Keith Dalgleish
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 410 runners a season, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). New recruits from other yards win at 18% first time out (244 runs).
It is weakest at Ascot (1.4% over 70 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 18.4% (n=244, Fair A/E 1.28), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.9% (n=204, Fair A/E 0.84). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 13.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +15.23 to a £1 stake over 209 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 8.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −118.88 to a £1 stake over 265 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joe Fanning rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.3%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4.9% over 204 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing UK Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar (Oct 2018, £99,243). The stable star of the record: Chookie Royale (GB) — 16 wins from 73 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,799 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,799 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2011 to 8 July 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Keith Dalgleish's strike rate?
- Keith Dalgleish has won 974 of 7,799 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Keith Dalgleish do best at?
- Newcastle by strike rate: 31 wins from 178 runners (17.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Keith Dalgleish?
- Joe Fanning, with 944 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 135 (14.3%).
- What is Keith Dalgleish's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 7,756 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.