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Trainer profile

Mike Murphy & Michael Keady

522 runners in the lifetime window · 68 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2024 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
35–522
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=522
121 (23%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=519 · 0.70 incl. margin
−135.84
£1 level stake
n=522 at SP · −26.0%
£430k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 522 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 19.4% when favourite New recruits: 7.3% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (0% over 53 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −75.17 to a £1 stake over 134 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.4% over 42 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Temple Bruer (GB) — 6 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.7%−5.0
n=60 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −55.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.3%+0.6
n=41 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −26.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.7
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.7
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%+2.4
n=22 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +84.00
When favourite
19.4%
n=31 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −9.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%−0.7
n=134 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −75.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 15.2% vs 6.7% · n=33
At Kempton (AW) 0% vs 6.7% · n=53
On last-time-out winners 13.9% vs 6.7% · n=36
With debutants 0% vs 6.7% · n=30
With Marco Ghiani 12.5% vs 6.7% · n=32
Off a 61-180-day break 2.4% vs 6.7% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 510 34 6.7% −130.34
Hurdle 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 277 15 5.4% −32.96
Good to Firm 101 10 9.9% −49.00
Good 59 4 6.8% −4.50
Soft 39 4 10.3% −13.00
Good to Soft 37 1 2.7% −33.88
Heavy 5 1 20% +1.50
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 76 4 5.3% +78.83
Wolverhampton (AW) 55 4 7.3% −15.50
Kempton (AW) 53 0 0% −53.00
Lingfield (AW) 44 2 4.5% −35.12
Windsor 44 2 4.5% −36.88
Southwell (AW) 39 2 5.1% −17.50
Yarmouth 39 1 2.6% −35.50
Brighton 26 6 23.1% +1.50
Nottingham 18 2 11.1% −8.75
Newmarket 15 2 13.3% +11.00
Doncaster 11 2 18.2% +8.50
Bath 10 0 0% −10.00
Newcastle (AW) 10 3 30% +9.33
Leicester 9 0 0% −9.00
Ascot 9 1 11.1% +12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 215 17 7.9% +28.71
Class 5 167 8 4.8% −125.30
Class 4 101 9 8.9% −10.25
Class 3 23 1 4.3% −13.00
Class 2 16 0 0% −16.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 36 8 22.2% 0.86 −7.42
2nd–3rd fav 94 11 11.7% 0.75 −37.92
4th–6th fav 168 11 6.5% 0.87 −63.50
7th+ in betting 224 5 2.2% 0.83 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Antiphon (IRE)from Mike Murphy · then Gay Kelleway 34 3 15 9 Aug 24
Fayasel (IRE) 25 2 9 9 Jul 24
Temple Bruer (GB)from Robert Cowell · then Mike Murphy 24 6 9 24 Oct 24
Velvet Vulcan (GB)then Mike Murphy 19 1 4 2 Nov 24
Champagne Sarah (IRE)then Mike Murphy 19 3 9 29 Jun 24
Bold And Loyal (GB)from Mike Murphy 18 0 4 1 Aug 23
Split The Profit (IRE) 16 0 6 4 Jul 24
Northcliff (IRE)from Tim Easterby · then Michael Keady 15 3 8 9 Sep 24
Le Reveur (IRE)from Mike Murphy 15 1 3 23 Sep 23
Cooperation (IRE)from Robert Cowell · then Michael Attwater 15 3 5 26 Aug 23
Further Measure (USA)from Sylvester Kirk · then Mike Murphy 13 0 4 6 Jun 24
Kodi Dancer (IRE)from K R Burke 13 1 2 4 Sep 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mike Murphy (9) and Robert Cowell (4); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Mike Murphy (10) and Michael Keady (4); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
101148115589490
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCallum Shepherd
9% of all rides
6.4% SR · A/E 0.78
RiderRWSR£1
Callum Shepherd 47 3 6.4% +17.50
Daniel Muscutt 44 3 6.8% +2.00
Darragh Keenan 43 2 4.7% +63.00
Taylor Fisher 32 2 6.3% −17.00
Marco Ghiani 32 4 12.5% −17.87
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
35
Archived wins
£430k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 19 wins
Temple Bruer (GB) — William Hill Lengthen Your Odds Racing League Race Forty-One (Handicap) Newcastle (AW) · Sep 2022 · Class 3
£25,770
Temple Bruer (GB) — Meriel Tufnell Apprentice Handicap Doncaster · Sep 2022 · Class 4
£11,016
Northcliff (IRE) — Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Blue Ribbon Handicap Ascot · May 2024 · Class 4
£10,808
Notable horses
Temple Bruer (GB) Antiphon (IRE) Champagne Sarah (IRE) Northcliff (IRE) Cooperation (IRE) Fayasel (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 12.8% · 6–47
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Kodiac (GB) 8.5% · 4–47
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Showcasing (GB) 16.2% · 6–37
Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,662 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Mehmas (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,237 runs since 2020 (755 horses).
Nathaniel (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,118 runs since 2016 (642 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Sioux Nation (USA) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 12.3% of 2,917 runs since 2022 (363 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 583. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 522 · newest first

The latest 50 of 522 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 June 2022 to 2 November 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 24 Southwell (AW) Hot Talent (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 22/1
02 Nov 24 Southwell (AW) Velvet Vulcan (GB)J: Edward Greatrex BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 20/1
31 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Baylando (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Betfair Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 9/1
30 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Ravensbourne (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 50/1
26 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Velvet Vortex (GB)J: Luke Morris Illuminate Christmas Party HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 14/1
26 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Currumbin (IRE)J: Jack Doughty betting.betfair.com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 40/1
24 Oct 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Temple Bruer (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 28/1
14 Oct 24 Windsor Currumbin (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 100/1
10 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Maruna (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Bet At Your Best With Betfair HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 5th 66/1
09 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Temple Bruer (GB)J: Luke Morris Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 6th 40/1
03 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Velvet Vulcan (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Betfair Exchange Selling HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 15 ran 10th 22/1
03 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Velvet Vortex (GB)J: Paddy Bradley betfair.betfair.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 6th 80/1
26 Sep 24 Southwell (AW) Horus (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Download The Raceday Ready App NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 25/1
16 Sep 24 Kempton (AW) A Poet's Secret (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 8/1
16 Sep 24 Kempton (AW) Maruna (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 6th 25/1
16 Sep 24 Kempton (AW) Kalik (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 10th 20/1
09 Sep 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Northcliff (IRE)J: Harry Davies Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 16/1
30 Aug 24 Sandown Currumbin (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Sri Lanka Paradise Island HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 6 ran 6th 66/1
27 Aug 24 Stratford Jassur Des Brosses (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Visit racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 15th 22/1
20 Aug 24 Kempton (AW) Luna Dipinta (GB)J: Harry Davies Unibet More Boosts In More Races Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 7th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mike Murphy & Michael Keady's strike rate?
Mike Murphy & Michael Keady has won 35 of 522 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mike Murphy & Michael Keady do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 55 runners (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mike Murphy & Michael Keady's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 519 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).