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Trainer profile

Michael Keady

474 runners in the lifetime window · 75 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 7.0% of 215 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 31 Oct 2026.
Last runner 4 days ago 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
29–474
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=474
105 (22%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=468 · 0.65 incl. margin
−249.50
£1 level stake
n=474 at SP · −52.6%
£343k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). New recruits from other yards win at 12% first time out (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 474 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Darragh Keenan: 4.3% from 94 New recruits: 11.8% Claiming riders: 6.7%
The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (12.7%, n=55) and Lingfield (AW) (11.8%, n=51) — all clear of the yard's 6.1% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 11.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 1.36). Darragh Keenan rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.3%, A/E 0.63). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.3%, n=35). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 30 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.9%−1.2
n=61 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −24.17
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.8%+5.7
n=51 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −2.59
Debutants · first career start
4.2%−1.9
n=24 · A/E 1.74 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.2%−1.9
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3.4%−2.7
n=29 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=28 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −14.79
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+0.6
n=104 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −37.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 14.3% vs 6.1% · n=35
At Chelmsford City (AW) 12.7% vs 6.1% · n=55
At Lingfield (AW) 11.8% vs 6.1% · n=51
With new recruits 11.8% vs 6.1% · n=51
At Kempton (AW) 0% vs 6.1% · n=30
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 6.1% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 441 28 6.3% −221.00
Hurdle 19 1 5.3% −14.50
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 252 18 7.1% −102.00
Good to Firm 98 4 4.1% −73.50
Good 70 5 7.1% −31.00
Good to Soft 30 0 0% −30.00
Soft 17 2 11.8% −6.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 65 2 3.1% −57.79
Chelmsford City (AW) 55 7 12.7% +4.38
Lingfield (AW) 51 6 11.8% +22.66
Southwell (AW) 38 3 7.9% −28.25
Yarmouth 32 1 3.1% −25.50
Kempton (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Windsor 29 0 0% −29.00
Nottingham 20 2 10% −11.00
Newmarket 14 1 7.1% −4.50
Newcastle (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Huntingdon 12 0 0% −12.00
Ascot 12 0 0% −12.00
Brighton 11 1 9.1% −6.50
Lingfield 11 2 18.2% +1.00
Leicester 9 1 11.1% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 211 15 7.1% −94.58
Class 5 158 11 7% −80.92
Class 4 66 2 3% −44.50
Class 2 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 3 10 1 10% −0.50
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 6 18.2% 0.70 −12.21
2nd–3rd fav 69 11 15.9% 0.93 −17.29
4th–6th fav 165 7 4.2% 0.50 −96.50
7th+ in betting 207 5 2.4% 0.90 −123.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Renesmee (GB)from Alice Haynes 28 4 8 19 Oct 26
Currumbin (IRE)from Hilal Kobeissi 21 3 9 13 Oct 26
Master Dandy (IRE)from Charlie Clover · then Daisy Hitchins 20 2 7 21 Jul 26
Sarabi (GB)from Jack Channon 16 1 4 29 Jan 26
Chasing Gold (GB)from Robert Cowell 15 1 5 14 Sep 26
Emperor Spirit (IRE)from Robert Cowell 14 1 6 25 Jul 26
Mio Amico (GB)from Nick Littmoden 13 2 3 25 Oct 26
Commendation (GB)from Andrew Balding · then Martin Dunne 13 1 1 29 Sep 25
Our Planet (IRE)from Clive Cox 11 1 1 27 Oct 26
Last Outlaw (IRE)from Michael Wigham · then Max Young 11 0 0 11 Feb 26
Charging Bull (IRE)from Andrew Balding 10 0 3 5 Aug 26
Dance Recital (IRE) 10 0 2 29 Sep 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 44 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady (6) and Andrew Balding (4); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Martin Dunne (3) and Mike Murphy (3); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10136531072401310
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDarragh Keenan
20% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.63
RiderRWSR£1
Darragh Keenan 94 4 4.3% −71.00
Kyle McHugh 53 5 9.4% −3.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
29
Archived wins
£343k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 18 wins
Emperor Spirit (IRE) — debenhams.com Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2025 · Class 3
£15,702
Ravensbourne (GB) — It's Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jan 2025 · Class 6
£7,328
Dee's Funny Girl (IRE) — Marion Gibson Brown Memorial - Irish EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Thirsk · May 2026 · Class 4
£5,234
Notable horses
Renesmee (GB) Currumbin (IRE) Master Dandy (IRE) Mio Amico (GB) Crowned (IRE) Northcliff (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,955 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Iffraaj (GB) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,977 runs since 2008 (1,092 horses).
Showcasing (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,626 runs since 2008 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,802 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Blue Point (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 14% of 3,426 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.5% from 210.
Siyouni (FR) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 13% of 8,343 runs since 2008 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 474 · newest first

The latest 50 of 474 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 December 2024 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Our Planet (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 13/2
25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mio Amico (GB)J: Nathan Moscrop Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Site Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1
23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) First Ambition (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 25/1
23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mystic Unicorn (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 80/1
23 Oct 26 Doncaster Redemption Road (GB)J: Saffie Osborne William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 66/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Lil Brother (GB)J: Saffie Osborne CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1
21 Oct 26 Newmarket Crowned (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 14/1
19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Renesmee (GB)J: Marco Ghiani attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 5/1
17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mio Amico (GB)J: Nathan Moscrop Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 66/1
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) First Ambition (GB)J: Luke Morris Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 13/8F
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Dapper Valley (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 40/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Currumbin (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 4/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Exquisite Skye (GB)J: Jonny Peate Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 50/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Our Planet (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 16/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Merapi (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 11/2
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lil Brother (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Pilsner To The Post Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 14/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Currumbin (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 6/4F
01 Oct 26 Nottingham Renesmee (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 12th 17/2
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Exquisite Skye (GB)J: Jonny Peate Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 66/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Currumbin (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Michael Keady's strike rate?
Michael Keady has won 29 of 474 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Keady do best at?
Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 55 runners (12.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Keady?
Darragh Keenan, with 94 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.3%).
Is Michael Keady in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Keady's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 468 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).