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Trainer profile

Ciaran Murphy

1,449 runners in the lifetime window · 204 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 10.3% of 339 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.
Runners today
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
93–1,449
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=1,449
298 (21%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=1,449 · 0.84 incl. margin
−595.14
£1 level stake
n=1,449 at SP · −41.1%
£1.35m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,449 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 25.6% when favourite E Walsh: 5.3% from 262 Claiming riders: 7.2% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (11.7%, n=196) and Kilbeggan (12.1%, n=91) — all clear of the yard's 6.4% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 0% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.28 and −98.00 to a £1 stake over 111 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 20 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 6.4pts below the 6.4% baseline). E Walsh rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (11.3%, n=203). The stable star of the record: Walhaan (IRE) — 6 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.1%−1.3
n=254 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −27.09
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.1%−3.3
n=96 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −67.50
Debutants · first career start
0.9%−5.5
n=111 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −98.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.8%−2.6
n=79 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −47.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=74 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −74.00
When favourite
25.6%
n=39 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −5.19
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%+0.8
n=653 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −256.89
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 11.7% vs 6.4% · n=196
With headgear back on 0% vs 6.4% · n=74
On Standard (AW) going 11.3% vs 6.4% · n=203
With debutants 0.9% vs 6.4% · n=111
At Kilbeggan 12.1% vs 6.4% · n=91
With Eoghan Finegan 11.7% vs 6.4% · n=77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 729 50 6.9% −215.14
Hurdle 470 24 5.1% −235.15
Chase 185 16 8.6% −93.55
NH Flat 65 3 4.6% −51.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 487 24 4.9% −165.00
Good 345 17 4.9% −240.70
Heavy 222 14 6.3% −136.25
Standard (AW) 203 23 11.3% +38.11
Good to Soft 174 14 8% −80.30
Good to Firm 18 1 5.6% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 196 23 11.7% +45.11
Galway 129 7 5.4% −52.50
Kilbeggan 91 11 12.1% −38.50
Leopardstown 71 6 8.5% −19.75
Naas 70 3 4.3% −32.00
Punchestown 66 2 3% −42.00
Navan 65 1 1.5% −60.50
Gowran Park 63 2 3.2% −45.50
Fairyhouse 60 1 1.7% −55.50
Curragh 58 3 5.2% −15.00
Roscommon 58 3 5.2% −37.50
Limerick 53 4 7.5% −16.00
Cork 52 1 1.9% −42.50
Sligo 50 5 10% −11.00
Ballinrobe 46 3 6.5% −25.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 38 1 2.6% −33.00
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 58 14 24.1% 1.03 −8.19
2nd–3rd fav 189 39 20.6% 1.47 +31.55
4th–6th fav 370 27 7.3% 1.01 −42.00
7th+ in betting 832 13 1.6% 0.57 −576.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Walhaan (IRE)from James Tate 59 6 12 18 Oct 26
Little Keilee (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell · then James Owen 35 3 9 28 Mar 25
Titanium (FR)from A & G Botti 31 2 6 20 Oct 26
The Mpex Kid (IRE)from Mrs D A Love 28 3 5 5 Oct 24
Enjoy D'allen (FR)from Peter Fahey · then Neil King 27 2 6 3 Feb 25
Finsceal Annie (IRE)from Liam McAteer 26 4 12 28 Jul 26
Sydney Cruiser (IRE) 25 1 8 1 Oct 25
Granville Street (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy 24 2 11 15 Oct 26
Ivane (FR)then James Owen 24 1 4 16 Jan 25
Coolcalmncollected (GB) 24 2 2 23 Oct 24
Stardayz (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 24 2 4 10 Feb 23
Jack Hackett (IRE)from Mrs D A Love 23 1 5 25 Aug 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 204 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs D A Love (11) and John Joseph Murphy (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (3); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
0 from 20 0% · −6.4pts vs baseline
Last 14 days0%
Lifetime base6.4%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
8864467106677
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderE Walsh
18% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.99
RiderRWSR£1
E Walsh 262 14 5.3% −114.00
Conor Orr 83 4 4.8% −60.00
Ben Coen 82 7 8.5% −20.00
Eoghan Finegan 77 9 11.7% −6.00
Dylan Browne McMonagle 61 5 8.2% −13.00
Shane Foley 46 3 6.5% −15.00
Patrick McGettigan 40 4 10% +5.00
Jamie Powell 37 4 10.8% −16.09
Colin Keane 36 3 8.3% −15.80
Gavin Ryan 35 3 8.6% +48.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
93
Archived wins
£1.35m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 21 wins
Moudan (IRE) — Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Class 1
£42,501
Titanium (FR) — Finlay Volvo Premier Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Nov 2025
£29,500
Bridge Native (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Chase Galway · Oct 2021
£12,390
Notable horses
Walhaan (IRE) Moudan (IRE) Finsceal Annie (IRE) Castleheath (IRE) Little Keilee (IRE) The Mpex Kid (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 8.1% · 6–74
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,882 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Network (GER) 5.9% · 3–51
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,767 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 274.
Sioux Nation (USA) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,874 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 577. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 189.
Ardad (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,514 runs since 2008 (351 horses).
Camelot (GB) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,684 runs since 2008 (754 horses).
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,787 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2021 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Puppet Master (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Abbey Haven Care Centre & Nursing Home Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 5/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Gortmore Lady (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 11/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Shadonagh (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 4th 28/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Bay Of Dreams (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 21st 25/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Titanium (FR)J: Sadhbh Tormey Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 13th 18/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Puppet Master (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Every Race, Every Moment 1xBet.ie Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race12f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 20/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Staywitherjohnny (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 25/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bay Of Dreams (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 12/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Walhaan (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 10th 40/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Vale Dos Pinheiros (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 10th 200/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Midnight Ace (GB)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 125/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Granville Street (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 2nd 18/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Spectical (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 9th 40/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Hill Silver (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 8/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Navagio (IRE)J: Colin Keane Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)7.5f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 14/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Gortmore Lady (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 7/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Starship Trooper (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Co-Op Superstores 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Why Wait (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle17.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/2
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Shadonagh (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 6/1
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Anodandawink (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ciaran Murphy's strike rate?
Ciaran Murphy has won 93 of 1,449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ciaran Murphy do best at?
Kilbeggan by strike rate: 11 wins from 91 runners (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ciaran Murphy?
E Walsh, with 262 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (5.3%).
Is Ciaran Murphy in form?
In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.4% since 2008.
What is Ciaran Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 1,449 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).