What is Jedd O'Keeffe's strike rate?

Jedd O'Keeffe has won 321 of 3,047 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jedd O'Keeffe do best at?

Newcastle by strike rate: 19 wins from 120 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jedd O'Keeffe?

Jack Garritty, with 818 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (10.5%).

Is Jedd O'Keeffe in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jedd O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 3,025 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jedd O'Keeffe

3,047 runners in the lifetime window · 292 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

321–3,047

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=3,047

957 (31%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=3,025 · 0.87 incl. margin

−800.30

£1 level stake

n=3,047 at SP · −26.3%

£3.49m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,047 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.1% 32.7% when favourite Jack Garritty: 10.5% from 818 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hexham (34.9%, n=43), clear of the yard's 10.5% baseline. It is weakest at Leicester (2.4% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.4% (n=211, Fair A/E 0.50). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 11.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.59 and +53.62 to a £1 stake over 103 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −194.14 to a £1 stake over 428 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jack Garritty rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.5%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Sprint Trophy at York (Oct 2015, £62,250). The stable star of the record: Saisons D'or (IRE) — 12 wins from 100 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.1%+0.6

n=468 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −9.84

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.1%−0.4

n=69 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −4.00

Debutants · first career start

2.4%−8.1

n=211 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −139.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.7%+1.2

n=103 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +53.62

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.2%−6.3

n=48 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

32.7%

n=254 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −15.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−3.5

n=428 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −194.14

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%−0.5

n=50 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −14.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Hexham 34.9% vs 10.5% · n=43

On last-time-out winners 20.4% vs 10.5% · n=319

With Joe Colliver 19.8% vs 10.5% · n=131

With debutants 2.4% vs 10.5% · n=211

At Leicester 2.4% vs 10.5% · n=42

With Andrew Elliott 3.8% vs 10.5% · n=80

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,487 238 9.6% −650.24

Hurdle 377 57 15.1% −85.79

Chase 104 16 15.4% −34.77

NH Flat 79 10 12.7% −29.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 849 100 11.8% −95.90

Standard (AW) 596 49 8.2% −176.98

Good to Firm 595 61 10.3% −232.77

Good to Soft 511 50 9.8% −224.19

Soft 389 49 12.6% −30.88

Heavy 100 12 12% −32.58

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 387 35 9% −87.85

Doncaster 206 18 8.7% −96.30

Beverley 177 19 10.7% −47.05

Pontefract 173 22 12.7% −2.80

Redcar 163 11 6.7% −87.45

Thirsk 160 11 6.9% −28.50

Carlisle 131 15 11.5% −17.99

Ripon 123 15 12.2% −45.67

Newcastle 120 19 15.8% +34.25

Hamilton 117 16 13.7% −39.04

Catterick 109 12 11% −51.02

Wetherby 106 13 12.3% −39.47

Haydock 97 9 9.3% +31.58

Southwell (AW) 89 5 5.6% −53.38

Wolverhampton (AW) 88 6 6.8% −28.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,132 107 9.5% −337.17

Class 4 831 99 11.9% −270.29

Class 6 539 57 10.6% −63.53

Class 3 277 34 12.3% −40.26

Class 2 203 17 8.4% −71.75

Class 1 53 5 9.4% −17.30

Class 7 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 327 98 30% 1.09 −23.91

2nd–3rd fav 704 115 16.3% 0.98 −123.89

4th–6th fav 984 83 8.4% 1.06 −171.50

7th+ in betting 1,032 25 2.4% 0.71 −481.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,020 94 9.2% −191.90

1m2f – 1m4f 585 64 10.9% −143.15

1m – 1m1f 495 38 7.7% −199.92

1m5f – 2m 398 51 12.8% −145.54

Under 6f 235 27 11.5% −35.54

2m1f – 2m4f 224 33 14.7% −72.95

2m5f – 3m 83 14 16.9% −4.30

Over 3m 7 0 0% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 121 10 8.3% −58.87

2009 125 10 8% −80.46

2010 136 5 3.7% −73.00

2011 107 10 9.3% +8.88

2012 113 6 5.3% −50.00

2013 87 4 4.6% −67.75

2014 100 12 12% −25.62

2015 126 18 14.3% +9.12

2016 143 17 11.9% −52.80

2017 209 25 12% −13.54

2018 228 25 11% −102.85

2019 273 41 15% −44.56

2020 276 29 10.5% +22.91

2021 218 19 8.7% −89.12

2022 220 23 10.5% −69.15

2023 179 18 10.1% −45.47

2024 133 17 12.8% −39.42

2025 159 18 11.3% −41.30

2026 94 14 14.9% +12.70

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,134 229 10.7% −457.01

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,014 119 11.7% −194.50

11-13 runners 934 71 7.6% −342.30

5-7 runners 489 81 16.6% −92.24

14-16 runners 413 27 6.5% −158.24

17+ runners 161 9 5.6% −28.25

2-4 runners 36 14 38.9% +15.23

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Saisons D'or (IRE) 100 12 40 27 Oct 26

Percy Willis (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 71 6 24 29 Dec 25

Instant Attraction (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 51 3 22 7 Oct 18

Prince Achille (GB) 50 6 20 16 Oct 26

Satanic Beat (IRE)then Phil Middleton 47 7 18 30 Aug 15

Highland Love (GB) 46 5 15 14 May 13

Rebel State (IRE)from Richard Spencer 45 2 16 16 Oct 20

Bid For Gold (GB) 41 5 14 6 Aug 12

Devil's Angel (GB)then Kevin Thomas Coleman 40 8 15 15 Sep 23

Dream Together (IRE) 38 3 10 26 Apr 24

Dark Ocean (IRE) 37 4 13 18 Oct 16

Fringill Dike (IRE) 36 11 17 17 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 292 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from George Moore (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian McInnes (2) and Kevin Thomas Coleman (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1711121012111310881010

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Garritty

27% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Garritty 818 86 10.5% −181.57

Graham Lee 264 30 11.4% −53.04

P J McDonald 194 24 12.4% −34.25

Joe Colliver 131 26 19.8% +14.79

Patrick Donaghy 100 8 8% −26.62

Tony Hamilton 94 7 7.4% −58.62

Brian Harding 87 9 10.3% −42.79

Paul Mulrennan 82 11 13.4% +15.36

Andrew Elliott 80 3 3.8% −64.12

Conor O'Farrell 68 11 16.2% −18.82

Michael O'Connell 56 3 5.4% −42.25

Henry Brooke 56 5 8.9% −17.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

350

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.67m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 41 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Shared Equity (GB) — Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) York · Oct 2015 · Class 2

£62,250

Sam Spinner (GB) — JLT Reve De Sivola Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Ascot · Dec 2017 · Grade 1

£56,950

Sam Spinner (GB) — Betfair Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Haydock · Nov 2017 · Grade 3

£56,950

Notable horses

Saisons D'or (IRE) Fringill Dike (IRE) Sam Spinner (GB) Devil's Angel (GB) Only Spoofing (IRE) Bid For Gold (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sir Percy (GB) 10.5% · 11–105

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,150 runs since 2008 (473 horses).

Havana Gold (IRE) 12% · 12–100

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,060 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 117. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Dark Angel (IRE) 16.5% · 16–97

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,916 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Dream Ahead (USA) 7.1% · 6–84

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,700 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Zoffany (IRE) 8% · 6–75

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,772 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Auction House (USA) 16.4% · 10–61

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,734 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 10% from 100.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,478 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,478 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Saisons D'Or (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Saisons D'Or 100th Race Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Fringill Dike (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Pertemps Network Jean & Paul Lucas Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 15/8F

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Dream Forever (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 100/30

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Prince Achille (GB)J: Connor Beasley quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Lillie Margot (GB)J: Jack Garritty Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 5/2

08 Oct 26 Ayr Ravishing Beauty (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 16/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Lady Hornblower (GB)J: Connor Beasley Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 1st 85/40F

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Dream Forever (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 15/2

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Saisons D'Or (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 15/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Fringill Dike (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 4/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Prince Achille (GB)J: Jack Garritty Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 40/1

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Ravishing Beauty (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Join Racing TV Today Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 9th 11/1

09 Sep 26 Carlisle Dream Forever (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 8th 9/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Lady Hornblower (GB)J: Jason Hart Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 1st 12/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Lillie Margot (GB)J: James Sullivan racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 7th 28/1

08 Sep 26 Catterick Saisons D'Or (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 28/1

03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Dream Forever (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

19 Aug 26 Carlisle Ravishing Beauty (GB)J: Jack Garritty Knights Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 12/1

19 Aug 26 Carlisle Dream Forever (IRE)J: James Sullivan Armstrong Watson Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 33/1

15 Aug 26 Doncaster Lady Hornblower (GB)J: Jack Garritty Luxury Looks From The Avenue At Meadowhall Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jedd O'Keeffe's strike rate?: Jedd O'Keeffe has won 321 of 3,047 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jedd O'Keeffe do best at?: Newcastle by strike rate: 19 wins from 120 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jedd O'Keeffe?: Jack Garritty, with 818 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (10.5%).
Is Jedd O'Keeffe in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jedd O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 3,025 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.