Mark Fahey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.27). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 17% (60 runs, true-first definition).
It is weakest at Navan (2.2% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 2.38). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +17.02 to a £1 stake over 687 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ricky Doyle rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.9%, A/E 1.33) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (16.2%, n=197). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bective Stud, Tea Rooms & Apartments Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2024, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Clear Quartz (IRE) — 6 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,301 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,301 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2013 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mark Fahey's strike rate?
- Mark Fahey has won 131 of 1,301 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mark Fahey do best at?
- Fairyhouse by strike rate: 7 wins from 48 runners (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mark Fahey?
- Ricky Doyle, with 118 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (11.9%).
- Is Mark Fahey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mark Fahey's Fair A/E?
- 1.27, from 1,300 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.