What is James Horton's strike rate?

James Horton has won 69 of 661 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Horton do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 59 runners (18.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Horton?

P J McDonald, with 192 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (13.5%).

Is James Horton in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Horton's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 660 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Horton

661 runners in the lifetime window · 106 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

69–661

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=661

184 (28%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=660 · 0.85 incl. margin

−189.32

£1 level stake

n=661 at SP · −28.6%

£1.01m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 661 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun 25% when favourite P J McDonald: 13.5% from 192 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (18.6%, n=59), clear of the yard's 10.4% baseline. It is weakest at Chelmsford (AW) (2.7% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.35). P J McDonald rides 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.5% vs 10.4%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.6% over 38 runners, 7.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Finale Handicap at York (Aug 2022, £41,232). The stable star of the record: Grandlad (IRE) — 6 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.2%−2.2

n=98 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −13.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.6%+3.2

n=22 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +4.50

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−6.8

n=84 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −47.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.4%+1.0

n=35 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −7.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−4.1

n=16 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

25%

n=44 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −15.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.3%−5.1

n=19 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −15.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.6%−7.8

n=38 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wolverhampton (AW) 18.6% vs 10.4% · n=59

With Daniel Muscutt 18.6% vs 10.4% · n=43

With debutants 3.6% vs 10.4% · n=84

In Class 1 2.6% vs 10.4% · n=38

In Group / Graded races 2.6% vs 10.4% · n=38

At Chelmsford (AW) 2.7% vs 10.4% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 276 28 10.1% −80.87

Good to Firm 140 14 10% −81.08

Good 130 14 10.8% −6.00

Good to Soft 57 6 10.5% −3.50

Soft 43 5 11.6% −16.75

Heavy 15 2 13.3% −1.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 64 6 9.4% −10.37

Wolverhampton (AW) 59 11 18.6% −9.50

Kempton (AW) 51 6 11.8% −3.50

Newcastle (AW) 38 3 7.9% −15.50

Chelmsford (AW) 37 1 2.7% −30.00

Haydock 37 3 8.1% −24.17

Doncaster 37 3 8.1% −20.00

Leicester 27 3 11.1% +11.80

Lingfield (AW) 25 1 4% −10.00

Yarmouth 22 1 4.5% −13.00

Nottingham 22 2 9.1% −11.50

Newmarket 21 1 4.8% −6.00

Ascot 21 0 0% −21.00

Newbury 19 0 0% −19.00

Redcar 18 7 38.9% +10.34

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 230 31 13.5% −51.02

Class 4 195 15 7.7% −99.30

Class 3 75 5 6.7% −23.75

Class 6 70 10 14.3% −5.75

Class 2 53 7 13.2% +13.50

Class 1 38 1 2.6% −23.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 55 15 27.3% 0.96 −11.10

2nd–3rd fav 161 35 21.7% 1.23 −2.22

4th–6th fav 237 12 5.1% 0.66 −103.00

7th+ in betting 208 7 3.4% 0.99 −73.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Grandlad (IRE) 29 6 9 16 Oct 26

Dashing Harry (GB)from Clive Cox 23 3 4 20 Oct 25

Encourageable (IRE)then Michael Appleby 18 2 5 28 Jan 25

Pure Angel (GB) 15 1 6 23 May 25

Alashos (FR)then Chris Gordon 14 1 6 27 Jun 25

Is I Right (IRE) 13 1 2 18 Oct 25

Navagio (IRE)from R P Cody · then Ciaran Murphy 13 0 3 8 Oct 25

Orbital Chime (GB)then Katie Scott 13 1 3 7 Oct 24

Fouette (IRE) 12 3 3 27 Aug 26

Houdini Miss (IRE) 12 2 6 2 Mar 26

Beltadaay (GB) 12 2 3 20 Sep 25

Call Me By My Name (GB)then Steph Hollinshead 11 0 2 27 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 106 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Gerard Hogan (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7211814111279109105

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderP J McDonald

29% of all rides
13.5% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

P J McDonald 192 26 13.5% −31.42

Adam Farragher 114 15 13.2% +4.34

Jack Mitchell 50 4 8% −26.50

Daniel Muscutt 43 8 18.6% +17.75

George Wood 41 2 4.9% −20.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.01m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 19 wins

Phantom Flight (GB) — Sky Bet Finale Handicap York · Aug 2022 · Class 2

£41,232

Sam Maximus (GB) — JenningsBet Hopeful Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Aug 2022 · Listed

£29,489

Asjad (GB) — Cazoo Handicap Doncaster · Sep 2022 · Class 2

£27,000

Notable horses

Grandlad (IRE) Saytarr (GB) Dashing Harry (GB) Fouette (IRE) Phantom Flight (GB) Asjad (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 22.4% · 11–49

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Showcasing (GB) 10.3% · 4–39

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Dark Angel (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,935 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Harry Angel (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,792 runs since 2022 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.

Siyouni (FR) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 13% of 8,355 runs since 2014 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.

Mehmas (IRE) 23.8% · 5–21

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,216 runs since 2020 (752 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 661 · newest first

The latest 50 of 661 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 March 2022 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mr Rocco (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 10/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Hamdania (IRE)J: David Probert ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 10/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Strong Voice (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 1st 9/2

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Aston Bay (GB)J: Jason Hart British Stallion Studs Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Skyglow (IRE)J: Jason Hart "What Are The Odds" By Alan Newman Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 150/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Buyback (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 7/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) O'driscoll (IRE)J: Harry Vigors Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bad Baker (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 100/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Grandlad (IRE)J: Harry Vigors Northumbria Leisure For Jukeboxes Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Baarberini (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Vantage Consulting Powered By Requidex Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Hamdania (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 20/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Strong Voice (IRE)J: David Probert Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 4th 9/2

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Sahm Naif (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 4th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Al's River (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/30F

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Last Flight (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 6th 3/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) O'driscoll (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 4th 250/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Astrid (FR)J: Darragh Keenan Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 13/2

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Al's River (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Watch Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) O'driscoll (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 200/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Dreamed (GB)J: P. J. McDonald United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Horton's strike rate?: James Horton has won 69 of 661 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Horton do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 59 runners (18.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Horton?: P J McDonald, with 192 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (13.5%).
Is James Horton in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Horton's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 660 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.