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Trainer profile

Anna Newton-Smith

637 runners in the lifetime window · 63 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2023 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
37–637
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=637
107 (17%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=635 · 0.69 incl. margin
−335.75
£1 level stake
n=637 at SP · −52.7%
£213k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 637 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Andrew Thornton: 7.9% from 89 Claiming riders: 6.3%
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −78.75 to a £1 stake over 133 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Andrew Thornton rides 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.9% vs 5.8%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well in Chase races (11%, n=254). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 0% over 40 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Goring One (IRE) — 10 wins from 50 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%−2.0
n=133 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −78.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.8
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.8
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.3%+4.5
n=29 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +1.83
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.3%−1.5
n=23 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
24%
n=25 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −9.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%+0.5
n=190 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −96.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Felix De Giles 14.3% vs 5.8% · n=35
In Chase races 11% vs 5.8% · n=254
On last-time-out winners 13.5% vs 5.8% · n=37
With C&D winners 11.6% vs 5.8% · n=112
In Class 6 0% vs 5.8% · n=40
In NH Flat races 0% vs 5.8% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 311 9 2.9% −218.75
Chase 254 28 11% −45.00
NH Flat 37 0 0% −37.00
Flat 35 0 0% −35.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 180 16 8.9% −36.00
Good 149 3 2% −98.00
Good to Soft 140 5 3.6% −118.00
Heavy 120 11 9.2% −55.75
Standard (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Good to Firm 20 2 10% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 215 14 6.5% −74.17
Fontwell 151 6 4% −128.83
Lingfield 66 7 10.6% −25.50
Folkestone 47 4 8.5% −27.50
Huntingdon 17 1 5.9% +6.00
Wincanton 17 4 23.5% +21.25
Kempton 14 0 0% −14.00
Lingfield (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Kempton (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Uttoxeter 10 0 0% −10.00
Fakenham 10 0 0% −10.00
Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Towcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 283 24 8.5% −105.50
Class 4 282 11 3.9% −196.25
Class 6 40 0 0% −40.00
Class 3 30 2 6.7% +8.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 7 22.6% 0.72 −12.33
2nd–3rd fav 88 16 18.2% 1.04 −15.42
4th–6th fav 178 5 2.8% 0.37 −129.00
7th+ in betting 340 9 2.6% 1.10 −179.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.9% completed · 565 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 254 71.7% 10 8 53 0 1
Hurdle 311 77.5% 7 6 55 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Burgess Dream (IRE) 51 6 12 15 Mar 21
Goring One (IRE)from Diana Grissell 50 10 20 23 Oct 19
Goring Two (IRE)from Diana Grissell 39 3 8 16 Apr 17
Little Roxy (IRE) 37 4 10 16 Nov 15
Pete The Feat (IRE)then Charlie Longsdon 31 3 11 14 Mar 12
The Hardy Boy (GB)then Miss N Worley 31 2 7 30 Jan 12
Twin Bud (GB) 30 0 9 21 Oct 13
Portrait Royale (IRE) 26 4 7 31 Jan 12
Albatros De Guye (FR)from Emmanuel Clayeux 22 2 3 26 Dec 17
Quartz Du Montceau (FR)from Milton Harris · then Diana Grissell 22 1 6 5 Jan 12
Hermosa Vaquera (IRE)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then Gary Moore 19 1 2 10 May 15
Budsson (GB) 17 0 0 10 Mar 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Diana Grissell (3) and John Best (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Moore (5) and Diana Grissell (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
6657000002510
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Thornton
14% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 0.85
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Thornton 89 7 7.9% −26.25
Adam Wedge 57 2 3.5% −19.00
Mattie Batchelor 56 1 1.8% −50.50
Felix De Giles 35 5 14.3% −9.50
Marc Goldstein 30 2 6.7% −11.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
51
Archived wins
£287k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Goring One (IRE) — Eric's Charm Handicap Chase (Jockey Club Grassroots Jumps Series Qualifier) Sandown · Feb 2013 · Class 3
£6,498
Come Bye (IRE) — Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Jan 2005 · Class 3
£5,418
Burgess Dream (IRE) — Racing Welfare Handicap Hurdle Lingfield · Feb 2017 · Class 4
£5,198
Notable horses
Goring One (IRE) The Hardy Boy (GB) Come Bye (IRE) Burgess Dream (IRE) Little Roxy (IRE) Portrait Royale (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Spadoun (FR) 11.8% · 6–51
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,144 runs since 2008 (70 horses).
Broadway Flyer (USA) 20% · 10–50
Progeny have won 11% of 743 runs since 2008 (68 horses).
Needle Gun (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 5% of 1,228 runs since 2008 (139 horses).
Dilshaan (GB) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 9.9% of 756 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 144.
King's Theatre (IRE) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Overbury (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 800 · newest first

The latest 50 of 800 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Nov 23 Lingfield Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey Download The Racing App Now Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 33/1
06 Nov 23 Plumpton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: James Best Roger And Jenny Farrant Diamond Wedding Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 40/1
24 Sep 23 Plumpton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: James Best Half Moon Plumpton Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 80/1
11 Jul 23 Brighton Lord Clenaghcastle (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 66/1
09 Apr 23 Plumpton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Conor Ring Strong Flavours Catering Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 66/1
21 Mar 23 Plumpton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: James Best Weatherbys Digital Solutions Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 22/1
27 Feb 23 Plumpton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: James Best Coral Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 13 ran PU 100/1
14 Feb 23 Lingfield Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 50/1
06 Feb 23 Fontwell Uncertain Times (IRE)J: James Best At The Races App Form Study Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 66/1
29 Jan 23 Fontwell Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Lorcan Murtagh Cazoo Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran F 100/1
07 Jan 23 Lingfield (AW) Decora (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Huge Daily Boosts Only At Betuk HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 150/1
26 Dec 22 Fontwell Uncertain Times (IRE)J: Lorcan Murtagh Download The At The Races App Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 300/1
08 Dec 22 Taunton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Jetset Flights & Holidays Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 18/1
29 Nov 22 Lingfield (AW) Decora (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 150/1
24 Nov 22 Lingfield Uncertain Times (IRE)J: Rex Dingle At The Races App Expert Tips Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 200/1
19 Oct 22 Fontwell Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 20/1
10 May 22 Lingfield (AW) Dashing Spirit (IRE)J: Aidan Keeley Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 500/1
04 May 22 Fontwell Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke In Loving Memory Of Mick Hayward Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 50/1
21 Apr 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Dashing Spirit (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Sigma Here 28th May HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 250/1
18 Apr 22 Plumpton Shirocco's Delight (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Harry And Betty Savill Memorial Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Anna Newton-Smith's strike rate?
Anna Newton-Smith has won 37 of 637 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Anna Newton-Smith do best at?
Lingfield by strike rate: 7 wins from 66 runners (10.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Anna Newton-Smith?
Andrew Thornton, with 89 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.9%).
What is Anna Newton-Smith's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 635 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).