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Trainer profile

Lizzie Quinlan

545 runners in the lifetime window · 56 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
34–545
Wins / Runs
6.2%
Strike rate
n=545
103 (19%)
Placed
0.85
n=544 · 0.73 incl. margin
−163.84
£1 level stake
n=545 at SP · −30.1%
£362k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 545 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Sean Quinlan: 6% from 283 Claiming riders: 6.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Cartmel (12.1%, n=91), Perth (12.8%, n=39) and Catterick (12.2%, n=41) — all clear of the yard's 6.2% baseline. Sean Quinlan rides 52% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 0.75). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (10.6%, n=170). The stable star of the record: City Derby (IRE) — 5 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.9%−1.3
n=123 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +6.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.2%−2.0
n=48 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −26.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3.7%−2.5
n=27 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −18.00
When favourite
29.2%
n=24 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.34
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.9%+0.7
n=116 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −34.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 15.2% vs 6.2% · n=33
At Cartmel 12.1% vs 6.2% · n=91
At Perth 12.8% vs 6.2% · n=39
With C&D winners 11.6% vs 6.2% · n=69
In Class 4 10.6% vs 6.2% · n=170
At Catterick 12.2% vs 6.2% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 331 23 6.9% −76.09
Chase 134 9 6.7% −39.75
Flat 71 2 2.8% −39.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 228 14 6.1% −73.50
Good to Soft 137 10 7.3% +17.88
Soft 111 10 9% −39.22
Heavy 32 0 0% −32.00
Standard (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cartmel 91 11 12.1% −9.84
Hexham 65 2 3.1% −41.00
Carlisle 50 2 4% −34.00
Sedgefield 49 1 2% −44.00
Catterick 41 5 12.2% +14.50
Perth 39 5 12.8% +68.00
Ayr 38 3 7.9% +2.00
Musselburgh 26 2 7.7% −8.00
Newcastle (AW) 26 0 0% −26.00
Newcastle 23 1 4.3% −16.50
Kelso 22 0 0% −22.00
Wetherby 21 2 9.5% +7.00
Uttoxeter 9 0 0% −9.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 283 12 4.2% −103.50
Class 4 170 18 10.6% −18.34
Class 3 37 1 2.7% −24.00
Class 6 36 2 5.6% −4.00
Class 2 18 1 5.6% −13.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 8 28.6% 1.11 −0.84
2nd–3rd fav 73 8 11% 0.68 −24.00
4th–6th fav 186 11 5.9% 0.83 −57.00
7th+ in betting 258 7 2.7% 0.93 −82.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.9% completed · 465 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 134 76.9% 4 3 23 1 0
Hurdle 331 86.7% 3 0 41 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
City Derby (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 30 5 12 25 Aug 25
Mr Globalist (IRE)from S Slevin 25 0 3 3 Nov 26
Prince Nino (FR)from Harry Derham 25 3 6 24 Sep 26
One More Bottle (GB) 23 1 5 26 Oct 26
Fourofakind (IRE)from Harry Derham 18 2 2 22 Oct 26
Natzor (FR)from David O'Meara 15 0 1 2 Sep 26
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barbara Butterworth (6) and Fergal O'Brien (6); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
510421446184552
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Quinlan
52% of all rides
6% SR · A/E 0.75
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Quinlan 283 17 6% −150.84
Peter Kavanagh 86 4 4.7% −56.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
34
Archived wins
£362k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 10 wins
City Derby (IRE) — AF Connell Ltd Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cartmel · Aug 2024 · Class 2
£10,926
Getaway Luv (IRE) — Bobby Renton Handicap Chase Wetherby · Oct 2023 · Class 3
£8,450
Getaway Luv (IRE) — Game On! And Go Challenge Handicap Chase Carlisle · Mar 2024 · Class 4
£5,677

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 13% · 6–46
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,040 runs since 2011 (707 horses).
Califet (FR) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Ask (GB) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Highland Reel (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,518 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.
It's Gino (GER) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 13.7% of 973 runs since 2013 (130 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.6% from 225. Weakest on Soft going: 10% from 311. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.8% from 143.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 545 · newest first

The latest 50 of 545 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 October 2022 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lizzie Quinlan's strike rate?
Lizzie Quinlan has won 34 of 545 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lizzie Quinlan do best at?
Perth by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lizzie Quinlan?
Sean Quinlan, with 283 runners since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (6%).
Is Lizzie Quinlan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lizzie Quinlan's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 544 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).