What is Mark Walford's strike rate?

Mark Walford has won 335 of 3,364 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark Walford do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 40 wins from 239 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mark Walford?

Jamie Hamilton, with 881 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (11.7%).

Is Mark Walford in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is below the baseline of 10% since 2008.

What is Mark Walford's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 3,349 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mark Walford

3,364 runners in the lifetime window · 327 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.9% of 422 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 6 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

335–3,364

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=3,364

973 (29%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=3,349 · 0.86 incl. margin

−775.30

£1 level stake

n=3,364 at SP · −23.0%

£3.19m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (147 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,364 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jul 27.9% when favourite Jamie Hamilton: 11.7% from 881 Claiming riders: 10.3% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hexham (16.7%, n=239), clear of the yard's 10% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 74 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 4.2% (n=166, Fair A/E 1.04). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 11.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +83.50 to a £1 stake over 147 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −46.50 to a £1 stake over 117 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 1 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (5.9%, 4.1pts below the 10% baseline). Jamie Hamilton rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.7%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Chase races (15.6%, n=469). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 4.8% over 393 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Albert Bartlett Prestige Novices' Hurdle at Haydock (Feb 2025, £39,865). The stable star of the record: It Just Takes Time (IRE) — 12 wins from 67 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.1%−3.9

n=539 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −151.45

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.9%−2.1

n=164 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −56.75

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−5.8

n=166 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −54.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6%−4.0

n=117 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −46.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.6%+1.6

n=147 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +83.50

When favourite

27.9%

n=276 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −40.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.3%+0.3

n=736 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −189.58

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−5.2

n=21 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −16.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.4% vs 10% · n=339

At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 10% · n=74

At Hexham 16.7% vs 10% · n=239

With Jake Greenall 17.2% vs 10% · n=122

In Chase races 15.6% vs 10% · n=469

On Standard (AW) going 4.8% vs 10% · n=393

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,694 133 7.9% −474.01

Hurdle 1,113 122 11% −167.10

Chase 469 73 15.6% −77.94

NH Flat 88 7 8% −56.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,116 118 10.6% −292.62

Good to Soft 691 80 11.6% −107.80

Soft 654 64 9.8% −98.23

Standard (AW) 393 19 4.8% −128.67

Good to Firm 352 33 9.4% −92.32

Heavy 158 21 13.3% −55.66

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wetherby 272 31 11.4% −64.07

Hexham 239 40 16.7% −38.47

Catterick 200 18 9% −92.84

Market Rasen 198 20 10.1% −86.58

Newcastle (AW) 194 9 4.6% −36.50

Thirsk 162 10 6.2% −80.50

Beverley 156 19 12.2% −34.15

Doncaster 145 9 6.2% −80.00

Carlisle 139 14 10.1% −15.51

Newcastle 138 19 13.8% +26.50

Sedgefield 116 8 6.9% −82.94

Redcar 111 5 4.5% −74.25

Ripon 106 16 15.1% +46.33

Ayr 103 15 14.6% −12.25

Pontefract 99 5 5.1% −40.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,117 100 9% −367.49

Class 4 1,090 129 11.8% −120.18

Class 6 662 54 8.2% −163.99

Class 3 360 43 11.9% −88.47

Class 2 104 6 5.8% −19.17

Class 1 29 3 10.3% −14.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 335 90 26.9% 1.00 −52.74

2nd–3rd fav 758 130 17.2% 1.05 −72.06

4th–6th fav 1,046 86 8.2% 1.06 −118.50

7th+ in betting 1,225 29 2.4% 0.74 −532.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bit Of A Quirke (GB) 73 9 28 27 Aug 23

It Just Takes Time (IRE)from Nigel Tinkler 67 12 28 24 Oct 26

Carlovian (GB)from Christopher Kellett 67 8 22 7 Oct 21

Giovanni Change (FR)from Emmet Mullins 57 9 20 4 Sep 26

Oliver's Gold (GB)from Tim Walford 56 7 24 4 Aug 19

Cornborough (GB) 54 8 23 3 Aug 20

Spioradalta (GB) 51 10 23 12 Sep 26

Bay Dream Believer (IRE)from Andrew Balding 50 8 18 30 Oct 26

Woody Bay (GB)from James Given 43 6 17 6 Sep 18

Mr Snoozy (GB)from Tim Walford 41 5 15 15 Jul 18

Event Of Sivola (FR)from Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet 40 6 15 16 May 24

Kodimoor (IRE)from Christopher Kellett 40 4 13 10 May 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 327 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tim Walford (8) and Brian Ellison (3); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 17 5.9% · −4.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

Lifetime base10%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

411111112131161071011

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJamie Hamilton

26% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Jamie Hamilton 881 103 11.7% −133.41

Dougie Costello 291 19 6.5% −107.67

Jack Garritty 276 29 10.5% −90.40

Jason Hart 252 25 9.9% −43.17

Tom Midgley 150 18 12% −50.59

Jake Greenall 122 21 17.2% +71.85

Andrew Mullen 80 10 12.5% +2.50

Rhys Elliott 73 8 11% −13.00

Miss Emma Todd 71 12 16.9% −4.75

Duran Fentiman 56 2 3.6% −31.00

Henry Brooke 38 6 15.8% +0.45

Phil Dennis 32 3 9.4% −11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

335

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.19m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 40 wins

Battle Born Lad (GB) — Albert Bartlett Prestige Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Haydock · Feb 2025 · Grade 2

£39,865

Into Overdrive (GB) — William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Wetherby · Dec 2022 · Class 1

£28,475

Willaston (IRE) — Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Haydock · May 2023 · Class 2

£26,015

Notable horses

It Just Takes Time (IRE) Spioradalta (GB) Bit Of A Quirke (GB) Giovanni Change (FR) Carlovian (GB) Cornborough (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Westerner (GB) 13.7% · 14–102

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Kodiac (GB) 10.9% · 11–101

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Midnight Legend (GB) 15.3% · 15–98

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 12% · 11–92

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,981 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Power (GB) 17.5% · 14–80

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,725 runs since 2016 (195 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 353. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 161.

Oasis Dream (GB) 6.7% · 5–75

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,364 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,364 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2014 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Empty Nest (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 2/1F

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Maghlaak (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 13/2

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Character Testing (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 1st 100/30

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Huit Reflets (FR)J: Jamie Hamilton Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 13/2

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Gwen's Girl (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Green Howards Museum Richmond Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 5th 18/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Moorhead (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 9th 150/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sassy Glory (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 28/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Bay Dream Believer (IRE)J: Jason Hart Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 28/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Wicklow Way (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) She's A Goldigger (GB)J: Ryan Sexton AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 50/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Loulou Madrik (FR)J: Danny McMenamin attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/4

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Empty Nest (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Buzz Iceclear (IRE)J: Tom Midgley Spooktacular Family Day Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 6th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Solar Cooper (GB)J: Rowan Scott Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 50/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Character Testing (GB)J: Tom Midgley £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

24 Oct 26 Kelso Punxsutawney Phil (IRE)J: Rebecca Hitchen Racingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster It Just Takes Time (IRE)J: Jack Garritty Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 9/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Kodiac Thriller (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 50/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Drop Kick (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 4th 7/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Moorhead (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 8th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mark Walford's strike rate?: Mark Walford has won 335 of 3,364 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Walford do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 40 wins from 239 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mark Walford?: Jamie Hamilton, with 881 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (11.7%).
Is Mark Walford in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is below the baseline of 10% since 2008.
What is Mark Walford's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 3,349 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.