11 Hamilton Chorister Girl (GB)J: Dale Swift British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 20/1

11 Jul 11 Ayr Next Edition (IRE)J: Dale Swift Play Casino At victorchandler.com HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

11 Jul 11 Ayr Timeless Elegance (IRE)J: Dale Swift 'Drummy's 70th' Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 9/4F

11 Jul 11 Ayr Flambard House (IRE)J: Dale Swift Bet With Your Mobile At victorchandler.com Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 15/8F

06 Jul 11 Catterick White Fusion (GB)J: Dale Swift Racing Again Wednesday 13th July Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 9/1

06 Jul 11 Catterick Sonara (IRE)J: Dale Swift Turmeric HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 20/1

02 Jul 11 Carlisle Medieval Bishop (IRE)J: Tony Hamilton Northern Security Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 5th 3/1

25 Jun 11 Newcastle Next Edition (IRE)J: Jim Crowley Try Totequickpick On All Totepool Bets HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 10/1

25 Jun 11 Newcastle Prospect Wells (FR)J: Dale Swift John Smith's Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 10th 25/1

25 Jun 11 Newcastle Eton Rifles (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan totesport.com Chipchase Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 10/1

23 Jun 11 Newcastle White Fusion (GB)J: Declan Cannon CFK Fun Day 31st July HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Howard Johnson's strike rate?: Howard Johnson has won 294 of 2,015 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Howard Johnson do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 29 wins from 116 runners (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Howard Johnson?: Denis O'Regan, with 703 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 128 (18.2%).
What is Howard Johnson's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,006 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.