What is Henry Oliver's strike rate?

Henry Oliver has won 198 of 1,671 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Oliver do best at?

Towcester by strike rate: 12 wins from 43 runners (27.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Henry Oliver?

James Davies, with 422 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (12.3%).

Is Henry Oliver in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Henry Oliver's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,667 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Henry Oliver

1,671 runners in the lifetime window · 209 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

198–1,671

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=1,671

497 (30%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,667 · 0.88 incl. margin

−298.59

£1 level stake

n=1,671 at SP · −17.9%

£1.91m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 17% (47 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,671 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 30.9% when favourite James Davies: 12.3% from 422 New recruits: 12.9% Headgear returns: 17% Claiming riders: 13.9% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Towcester (27.9%, n=43), clear of the yard's 11.8% baseline. It is weakest at Huntingdon (0% over 41 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 17% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.52), but debutants struggle at 4.6% (n=87, Fair A/E 0.89). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 12.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +3.82 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. James Davies rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (22%, n=59). The stable star of the record: Generous Day (IRE) — 7 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.7%−2.1

n=391 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −112.47

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.9%+1.1

n=124 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +3.82

Debutants · first career start

4.6%−7.2

n=87 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −21.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.1%−5.7

n=49 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −27.17

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17%+5.2

n=47 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +20.25

When favourite

30.9%

n=175 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −13.54

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.9%+2.1

n=267 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −75.45

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.8

n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Towcester 27.9% vs 11.8% · n=43

With Mr Jason Dixon 22.8% vs 11.8% · n=57

At Huntingdon 0% vs 11.8% · n=41

On Good to Firm going 22% vs 11.8% · n=59

With Richard Johnson 23.5% vs 11.8% · n=34

At Ffos Las 0% vs 11.8% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 927 107 11.5% −197.19

Chase 656 85 13% −81.65

NH Flat 59 3 5.1% −17.75

Flat 29 3 10.3% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 634 74 11.7% −53.83

Soft 426 46 10.8% −111.22

Good to Soft 377 35 9.3% −129.88

Heavy 164 29 17.7% −16.87

Good to Firm 59 13 22% +20.21

Standard (AW) 11 1 9.1% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 131 13 9.9% −25.15

Warwick 113 13 11.5% −18.25

Hereford 109 13 11.9% −7.75

Worcester 107 7 6.5% −48.00

Chepstow 99 14 14.1% −4.67

Ludlow 96 7 7.3% −55.75

Stratford 92 12 13% +61.45

Southwell 85 17 20% +35.79

Market Rasen 81 13 16% −9.00

Bangor-on-Dee 72 6 8.3% −43.00

Leicester 61 5 8.2% −25.50

Doncaster 49 6 12.2% −21.37

Towcester 43 12 27.9% +23.30

Huntingdon 41 0 0% −41.00

Wetherby 41 3 7.3% −24.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 776 102 13.1% −97.68

Class 5 470 56 11.9% −67.36

Class 3 258 27 10.5% −79.63

Class 2 90 8 8.9% −31.92

Class 6 42 4 9.5% +0.00

Class 1 35 1 2.9% −22.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 222 69 31.1% 1.07 −2.96

2nd–3rd fav 418 63 15.1% 0.87 −98.13

4th–6th fav 537 53 9.9% 1.22 +29.50

7th+ in betting 494 13 2.6% 0.81 −227.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.8% completed · 1,583 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 656 81.1% 20 18 84 2 0

Hurdle 927 90.8% 17 6 59 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Generous Day (IRE) 43 7 13 10 Apr 24

Whispering Harry (GB) 41 6 12 7 Apr 18

Keel Haul (IRE) 37 5 11 5 Feb 18

Coastguard Station (IRE)from S Curling 36 6 14 3 Nov 26

Boys Of Wexford (GB) 33 3 9 28 Oct 26

Ozzy Thomas (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill · then Scott Malson 30 3 15 5 Mar 21

Dresden (IRE)from Sarah-Jayne Davies 29 5 10 16 Mar 18

Take The Crown (GB)then Peter Winks 26 4 10 4 Apr 16

Hard To Forget (IRE) 24 6 7 29 Mar 22

Talkingpicturestv (GB) 24 3 9 2 Nov 20

Moscow Me (IRE) 24 4 6 4 May 17

Crescent Beach (IRE)from Jennie Candlish 20 2 5 20 Jan 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 209 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charlie Mann (2) and Jonjo O'Neill (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Claire Dyson (4); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1215141211167101471212

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Davies

25% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.14

RiderRWSR£1

James Davies 422 52 12.3% +54.83

Lee Edwards 151 15 9.9% −42.12

Jeremiah McGrath 127 14 11% −24.19

David Noonan 109 10 9.2% −42.25

Denis O'Regan 59 4 6.8% −42.95

Mr Jason Dixon 57 13 22.8% +0.59

Henry Oliver 46 2 4.3% −32.50

Dave Crosse 42 9 21.4% +17.58

Liam Heard 38 1 2.6% −35.75

Richard Johnson 34 8 23.5% −7.53

Ben Godfrey 33 4 12.1% −11.68

Jonathan Burke 32 3 9.4% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

198

Archived wins

£1.91m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 25 wins

Dresden (IRE) — Shawbrook Handicap Chase Ascot · Nov 2015 · Class 2

£43,792

The Big Bite (IRE) — BetVictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Mar 2023 · Class 1

£34,170

Keel Haul (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Nov 2015 · Class 2

£28,152

Notable horses

Generous Day (IRE) Whispering Harry (GB) Coastguard Station (IRE) Hard To Forget (IRE) Can't Beat History (IRE) Keel Haul (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Gold Well (GB) 13.9% · 10–72

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,839 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Milan (GB) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,869 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 16.7% · 10–60

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.

Scorpion (IRE) 11.5% · 6–52

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,323 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Daylami (IRE) 16.3% · 7–43

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,671 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,671 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2013 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Warwick Coastguard Station (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Jets Richard Davis Awards Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/2

02 Nov 26 Southwell Footage Detectives (GB)J: Lee Edwards Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 80/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Babs (GB)J: Kielan Woods 1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 11/4

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Inishnabro (IRE)J: Lee Edwards Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 16/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Boys Of Wexford (GB)J: Mr Sean O'Connor Agri Day At Huntingdon Racecourse 10 November Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/2

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Kourosh (GER)J: Paddy Hanlon £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 8/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Get In Order (IRE)J: Lee Edwards CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 11/1

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Footage Detectives (GB)J: Lee Edwards Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Himayta (GB)J: Isabella Oliver Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Juan Bermudez (GB)J: Fern O'Brien QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 7/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Annie Don (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Agriculture Raceday Returns On 12th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 25/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Coastguard Station (IRE)J: Shane Fenelon Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 8th 50/1

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Babs (GB)J: Kielan Woods Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 1st 11/8F

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Thiscouldbetheone (IRE)J: David Noonan Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 12th 66/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Juan Bermudez (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good · 8 ran 8th 5/1

04 Sep 26 Worcester Ebarayna (GB)J: Lee Edwards Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 9/2

23 Aug 26 Worcester Thiscouldbetheone (IRE)J: David Noonan Neu-Servo Phils Last Shift Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 15/2

23 Aug 26 Worcester Coastguard Station (IRE)J: David Noonan Neu-Servo Rapid Response Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 8th 33/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Ebarayna (GB)J: Lee Edwards QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 33/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Stay Hopeful (IRE)J: Lee Edwards CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 25 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Henry Oliver's strike rate?: Henry Oliver has won 198 of 1,671 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Oliver do best at?: Towcester by strike rate: 12 wins from 43 runners (27.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Oliver?: James Davies, with 422 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (12.3%).
Is Henry Oliver in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Henry Oliver's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,667 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.