What is John Joseph Hanlon's strike rate?

John Joseph Hanlon has won 307 of 5,520 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Joseph Hanlon do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 16 wins from 200 runners (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Joseph Hanlon?

Brian Hayes, with 668 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (4.8%).

Is John Joseph Hanlon in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John Joseph Hanlon's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 5,515 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Joseph Hanlon

5,520 runners in the lifetime window · 748 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.3% of 418 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 9 Nov 2026.

Runners today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

307–5,520

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=5,520

1,015 (18%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=5,515 · 0.67 incl. margin

−2,699.15

£1 level stake

n=5,520 at SP · −48.9%

£5.28m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 290 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). In Group and Graded company the record reads 14% (174 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,520 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 27.3% when favourite Brian Hayes: 4.8% from 668 Group/Graded: 13.8% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 13.8% (n=174, Fair A/E 1.51), but debutants struggle at 1.4% (n=419, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 4.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −81.50 to a £1 stake over 225 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Brian Hayes rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.8%, A/E 0.75). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (13.3%, n=165) and in Class 5 (11.8%, n=110). 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tote Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2022, £159,300). The stable star of the record: Hidden Cyclone (IRE) — 17 wins from 48 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.4%−0.2

n=1,003 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −473.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−1.4

n=330 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −168.87

Debutants · first career start

1.4%−4.2

n=419 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −355.42

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4%−1.6

n=274 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −111.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.4%−1.2

n=225 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −81.50

When favourite

27.3%

n=256 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −57.88

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5%−0.6

n=2,859 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −1,492.71

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.8%+8.2

n=174 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +103.66

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mr P W Mullins 19.3% vs 5.6% · n=57

On last-time-out winners 13.5% vs 5.6% · n=319

With Andrew J McNamara 14.1% vs 5.6% · n=199

In Group / Graded races 13.8% vs 5.6% · n=174

In Class 1 13.3% vs 5.6% · n=165

In Class 5 11.8% vs 5.6% · n=110

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 93.5% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 3,178 167 5.3% −1,461.67

Chase 986 86 8.7% −337.43

Flat 805 20 2.5% −612.62

NH Flat 551 34 6.2% −287.43

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,908 117 6.1% −833.60

Soft 1,524 83 5.4% −724.33

Heavy 796 42 5.3% −389.62

Good to Soft 661 34 5.1% −380.64

Good to Firm 388 26 6.7% −180.96

Standard (AW) 201 3 1.5% −154.50

Firm 42 2 4.8% −35.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Galway 344 17 4.9% −192.92

Tramore 329 16 4.9% −190.50

Punchestown 316 17 5.4% −155.13

Limerick 306 20 6.5% −85.38

Gowran Park 292 15 5.1% −194.82

Downpatrick 275 16 5.8% −168.25

Fairyhouse 266 18 6.8% −73.40

Clonmel 245 13 5.3% −82.25

Kilbeggan 243 13 5.3% −90.50

Listowel 220 13 5.9% −49.43

Cork 211 6 2.8% −175.93

Down Royal 200 16 8% −7.06

Killarney 189 10 5.3% −102.42

Thurles 188 12 6.4% −126.49

Dundalk (AW) 179 3 1.7% −132.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 197 18 9.1% −13.24

Class 1 165 22 13.3% +82.66

Class 5 110 13 11.8% −37.41

Class 3 57 6 10.5% −31.03

Class 6 38 0 0% −38.00

Class 2 25 1 4% −21.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 317 85 26.8% 1.08 −53.76

2nd–3rd fav 758 90 11.9% 0.84 −267.39

4th–6th fav 1,437 77 5.4% 0.79 −615.50

7th+ in betting 3,008 55 1.8% 0.67 −1,762.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,920 120 6.3% −842.26

1m5f – 2m 1,909 101 5.3% −1,012.46

2m5f – 3m 1,002 63 6.3% −385.43

1m2f – 1m4f 306 9 2.9% −206.00

Over 3m 145 13 9% −23.00

1m – 1m1f 135 0 0% −135.00

6f – 7f 94 1 1.1% −86.00

Under 6f 9 0 0% −9.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 234 17 7.3% −84.00

2009 410 18 4.4% −295.88

2010 344 19 5.5% −242.00

2011 327 39 11.9% −76.77

2012 344 6 1.7% −306.78

2013 328 15 4.6% −210.33

2014 223 24 10.8% −33.26

2015 218 16 7.3% −109.67

2016 229 25 10.9% −24.61

2017 206 11 5.3% −72.00

2018 203 11 5.4% −66.02

2019 194 8 4.1% −136.25

2020 186 19 10.2% +95.50

2021 377 16 4.2% −201.67

2022 277 9 3.2% −165.75

2023 409 17 4.2% −214.30

2024 360 13 3.6% −172.62

2025 325 14 4.3% −196.24

2026 326 10 3.1% −186.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,751 164 6% −1,056.90

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,656 68 4.1% −1,016.63

11-13 runners 1,216 72 5.9% −610.92

17+ runners 1,206 42 3.5% −567.51

8-10 runners 924 65 7% −301.73

5-7 runners 467 53 11.3% −172.52

2-4 runners 51 7 13.7% −29.84

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.1% completed · 4,164 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 986 74.1% 74 42 131 5 3

Hurdle 3,178 87.2% 69 48 262 11 17

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Darenjan (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 53 7 19 20 Aug 16

Baby Jake (IRE) 50 5 13 26 Jan 19

Hewick (IRE) 48 11 22 10 Jul 26

Hidden Cyclone (IRE) 48 17 29 16 Oct 18

Baizically (IRE)from Alan Swinbank 47 3 9 25 Sep 13

Whatsinthecorner (IRE)from P F McEnery 46 4 15 30 Sep 21

Kilkishen (IRE)then D Peters 46 4 17 12 Oct 20

A Mere Bagatelle (IRE)from Jonathan Fogarty · then James Owen 44 4 14 17 May 25

Camlann (IRE) 44 8 20 25 Jun 20

Shaimaa (IRE) 41 3 9 18 Aug 10

Abolitionist (IRE)then Miss Ellmarie Holden 40 6 19 31 Aug 15

Luska Lad (IRE) 39 10 15 20 Feb 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 748 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 20 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ronald O'Neill (2) and Sir Michael Stoute (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for Tim Vaughan (3) and D Peters (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

446656556767

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBrian Hayes

12% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 0.75

RiderRWSR£1

Brian Hayes 668 32 4.8% −373.42

Mr Paddy Hanlon 444 25 5.6% −206.69

Rachael Blackmore 404 31 7.7% −164.57

Shane Fenelon 345 13 3.8% −141.50

Jody McGarvey 294 17 5.8% −41.50

Conor O'Farrell 239 11 4.6% −142.50

Danny Mullins 221 20 9% −53.68

Andrew J McNamara 199 28 14.1% −65.86

John Cullen 112 6 5.4% −41.75

Ken Whelan 89 2 2.2% −66.00

Mr T Hamilton 88 5 5.7% −54.42

Harry Sexton 82 3 3.7% −55.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

318

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.39m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 39 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hewick (IRE) — Tote Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Jul 2022 · Grade A

£159,300

Hewick (IRE) — Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2023 · Grade 1

£143,045

Alfa Beat (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade A) Listowel · Sep 2011 · Grade A

£96,400

Notable horses

Hidden Cyclone (IRE) Hewick (IRE) Luska Lad (IRE) Darenjan (IRE) Camlann (IRE) Shaimaa (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Stowaway (GB) 9.4% · 31–331

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Valirann (FR) 1.5% · 2–131

Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,453 runs since 2018 (160 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 6.9% from 346.

Oscar (IRE) 7.6% · 8–105

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Galileo (IRE) 7.2% · 7–97

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Affinisea (IRE) 5.6% · 5–90

Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,296 runs since 2022 (207 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 17.8% · 16–90

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,641 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,641 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 January 2007 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Qaasid (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 8th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Lady's Choice (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 100/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Chancie Grey (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 40/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Siorai (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon GAIN Equine Nutrition Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 40/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Rocky Alfonso (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon PRL Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 10th 18/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mo Ghille Mar (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase16f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 13/2

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Portetta (IRE)J: Dylan O'Connor Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran UR 20/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) River Ore (GB)J: Harry Sexton Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 250/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Fairy Meadow (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 14th 100/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Heroes Of Renown (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran PU 50/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Mo Ghille Mar (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 11/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Qaasid (IRE)J: Josh Younge Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 40/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Two Mary's (IRE)J: Harry Sexton COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 50/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Torque De Lune (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 12/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Heroes Of Renown (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 10th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mother Ship (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 1st 10/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Pahlavi (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 10/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Hello Garda (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 8th 12/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) My Cullen (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) River Ore (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 25 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is John Joseph Hanlon's strike rate?: John Joseph Hanlon has won 307 of 5,520 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Joseph Hanlon do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 16 wins from 200 runners (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Joseph Hanlon?: Brian Hayes, with 668 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (4.8%).
Is John Joseph Hanlon in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Joseph Hanlon's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 5,515 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.