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Trainer profile

Ronald Thompson

480 runners in the lifetime window · 67 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2023 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
16–480
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=480
71 (15%)
Placed
0.65
Fair A/E
n=476 · 0.55 incl. margin
−322.00
£1 level stake
n=480 at SP · −67.1%
£144k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.65).

Deterministic profile computed from 480 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Andrew Elliott: 7.9% from 63
The read

The record is strongest at Catterick (9.4%, n=32) and Wolverhampton (AW) (6.3%, n=64) — all clear of the yard's 3.3% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0% strike, Fair A/E 0.00 and −124.00 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Andrew Elliott rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.9% vs 3.3%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 0% over 144 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Mr Strutter (IRE) — 6 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.5%−0.8
n=79 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −45.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.3%+0.0
n=30 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%+1.2
n=22 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
When favourite
13.3%
n=15 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −8.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−3.3
n=124 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −124.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Catterick 9.4% vs 3.3% · n=32
With Andrew Elliott 7.9% vs 3.3% · n=63
With C&D winners 7.7% vs 3.3% · n=65
In Class 5 0% vs 3.3% · n=144
With claiming riders up 0% vs 3.3% · n=124
At Wolverhampton (AW) 6.3% vs 3.3% · n=64
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 61.5% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 447 16 3.6% −289.00
Hurdle 22 0 0% −22.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 225 8 3.6% −161.25
Good 89 5 5.6% −17.25
Good to Firm 77 2 2.6% −61.00
Soft 43 0 0% −43.00
Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −32.50
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 84 2 2.4% −67.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 64 4 6.3% −36.25
Newcastle (AW) 52 2 3.8% −33.00
Doncaster 40 0 0% −40.00
Beverley 40 1 2.5% −19.00
Catterick 32 3 9.4% −12.25
Pontefract 19 2 10.5% +18.00
Ripon 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Thirsk 17 1 5.9% −7.00
Redcar 16 0 0% −16.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Leicester 9 0 0% −9.00
Nottingham 8 0 0% −8.00
Wetherby 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 250 12 4.8% −141.00
Class 5 144 0 0% −144.00
Class 4 62 1 1.6% −36.00
Class 3 19 1 5.3% −8.00
Class 7 3 2 66.7% +9.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 2 11.8% 0.49 −10.50
2nd–3rd fav 47 6 12.8% 0.86 −12.50
4th–6th fav 110 4 3.6% 0.60 −66.00
7th+ in betting 306 4 1.3% 0.58 −233.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mr Strutter (IRE)from John Quinn · then David Brown 50 6 13 5 Oct 20
Johnny Cavagin (GB)from Richard Guest · then Paul Midgley 36 2 9 20 Oct 18
Furni Factors (GB) 34 1 12 30 Jun 20
Westfield Wonder (GB) 22 0 0 1 May 19
Cheap Jack (GB) 20 2 8 25 Feb 21
Furniture Factors (IRE) 18 1 1 15 Mar 23
Major Crispies (GB)from David O'Meara 15 0 1 3 Feb 20
Jon H The Lawman (IRE) 15 0 0 24 Jun 17
Vampish (GB)from Philip McBride 14 1 4 11 Dec 20
Majestic Man (IRE) 12 0 0 2 May 19
Palindrome (USA)then Marjorie Fife 12 0 1 16 Aug 17
Churchill Bay (GB)from Clive Cox · then Jessica Macey 10 0 1 31 Oct 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian Williams (3) and David O'Meara (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Loughnane (7) and Colin Teague (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
008035524209
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Elliott
13% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.35
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Elliott 63 5 7.9% −20.25
Tom Eaves 42 1 2.4% −39.25
Jimmy Quinn 30 2 6.7% +7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
18
Archived wins
£154k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Johnny Cavagin (GB) — King Richard III Stakes (Handicap) Pontefract · Jul 2016 · Class 3
£7,763
Johnny Cavagin (GB) — Download The Racing UK iPad App Handicap Pontefract · Sep 2015 · Class 4
£6,469
Furniture Factors (IRE) — Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance Classified Stakes Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 6
£4,292
Notable horses
Mr Strutter (IRE) Johnny Cavagin (GB) Cheap Jack (GB) Dimashq (GB) Roman De Brut (IRE) Furni Factors (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Captain Gerrard (IRE) 1.8% · 1–56
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2013 (175 horses).
Sir Prancealot (IRE) 12% · 6–50
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,688 runs since 2016 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Superior Premium (GB) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 8.1% of 651 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.8% from 152. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.2% from 215.
Coach House (IRE) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,482 runs since 2018 (145 horses).
Pride Of Dubai (AUS) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,163 runs since 2020 (92 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.6% from 386. Weakest on Soft going: 8.3% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 17% from 200.
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,430 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 581 · newest first

The latest 50 of 581 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 31 October 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 23 Newcastle (AW) Churchill Bay (GB)J: Tom Eaves Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 10/3
21 Sep 23 Pontefract Factorforfurniture (GB)J: Ben Sanderson Northern Commercials - Commercial Vehicles From Commercial People Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 150/1
15 Sep 23 Doncaster Novello Lad (GB)J: Tom Eaves Hippo Clean Edge Masking Tape Confined NurseryClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 66/1
11 Sep 23 Newcastle (AW) Churchill Bay (GB)J: Tom Eaves QuinnBet Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 20/1
05 Sep 23 Ripon Gottomakeashilling (GB)J: Dale Swift Ripon Green-Scheme Discounts For Greener Travel Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 5th 200/1
23 Aug 23 Leicester Jesse William (GB)J: Dylan Hogan British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 250/1
20 Aug 23 Southwell (AW) Beast Of Burden (GB)J: Ray Dawson Newark Advertiser Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 9/4F
16 Aug 23 Beverley Novello Lad (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan All-Electric Porsche Taycan EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 40/1
16 Aug 23 Beverley Gottomakeashilling (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan 60 Years Of Porsche 911 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 100/1
03 Aug 23 Newcastle (AW) Churchill Bay (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 18/1
29 Jul 23 Newcastle (AW) Beast Of Burden (GB)J: Benoit De La Sayette Livello Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 13/2
27 Jul 23 Doncaster Jesse William (GB)J: Harrison Shaw Simon Piggott Memorial Race EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 250/1
27 Jul 23 Doncaster Novello Lad (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Simon Piggott Memorial Race EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 11/1
13 Jul 23 Doncaster Factorforfurniture (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Aalberts IPS Pegler Xpress EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 12th 66/1
11 Jul 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Crystal Dawn (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 4/1
30 Jun 23 Newcastle (AW) Churchill Bay (GB)J: Faye McManoman JenningsBet In Pelton HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 25/1
30 Jun 23 Doncaster Jesse William (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 8th 125/1
30 Jun 23 Doncaster Novello Lad (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 25/1
14 Jun 23 Hamilton Beast Of Burden (GB)J: Mr Eireann Cagney Hamilton-Park.Co.Uk Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 11th 9/2
10 Jun 23 Catterick Churchill Bay (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Maurice Fixter 80th Birthday HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ronald Thompson's strike rate?
Ronald Thompson has won 16 of 480 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ronald Thompson do best at?
Catterick by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ronald Thompson?
Andrew Elliott, with 63 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.9%).
What is Ronald Thompson's Fair A/E?
0.65, from 476 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).