Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80).
Deterministic profile computed from 593 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFires Apr–MayCharlie Hammond: 4.5% from 112Claiming riders: 3.1%
The read
The record is strongest at Fakenham (9.4%, n=32) and Huntingdon (9.1%, n=33) — all clear of the yard's 2.9% baseline. Charlie Hammond rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.5%, A/E 0.87). Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−0.8
n=140 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −47.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
1.5%−1.4
n=66 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −57.00
Debutants · first career start
2.6%−0.3
n=38 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −32.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.9
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −1.99
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.1%+0.2
n=194 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −48.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Fakenham9.4% vs 2.9% · n=32
At Huntingdon9.1% vs 2.9% · n=33
With Tabitha Worsley0% vs 2.9% · n=69
Over 2m5f – 3m5.4% vs 2.9% · n=111
At Stratford0% vs 2.9% · n=52
On Good to Soft going5.4% vs 2.9% · n=92
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle271103.7%−93.12
Chase14732%−131.62
Flat14032.1%−97.25
NH Flat3512.9%−29.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good24772.8%−137.74
Standard (AW)11932.5%−76.25
Good to Soft9255.4%−56.00
Soft8222.4%−28.00
Heavy3400%−34.00
Good to Firm1700%−17.00
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW)8211.2%−77.00
Stratford5200%−52.00
Ludlow4412.3%−27.00
Worcester3700%−37.00
Huntingdon3339.1%+45.88
Warwick3300%−33.00
Fakenham3239.4%−16.00
Uttoxeter2913.4%−26.62
Hereford2500%−25.00
Market Rasen23313%+37.00
Bangor-on-Dee1900%−19.00
Leicester1700%−17.00
Chepstow1317.7%−6.00
Southwell1200%−12.00
Catterick1119.1%+2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5306123.9%−129.24
Class 417521.1%−152.50
Class 69533.2%−52.25
Class 31300%−13.00
Class 2400%−4.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite11327.3%0.99−1.99
2nd–3rd fav37718.9%1.30+2.00
4th–6th fav16031.9%0.43−97.00
7th+ in betting38541%0.70−254.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m21052.4%−135.00
2m1f – 2m4f13132.3%−53.50
2m5f – 3m11165.4%−37.24
1m – 1m1f4512.2%−40.00
6f – 7f3612.8%−32.25
Over 3m2713.7%−20.00
1m2f – 1m4f2400%−24.00
Under 6f900%−9.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20203612.8%−23.00
202110387.8%−40.62
20228600%−86.00
202310044%−43.12
202410332.9%+3.00
202510710.9%−103.25
20265800%−58.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps402153.7%−174.99
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners21873.2%−139.99
11-13 runners15132%−65.50
5-7 runners14142.8%−80.50
14-16 runners5123.9%−39.00
2-4 runners2214.5%−16.00
17+ runners1000%−10.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 104 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (2) and Fergal O'Brien (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.
6 have since run for another yard, most often for Ben Pauling (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
204752052315
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 10% of 6,040 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 263. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 493. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Temple City (USA)4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 12.5% of 88 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,844 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 593 · newest first
The latest 50 of 593 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 July 2020 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Max Young's strike rate?
Max Young has won 17 of 593 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Max Young do best at?
Fakenham by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Max Young?
Charlie Hammond, with 112 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.5%).
Is Max Young in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Max Young's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 590 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Max Young·SR 2.9%·A/E 0.80
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